Topic: How To Invest

What is Pat’s commentary for the week of January 24, 2023

Article Excerpt

Here’s Part Two of the most-recent letter I sent to our Portfolio Management clients in October 2022: “Side-stepping the Thucydides Trap Thucydides was a fourth-century BC Athenian historian and general. He’s remembered for his book about the Peloponnesian War (431–404 BC), which was fought between the Peloponnesian League (led by Sparta) and the Delian League (led by Athens). The book concludes, “What made war inevitable was the growth of Athenian power and the fear which this caused in Sparta.” Later writers generalized this to mean that when a rising power (as Athens was at the time) challenges a dominant power (as Sparta was back then), war is inevitable. I first came across the term “Thucydides Trap” several years ago, in reviews of recent books related to the subject. It seems the authors took the words of Thucydides to heart and believed the U.S. and China were likely to go to war. This possibility sparked a lot of discussion, especially since U.S. President Donald Trump…