Buy Northbridge, Hold Kingsway

Article Excerpt

NORTHBRIDGE FINANCIAL CORP. $35.75 (Toronto symbol NB; SI Rating: Speculative) (416-366- 9544; no web site; Shares outstanding: 49.7 million; Market cap: $1.7 billion) is one of the largest commercial property and casualty insurers in Canada. This includes commercial businesses, homes and vehicles. Around 88% of Northbridge’s business is with commercial clients and 12% is in personal lines. Commercial lines are the most profitable part of the insurance business and are Northbridge’s main focus. In the three months ended March 31, 2008, Northbridge’s earnings rose 134.4%, to $105.5 million or $2.13 a share, from $45 million or $0.89 a share. One-time investment gains pushed up earnings in the latest quarter. Revenues rose 33.7%, to $440.3 million from $329.3 million. Despite the improved results, Northbridge’s combined ratio, or claims paid out divided by premiums taken in (the lower the better), moved up to 98.9% from 93.5%. This deterioration came mostly from intense pricing competition in commercial lines. Northbridge trades for just 1.1 times its book…