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Topic: Growth Stocks

Growth stocks: Hudson’s Bay makes a big purchase in Germany

Hudson bay

In response to a question by a Member of his Inner Circle, Pat McKeough looks at the prospects of one of Canada’s biggest, and oldest, retailers, Hudson’s Bay Company. With five banners in North America, including several leading luxury chains in the U.S., the company has added one of Germany’s largest department store chains. Pat examines the costs and risks of such a big acquisition, but also looks at some of the advantages this growth stock could unlock with its European takeover.
For a recent report on a Canadian growth stock that has achieved rapid growth in the past year, read AirBoss of America gets big profit bounce from rubber products.

Q: Hi, Pat: Could I have your latest recommendations on Hudson’s Bay Co.? Regards.

A: Hudson’s Bay Co. (symbol HBC on Toronto; www.thebay.com) has five main banners:

  • The Hudson’s Bay chain consists of 90 department stores, one outlet store and an ecommerce site.
  • Lord & Taylor has 49 stores, mainly in the northeastern and mid-Atlantic U.S., and four outlet stores. It also sells goods online.
  • Luxury specialty retailer Saks Fifth Avenue comprises 40 U.S. stores, five international licensed stores and a retail website.
  • Saks Fifth Avenue Off 5th offers discounted merchandise through 79 U.S. stores and its Saks Off 5th website.
  • Home Outfitters is Canada’s largest kitchen, bed and bath specialty superstore, with 69 locations.

In its fiscal 2015 first quarter, which ended May 2, 2015, the company’s revenue rose 11.7%, to $2.07 billion from $1.86 billion a year earlier. Same-store sales gained 11.7%.

Excluding one-time items, Hudson’s Bay lost $0.18 a share, compared to a $0.15-a-share loss a year previous. The company makes most of its profits in its fiscal fourth quarter, which includes the holiday shopping period.


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Growth stocks: New acquisition lets Hudson’s Bay introduce Saks Fifth Avenue to Germany and Belgium

Hudson’s Bay recently agreed to acquire 135-year-old German retailer Galeria Kaufhof from Metro AG for 2.42 billion euros (1 euro = $1.44 Canadian).

Kaufhof is Germany’s biggest department store operator by market share, with 103 Galeria Kaufhof locations and 16 Sportarena stores. It also operates Galeria INNO, Belgium’s only department store chain, with 16 locations across the country. Kaufhof generated 3.1 billion euros of sales in the twelve months ended March 31, 2015.

This is the first move into Europe for Hudson’s Bay. As part of its plan, it will introduce the Saks Fifth Avenue and the Saks Off 5th banners in Germany and Belgium.

Hudson’s Bay plans to finance the acquisition by selling Kaufhof’s stake in 40 properties to its U.S. real-estate joint venture with Simon Property Group for at least 2.4 billion euros. The joint venture already owns the Saks flagship store in Beverly Hills and a Lord & Taylor location in Manhasset, New York, among others.

Any acquisition this big is risky, but Kaufhof is a market leader and is profitable. Its real-estate holdings, many of which are in the centre of German cities, could be worth 2 billion euros or more.

Hudson’s Bay operates in a hugely competitive market, but it does have a number of growth prospects, including increasing its online sales and launching Saks in Europe. It could also unlock the value of its new European real-estate portfolio.

The stock trades at a high 33.5 times this year’s forecast earnings of $0.77 a share. It yields 0.8%.

Inner Circle recommendation: HOLD for aggressive investors.

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