(In a recent Wall Street Stock Forecaster hotline, we updated our buy/sell/hold advice on a technology stock that uses one of our favourite hidden assets to maximum effect. Read on for further details.)

By hidden value, we mean valuable assets that are not getting the attention they deserve from investors. When a company’s assets are wholly or partially hidden, the stock trades for less than it’s really worth, so you get to buy at a bargain price.

High research spending sets tech stocks up for long-term gains

One of the key hidden assets we look for when we’re analyzing tech stocks is high research spending. That’s because tech stocks have to treat their research spending as a day-to-day expense, much like maintenance or taxes. So research spending comes out of the current year’s sales, and it lowers the current year’s earnings. That makes technology stocks with high research spending appear less profitable than they are.

As a result, many tech stocks’ earnings per share may look lower than those of companies in other sectors. That causes some investors to overlook promising tech firms, or see them as overpriced.

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However, research spending has the potential to pay off in dramatic long-term returns. That’s because the products that grow out of this spending will help tech firms increase their long-term sales and profits.

This tech stock’s high research spending continues to fuel its growth

In a recent Wall Street Stock Forecaster hotline, we updated out buy/sell/hold advice on a technology stock that spends a high 15% of its sales on research, chipmaker Intel Corp. (symbol INTC on Nasdaq).

The company has been putting this spending toward developing new chips. For example, the tech stock’s hugely successful Atom chip is used in “netbook” computers. (Netbooks are small, inexpensive laptop computers whose processors are less powerful than those of traditional laptops. Because of their lower prices and portability, they are currently selling faster than desktops and laptops.)

The company is also working on chips for the fast-growing smartphone market. It is developing these chips in partnership with cellphone maker Nokia.

Intel earned $2.9 billion in its latest quarter. That’s up 175.2% from a year earlier. Sales rose 34.2%. Rising spending on new computers by businesses was the main reason for the strong results: Sales of chips for servers (or computers that manage shared files or programs on a network) and business computers rose 42%. Sales of chips for personal computers rose 31%.

The company has also started production at its new, more efficient factories. That has helped improve its profit margins.

You can get our full analysis of the Intel and other stocks in the fast-changing U.S. market in Wall Street Stock Forecaster. Click here to learn how you can get one month free when you subscribe today.

Today’s tip: “Life-long dollar-cost averaging can increase your long-term retirement investing profits”

Dollar-cost averaging involves investing equal amounts of money over a specific period ($200 a month, say). It’s a little like systematic saving, except that you put your money into stocks (or mutual funds) instead of a bank account.

Advantages of dollar-cost averaging:

• Dollar-cost averaging helps build consistent long-term retirement investing returns: Long-term studies show that the stock market as a whole generally produces total pre-tax annual returns of 8% to 10%, or around 6% after inflation. Over periods of a few years or less, the return is far more variable and always uncertain.

  The surest way around this uncertainty is to start practicing dollar-cost averaging as early as possible, and invest regularly over the course of your working years. Then you can sell gradually in retirement.

>Dollar-cost averaging largely frees your retirement investing from stock market trends: In fact, if you invest a fixed sum at regular intervals throughout your working years, perhaps increasing that sum from time to time as your income rises, you can largely forget about market trends. That’s because you’ll automatically buy more shares when prices are low and fewer when they are high, and your retirement investing will benefit from the long-term rising trend in the market.

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Lets look at an example: Let’s go back a little over 9 years, to January 2, 2001. Say your employer pays you an annual bonus of $1,000. As part of your retirement investing, you create a dollar-cost averaging program that involves investing this money every year in shares of Scotiabank (symbol BNS on Toronto), one of the stocks we cover in our Successful Investor newsletter.

On January 2, 2001, Scotiabank shares closed at $20.58 (all share prices adjusted for a 2-for-1 split on April 1, 2004.)

