Trading strategies are systems for investing that purport to predict future price movements from past data. A trading strategy generally has a central idea that guides the rest of the strategy. For example, a sector rotation strategy is a trading methodology whereby an investor tries to predict which market sectors will be in favour at a given time. They then aim to purchase the top performing stocks in that sector.
Automated trading strategies and systems make trading decisions for you. They do two core things for investors. First, they narrow down the data you use to make investment decisions. Second, they apply some fixed rule or rules to draw a conclusion or an investment decision from that selection of data.
The problem is that it’s easy to create software that would have made profitable investments in the past. That’s because the program has all the data for the past period, and can try various combinations of buying and selling rules to see if they would have worked.
However, markets are constantly changing. A rule that worked last year may fail miserably this year. Your black box has to compete against other black boxes created this year that also benefit from the latest software and up-to-date market data.
These systems often seem to work for a time, but that’s usually coincidental. If the market is going up and they tell you to buy volatile investments, they may generate a series of profitable trades. Then they quit working, and begin pumping out unprofitable trades. Often this happens just when they can do the most damage to their users.
It all comes down to a basic rule of the universe: if trading was as easy as promoters of trading systems make it out to be, why would anybody work?
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Unlike conservative long-term stock trading strategies, a sector rotation strategy rarely works. That’s because you need to guess right twice to profit from sector rotation
We have long advised focusing on conservative long term stock trading strategies and against practicing a top-down sector rotation strategy, and… Read More
Using option and future trading strategies can turn a modest stake into a fortune. In practice, most of these speculators wind up losing money
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Frequent Online stock market trading can lead to selling your best stocks way too soon. Buy and hold blue chip stocks as we recommend to make more money in the long run
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These two ETFs scored well at the annual Thomson Reuters Lipper Fund Awards. That reflects their performance over the last three years, along with their scores in other key areas.
However, we continue to recommend investors limit their ETF selection to funds that track established… Read More
What will make me the most money—trading vs investing? That’s a question many investors ask. The answers may surprise you.
Long-term wealth-building strategies aren’t built by aiming for outsized returns. They are built over time, and most importantly, by learning how not to repeat the market… Read More
Dear Inner Circle member,
ETFs, or exchange traded funds, started out as a discount alternative to mutual funds. The costs of investing in an ETF are much lower than costs associated with a conventional mutual fund, and early ETFs focused on simpler goals.
Instead of picking and… Read More
The ETF, or exchange traded fund, is the biggest advance for individual investors since the introduction of discount brokers. But keep in mind that ETFs are a limited-purpose investing tool.
You might think of an ETF as a discount version of a mutual fund. Instead of… Read More
When investors ask us about our conservative investing strategy, they often wonder when they should dump a weak stock from their portfolio and replace it with something new.
Knowing when to sell is part of our conservative investing strategy that we cover in our new… Read More
We recently read the Yahoo news story of Ddalgi (Korean for “Strawberry”), a five-year-old parrot from Papua, New Guinea, who competed with 10 human investors in a stock-picking contest in South Korea.
Strawberry’s stock market picks reportedly posted a 13.7% return. While not good enough… Read More
Learn everything you need to know in 'The Canadian Guide on How to Invest in Stocks Successfully' FREE Special Report from The Successful Investor.
How to Invest In Stocks Guide: Find 10 factors that make your investments safer and stronger.
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