Topic: How To Invest

What is Pat’s commentary for the week of May 16, 2023

Article Excerpt

Here’s Part Two of the most-recent letter I sent to our Portfolio Management clients in February 2023: “ Yes, but what about World War III? After Russia invaded Ukraine around this time last year, I began to wonder if there was any real risk that this marked the start of World War III. After all, a lot of academics seemed to be writing about the Thucydides Trap (which I mentioned in our client letter last fall), based on what seemed like rising trade tension between the U.S. and China. President Joe Biden’s slapdash U.S. exit from Afghanistan might have strengthened Putin’s confidence that he could get away with a second blatant invasion of Ukraine, as he did with his Crimea annexation in 2014. However, China has shown no interest in allying with Russia for World War III. In fact, it has toned down its military posturing since last fall, after it shed tears of rage about Nancy Pelosi’s trip to Taiwan. China and Russia both…