Over the following years, Scotiabank shares rose as high as $54 (in 2007), fell as low as $24 (in the market downturn of 2009), and rebounded to $48.93 on January 4, 2010, when you would have made your latest purchase.

However, thanks to dollar-cost averaging, you would’ve bought more Scotiabank shares when they were low and fewer when they were high. So, if you bought Scotiabank shares on the first trading day of every year from January 2001 through January 2010, your average cost would have only been $37.66 a share.

Right now, Scotiabank is trading at around $51 a share. That means you would be ahead by $13.34 a share, or 35%.

It’s worth noting that this gain doesn’t include Scotiabank’s dividend payments, which have risen significantly over the past 10 years. In 2001, the bank paid an annual rate of $1.24 a share, for a 2.8% yield. By 2010, that payout had risen to an annual rate of $1.96, for a 3.8% yield.

Next Wednesday, August 4, 2010, Investor Toolkit will show you nine key factors you can use to judge a stock’s investment quality.

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That’s especially true when you indulge in aggressive investing in consumer stocks and buy small retailers. They tend to be less well-established than larger companies, such as Canadian Tire. However, aggressive investing in consumer stocks also holds the potential for spectacular gains.

(In a just-published issue of Stock Pickers Digest, our newsletter for aggressive investing, we update our buy/sell/hold advice on a retailer that has risen 36% for us in the past year — and could go even higher. Read on for further details.)

To cut your risk and earn higher profits when aggressive investing in the consumer sector, it’s especially important to focus on retail chains that can adapt quickly and prosper in the fast-changing retail landscape.

This aggressive investing stock’s recent moves put it in a good position to profit from the rebound

In the latest Stock Pickers Digest, we’ve updated our buy/sell advice on Reitmans (symbol RET.A on Toronto). The company has made a number of smart moves to deal with rising competition and a difficult economy.

Reitmans owns 982 women’s clothing stores across Canada. The chain consists of 369 Reitmans, 165 Penningtons, 163 Smart Set, 124 Addition Elle, 76 Thyme Maternity, 66 RW & Co. and 19 Cassis stores.

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The weak economy and higher unemployment in Ontario and Alberta hurt Reitmans’ sales and profits in 2009. In response, the company spent more on advertising and closed unprofitable stores. These moves have helped Reitmans profit as consumer spending has rebounded.

However, a recovering economy hasn’t taken the company’s attention away from controlling its costs. Reitmans continues to monitor its regional markets, and open and close stores as necessary. This year, it’s opening 30 new stores, closing 11 outlets and remodelling 30 stores.

Higher sales, strong Canadian dollar push earnings higher

In the three months ended May 1, 2010, the company’s earnings jumped 111.1% from a year earlier. Sales rose 3.3%. The higher sales were the main reason for the earnings increase. The Canadian dollar’s strength against the U.S. dollar also helped, because Reitmans pays its Chinese suppliers in U.S. dollars.

The company’s sales are still rising: in the month of May, its sales rose 7.3% from May 2009. Same-store sales climbed 5.4%.

As we mentioned, Reitmans has moved up 38% for us in the past year. In the latest Stock Pickers Digest, we look to see if it can go even higher.

You can get our full analysis and clear buy/sell/hold advice on Reitmans and 19 other aggressive investing picks in the latest Stock Pickers Digest. What’s more, you can get this issue absolutely free. Click here to learn how.

1. Taking an overly optimistic view of speculative investments: Some investors generally put too high a value on speculative ventures. They want to believe that innovations will succeed, and that they’ll get a fair chance to profit from investing money in these companies. Their innate politeness stops them from asking tough questions of smooth-talking promoters. Excess optimism plus a shortage of information leads them to pay too much.

That’s why we focus on well-established companies rather than start-ups, even in Stock Pickers Digest, our advisory for investing money in aggressive stocks. Most of our Stock Pickers Digest buys are far better established than your average penny stock.

