Topic: How To Invest

What is Pat’s commentary for the week of July 25, 2017

Article Excerpt

Dear Inner Circle member, In doing research for my latest quarterly letter to clients, I was struck once again by today’s lop-sided view of the long-term market outlook. You’ll find lots of references to how far and how fast the market has gone up in the past eight years, compared to the long-term averages. This idea suggests the rise is nearing a natural end and can soon come tumbling down. You’ll find hardly any references to the idea that the market may have set off a new “secular bull market”. This is a bull market—a rising market—that lasts an unusually long time. One standard description is anywhere from five to 25 years. This idea would suggest that today’s eight-year-old rise could have a long way to go. If I had to guess between the two extremes, I’d say we are in a secular bull market that’s likely to last till 2020, and possibly longer. Fortunately, however, we don’t have to make those kind…