The Successful Investor Hotline – Friday, July 17, 2009

Article Excerpt

POTASH CORP. OF SASKATCHEWAN, $101.95, Toronto symbol POT, moved up 4% on speculation that Brazilian mining company Vale SA is preparing to launch a takeover offer for U.S.-based potash producer Mosaic Co. (New York symbol MOS). Potash Corp. is down from last July’s high of $227 due to falling potash prices and demand. However, Vale’s potential interest in Mosaic has spurred the stock prices of most fertilizer producers, including Agrium (see below). The Vale-Mosaic speculation also helped Potash Corp. overcome a drop earlier in the week on news that Russian potash producer Silvinit agreed to sell potash to Indian Potash Ltd. for $460 a tonne (all amounts except share price in U.S. dollars). Indian Potash imports and distributes about 70% of India’s potash needs. The $460 price is a lot less than the $700 that Canpotex will receive from its recent contracts to sell potash to buyers in Japan, South Korea and Taiwan. Canpotex is a potash marketing and exporting firm…