2. Selling good investments out of boredom: Stock prices tend to move in short spurts, interrupted by lengthy periods when they mainly move sideways. If you focus on price and fail to stay informed about the fundamentals of the stocks you are investing money in, there is a risk that you will begin to make changes just to see some action.

Selling stocks just because you are bored with them is not the kind of mistake that brings immediate losses. But it is sure to cut deeply into your long-term returns. That’s because the market’s top performers over a period of years, if not decades, can bore you to tears for months at a time. They may go sideways for months or years before setting off on a big rise.

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If you can’t resist the temptation of selling due to boredom, our advice is to set up a separate account with money you can afford to lose. That’s the place for dabbling in penny stocks, options, short-term trading or whatever. Focus your recreational-investing urges on this account, so that boredom has no impact on decisions you make for the “serious money” that should make up the bulk of your investments.

3. Consistently bidding below a stock’s market price: Some investors routinely refuse to pay the market price when they are investing money in a stock. These investors always put a bid in below the offer price, in hopes of buying at a slightly better price. The problem here is that some of your investments are going to go up as soon as you buy, and keep going up. Others will go down.

If you always put in a bid below the current market price when you buy, you’ll filter out all your best ideas. You’ll save a few cents from time to time, when a good stock comes down to meet your bid before moving up. But you’ll always miss out on your best investment choices — the stocks that were all set to soar just when you decided to buy.

Worst of all, you’ll still end up investing money in all your bad choices, since they will always come down to meet your bid.

You can get our latest stock trading tips, plus buy/sell/hold advice on stocks you may be considering buying (or selling), in our Successful Investor newsletter. Click here to learn how you can get one month free when you subscribe today.

If a stock market investment’s beta is below 1.0, the stock is less volatile than the market. High-beta stocks above 1.0 are generally more volatile than the market. (If a stock has a negative beta, it has an inverse relationship with the market; it tends to fall when the market goes up, and vice versa.)

By following our three-part advice, you naturally diversify into high- and low-beta stock market investments

In a rising market, high-beta stocks tend to jump ahead of the market indexes. However, when the market declines sharply, high-beta stocks can fall more quickly than the market, and be slower to recover. Low-beta stocks may not move up as quickly as the market indexes, but they’re unlikely to fall as far during market declines.

In managing the portfolios of clients of our Successful Investor Wealth Management service, we employ our three-part investment strategy: invest mainly in well-established, dividend-paying companies; spread your stock market investments across the five main economic sectors (Manufacturing & Industry, Resources & Commodities, Consumer, Finance and Utilities); and avoid stocks in the broker/public-relations limelight.

By doing this, we naturally diversify into high- and low-beta stock market investments. That adds the potential for strong gains when the market is rising, but also adds an element of stability that helps protect your portfolio when the market declines.

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That’s in contrast to market advisors and portfolio managers who take on a lot of risk by loading up on high-beta stocks. These managers can show bursts of high performance when the market is rising. However, when the market declines sharply, these portfolio managers can lose far more than the market, and be far slower to recover — if they recover at all.

For instance, many portfolio managers who focused on high-beta stocks fell much further than the market in the second half of 2008, when the TSX dropped more than 50%. Our selections, on the other hand, fell a lot less than the overall market, and have rebounded much faster.

Well-established companies are the key to earning consistent returns — with greater safety

It’s hard if not impossible to predict when the market will jump. It’s even harder to predict when a rising market will reverse course and plunge. This simple fact of investment life causes an extraordinary amount of loss and investor bewilderment. That’s because it’s all too easy to give yourself credit for a gain that you owe to buying a high-beta stock when the market is rising, or just before the market takes off.

If you mistakenly give yourself credit for a gain like this, you may then go on to fill your portfolio with more of the same kind of stock. That can keep on paying off for a time. But inevitably the market quits soaring and stumbles. When that happens, the worst stocks to hold are the high-beta variety. When the market is falling, they tend to fall even faster.

If stocks like these make up a big part of your portfolio, even a mild market downturn can leave you with horrendous losses.

