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Topic: Wealth Management

Solar City’s rapid growth in jeopardy

Stock Investing

Every Monday we feature “A Stock to Sell” as our daily post. With every stock or investment we recommend as a sell, we give you a full explanation of why we advise against investing in it at this time.

SolarCity Corp. (symbol SCTY on Nasdaq; www.solarcity.com) provides rooftop solar systems for homeowners, businesses, schools and government agencies in the U.S.

The company creates a customized energy plan for each customer, then sells, finances, engineers, installs, monitors and maintains the system. Customers can “sell” any electricity they don’t use onto the power grid for credits they can use to “buy” electricity at night.

SolarCity continues to grow quickly. In the three months ended December 31, 2014, the amount of megawatts deployed rose 70% from a year ago, the number of megawatt orders booked jumped 103%, and SolarCity added 21,318 clients, bringing its total to 189,657 as of the end of the quarter. In 2013, it had a customer base of 44,579.


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Investment advice: Big cost cuts needed to compensate for Solar Investment Tax Credit cuts

The company can grow this quickly because the homeowner doesn’t pay an upfront fee for its solar systems, which was a huge deterrent in the past. Instead, residents sign long-term leases, and thanks to the generous Solar Investment Tax Credit, their electricity bills end up being lower than what they previously paid their local utility.

SolarCity also packages its customers’ leases into bundles and sells them to investors as asset-backed securities, which frees up money to install more systems and keeps financing costs low.

The stock fell sharply in mid-February after the company reported a loss of $1.33 a share in the three months ended December 31, 2014, compared to a $0.46-a-share loss a year earlier.

Even with its rapid growth, Solar City faces significant—and rising—risks. For one, it will need to keep cutting costs at a substantial rate to stay competitive, as the Solar Investment Tax Credit is scheduled to be reduced from 30% to 10% in 2017.

Moreover, electric utilities are unhappy because they believe they’re being unfairly forced to spend heavily to maintain transmission systems without any contributions from solar firms. As well, SolarCity faces intense competition from other companies like Vivint Solar and SunPower.

TSI Network recommendation: SELL.

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