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Topic: Mining Stocks

Mining stocks: Newmont Mining counters gold slump by adding quality reserves, cutting costs

Newmont Mining

Gold prices are near six-year lows. However, companies with high-quality reserves that have used this period of weak prices to get their costs under control should make big gains when prices start to rise. Newmont Mining, a leading producer of gold and copper, is cutting costs and increasing production. Newmont has boosted its gold production with a recently acquired mine. As well, higher copper production from its Indonesian mine has also helped offset lower prices. We see Newmont Mining as a mining stock for conservative investors to hold over the long-term.

NEWMONT MINING CORP. (New York symbol NEM; www.newmont.com) is one of the world’s largest gold and copper producers, with major mines in the U.S., Peru, Suriname, Australia, Ghana and Indonesia.

In August 2015, Newmont paid $821 million for the Cripple Creek & Victor mine in Colorado. This project will produce 350,000 to 400,000 ounces of gold a year once the company completes the mine’s current expansion in 2016.


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The Cripple Creek acquisition helped increase Newmont’s gold production by 16.1% in the three months ended September 30, 2015, to 1.34 million ounces from 1.15 million ounces a year earlier. Copper output surged 269.2% on higher ore grades at the Batu Hijau mine in Indonesia.

The production increase helped offset lower gold and copper prices and resulted in a 16.4% increase in the company’s overall revenue, to $2.0 billion from $1.75 billion.

Even so, earnings dropped 49.4%, to $126 million, or $0.23 a share, from $249 million, or $0.50. That’s mainly because the year-earlier quarter included a $47- million tax benefit, compared to a $151-million expense in 2015.

Newmont’s long-term debt of $6.1 billion is a high 60% of its market cap. However, it also holds cash of $3.0 billion.

Mining stocks: New mines will lower costs

As it opens new mines, the company expects its gold production to rise from between 4.7 million and 5.1 million ounces in 2015 to 5.2 million to 5.7 million ounces in 2017. After that, its annual output will likely fall to between 4.5 million and 5.0 million ounces from 2018 to 2020.

In addition, the company expects its operating costs to decline from around $910 an ounce in 2015 to $900 in 2017 as these new mines begin regular operations.

That will help Newmont cope with weaker gold prices. The company’s earnings will probably creep up from $1.10 a share in 2015 to $1.15 in 2016. The stock trades at 16.5 times the 2016 forecast. The $0.10- a-share dividend yields 0.5%.

Recommendation in Wall Street Stock Forecaster: HOLD .

For our advice on making profitable selections in mining stocks, read: Copper stocks have advantages over precious metal investments.

For our advice on making investment decisions about major and junior mining stocks, read What are mining stocks?

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