Keep beta ratings in perspective

All in all, a stock’s beta rating makes a broad statement about its history of volatility. Unfortunately, it tells you nothing about its inherent safety or future prospects. For that, we look to the nine key factors we analyze in awarding one of our six Successful Investor ratings (Highest Quality, Above Average, Average, Extra Risk, Speculative and Start-up). We’ll examine these ratings more closely in one of our upcoming Wednesday Investor Toolkit updates.

If you’d like me to personally apply my time-tested approach to your investments, you should consider becoming a client of my Successful Investor Wealth Management service. Click here to learn more.

Prices have moved down from that speculative high to today’s price of about $40.00 a pound. But conditions look favourable for higher long-term uranium demand.

Risks and rewards of Canadian uranium stocks

Many emerging countries, such as China, India and Russia, are increasing their nuclear-power use as they switch from power plants that run on coal and oil. For example, China plans to build at least 60 nuclear power plants by 2020, including 24 that are currently under construction.

That’s brightening the prospects of one of the Canadian uranium stocks we’ve long covered in our Stock Pickers Digest newsletter. This company recently signed a big deal with a Chinese nuclear-power utility. Read on for further details.

In addition, there are now 59 nuclear-power plants under construction worldwide (including the 24 Chinese plants). That’s up from 34 in 2008 and 32 in 2007.

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While these factors look promising, investing in Canadian uranium stocks does entail some unique risks. With any mine, for example, there is a long lead time from exploration and discovery to production. That’s especially so with uranium, which needs extra regulatory approval because of its radioactivity.

Cameco: A world-dominating Canadian uranium stock that’s expanding production

In a recent Stock Pickers Digest hotline, we updated our buy/sell/hold advice on the world’s largest uranium producer, Cameco Corp. (Toronto symbol CCO).

The company supplies over 18% of global production. Most of the Canadian uranium stock’s uranium comes from its 70%-owned McArthur River mine and the Rabbit Lake mine, both of which are in Saskatchewan’s Athabasca Basin. It also owns the Crow Butte and Highland mines in the U.S.

Cameco is now developing Cigar Lake, the world’s richest unmined uranium deposit. The Cigar Lake mine could eventually produce more than 10% of global output. Production will likely begin in 2013.

Big Chinese contract adds growth prospects

The stock has moved up since June 24, 2010. That’s when the company announced its first major long-term uranium-supply agreement with a Chinese nuclear utility.

Under the agreement, Cameco will deliver 23 million pounds of uranium oxide to China National Nuclear Corp. (CNNC) by 2020. At current levels, that equals roughly one year of Cameco’s production.

CNNC is China’s largest nuclear-power producer. The state-owned company operates seven reactors with a total capacity of 5,100 megawatts. As well, it is building 10 of China’s 24 new reactors. Together, these new reactors will be capable of producing an additional 9,100 megawatts.

Separately, Cameco recently announced that it signed a memorandum of understanding with China Guangdong Nuclear Power Holding Co. (CGNPC). That will give Cameco the opportunity to negotiate a long-term supply agreement with CGNPC. The companies may also jointly develop some uranium mines.

CGNPC is China’s fastest-growing nuclear producer. Right now, it operates two nuclear-power stations with a total capacity of 4,000 megawatts. CGNPC is also building the remaining 14 new Chinese nuclear-power stations. That’s expected to push up its generating capacity to more than 50,000 megawatts by 2020.

You can get our latest buy/sell/hold advice on Cameco and dozens of other stocks that may be suitable for the part of your portfolio you devote to aggressive investing in Stock Pickers Digest. What’s more, you can get one month free when you subscribe today. Click here to learn how.

Today’s tip: “It pays to stay aware of market risk, but don’t let it become an obsession.”

As we saw in the past few years, stock prices do sometimes reach a market peak or “top,” then go into a deep slump that lasts a year or two, or even longer. However, some investors and advisors make a career out of analyzing past market tops and the declines that followed. These “top-stalkers” always seem to think the next such decline is just around the corner. Here are three common top-stalker categories:

• Permabears. Many of these investors failed to buy when stocks hit a low in 2009, or earlier great buying opportunities, such as in 2002, 1998, 1992 — or even 1987. They bitterly resent this lost opportunity for investing in the stock market, and they let it colour their outlook on the future. To permabears, stock prices always seem “too high.” They let their wish for a second chance to buy cheap turn into a prediction of an imminent, once-in-a-generation market crash that may come decades in the future, if ever.

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• Commercial alarmists. Pessimism and dire predictions are the stock-in-trade of some newsletter publishers. They cater to investors who share their views. Some have regularly predicted financial calamity for 20 years or more. Some tie their grim predictions in with predictions of terrorism and social breakdown, the spread of new viruses, such as H1N1, and lately, tight oil supplies caused by restrictions on offshore drilling. Their forecasts are the investment counterpart of Elvis sightings.
• Lucky-lines/magic-numbers specialists. These investors and advisors practice an extreme, near-mystical form of technical analysis (market analysis that focuses on stock-price changes and trading data rather than company fundamentals). Instead of an aid to profitable investing, they are looking for what you might call “a sign from heaven” that we about to enter the “7 bad years.”

Our advice: Be a cautious optimist. Don’t let top-stalkers or other market pessimists keep you from investing in the stock market. Instead, control risk by following our three-part strategy: Invest mainly in well-established, dividend-paying companies; spread your money across most, if not all, of the five main economic sectors (Manufacturing & Industry, Resources & Commodities, Consumer, Finance and Utilities); and avoid stocks in the broker/public-relations limelight.

If you buy gradually during the course of your working years (this is known as “dollar-cost averaging”), market declines will have little effect on your long-term profits. Next Wednesday, July 28, 2010, Investor Toolkit will demonstrate how to use this technique to maximum advantage.

If you have investment-related questions, or if you’d like to ask me about stocks you’re considering buying (or selling), you should join my Inner Circle service. Click here to learn more.

That should spur more development of less-risky onshore oil and natural-gas deposits, particularly Canada’s oil sands.

Safety, falling costs could drive producers back to the land

The oil sands have drawn criticism from environmentalists and politicians, mainly because the process of recovering heavy oil from the oil sands produces higher carbon emissions than conventional sources. Even so, onshore oil-sands production remains much safer than offshore operations like the BP well.

Moreover, producers are lowering the high costs of oil-sands production by using more efficient technology that injects steam into wells to loosen the heavy oil, and makes it easier to pump to the surface. (More on a company that’s at the forefront of this “steam-assisted” technique below.)

One obvious way to profit from the expansion of the oil sands is by investing in blue chip stocks (or strong, well-established companies) with large oil-sands operations, like Suncor (symbol SU on Toronto), which we cover in our Successful Investor newsletter.

Suncor is Canada’s largest oil producer. Its oil-sands operations account for two-thirds of its production. The remainder comes from conventional oil and natural gas.

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Blue chip stocks that supply the oil sands help cut your risk

Another way to tap into the expansion of the oil sands is through blue chip stocks that supply equipment and services to oil-sands producers. Many of these firms have businesses that go beyond the resource sector. That helps cut their risk.

In a just published issue of The Successful Investor, we update our buy/sell/hold advice on one such company, engineering and construction firm SNC-Lavalin Group (symbol SNC on Toronto). What’s more, SNC has designed a system to recover heavy oil from the oil sands.

Aside from its resource-based businesses, SNC mainly designs and builds large public-works projects, such as roads, bridges, transit systems and water-treatment plants. It also builds chemical plants and electrical power systems.

This blue chip stock’s oil-recovery system could be a growth area

Petroleum and chemical projects accounted for 14% of SNC’s 2009 revenue. Last year, the company designed and built a new steam-assisted gravity-drainage system for Husky Energy Inc.’s Sunrise oil-sands project. This technology injects steam into a well to loosen the heavy oil and make it easier to pump to the surface. SNC is working on similar systems for two oil-sands projects jointly owned by Teck Resources Ltd. and UTS Energy Corp.

In the three months ended March 31, 2010, SNC’s earnings fell 7.2% from a year earlier, and revenue declined 14.7%. However, that’s mainly because the company has completed, or is close to completing, several major projects. Its results should improve as it begins work on several new projects, including an expansion of a health centre at Montreal’s McGill University, and a highway near Calgary.

We take a close look at SNC’s growth strategy and give you our clear buy/sell/hold advice on the stock in the latest issue of The Successful Investor. What’s more, you can get this just-published issue absolutely free when you subscribe today. Click here to learn how.

The general view on these stocks seems to be that they are can’t-miss investments because the baby boomers are reaching an age when they will need drugs for a number of medical conditions, and are willing to pay for them.

Look beyond rising demand from boomers when investing in drug stocks

We agree that the aging of the boomers will create demand for drugs. But there are several drawbacks to drug companies that you should keep in mind if you are thinking of investing in them. Here are three major hurdles most drug stocks face:

1. High research and regulatory costs: Drug firms need to spend heavily to create new drugs, and spend even more to gain regulatory approval. Even then, they only get to profit for a limited time before patents run out and generic products appear. Then too, their research spending may lead to dead ends, rather than new drugs that fill a need and can overcome the regulatory hurdles.

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2. Aggressive competition: Drug stocks must deal with increasing litigation and aggressive competition from generics as drugs come off patent. For example, U.S. drugmaker Warner Chilcott (symbol WCRX on Nasdaq) recently filed a lawsuit to stop another drug firm, Lupin Ltd., from making generic versions of its Femcon and Loestrin birth-control pills. Lupin claims that these drugs’ patents are invalid.

3. No brand loyalty: Demand for effective drugs can evaporate overnight, long before the patent expires, if more effective drugs come along. Unlike many other manufacturers, drug stocks don’t benefit from brand loyalty.

However, if you want to invest in drug stocks, we think you should focus on those that have high cash holdings and a number of drugs in the pipeline. All the better if they have access to fast-growing markets, like China, India and Latin America.

Look to medical-supply firms for lower risk gains

Instead of drug companies, consider medical-equipment suppliers. Demand for medical equipment tends to grow, or at least hold steady, regardless of swings in the overall economy. Many of these firms also get recurring revenue, mainly from long-time customers. They also face little competition from generic products, and stand to gain from the aging of the boomers.

Beckman Coulter (symbol BEC on New York) is one example of such a stock. We cover Beckman in our Wall Street Stock Forecaster newsletter.

Beckman makes lab equipment that doctors and researchers use to detect substances in bodily fluids. Beckman gets 90% of its sales from hospitals and clinics. Research labs account for the remaining 10%.

Like drugs, demand for Beckman’s tests should continue to rise as the population ages. Moreover, demand for both drugs and medical equipment is expected to rise as the new U.S. health-care system (nicknamed “Obamacare”) extends coverage to over 32 million Americans who are currently uninsured. That could put Beckman in an ideal position to profit as the major parts of the new system are put in place.

You can get our full analysis of Beckman Coulter and other stocks in the fast-changing U.S. market in Wall Street Stock Forecaster. Click here to learn how you can get one month free when you subscribe today.

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When the economy is weak, gold’s popularity rises. As an informed Canadian investor, you’ve likely noticed that this has been the case in the wake of the 2008/09 stock-market crash and recession.

Gold broke through the $1,000 U.S. mark in 2009, and has set a number of new all-time highs since.

But despite these huge gains, gold remains volatile, and gold investing has many hidden risks that can seriously hurt your returns. That’s why, if you invest in gold, you really shouldn’t be without our new free report, Gold Investing: 7 Profitable Strategies for Investing in Canadian Gold Stocks.

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