Pat McKeough

A professional investment analyst for more than 30 years, Pat has developed a stock-selection technique that has proven reliable in both bull and bear markets. His proprietary ValuVesting System™ focuses on stocks that provide exceptional quality at relatively low prices. Many savvy investors and industry leaders consider it the most powerful stock-picking method ever created.

As early as 1980, Pat was recognized as #1 in the world of published investment advice by the Washington, DC–based Newsletter Publishers Association, and he was the first multi-year winner of The Globe and Mail’s stock picking contest.

Both CBS MarketWatch and The Hulbert Financial Digest recognized Pat as one of North America’s top stock analysts. The Wall Street Journal called him “one of only four investment newsletter advisors who have managed to serve their readers well over the long haul.”

A best-selling Canadian author, he wrote Riding the Bull, his 1993 book that predicted the stock-market boom of the last half of that decade. Through his many television appearances, he is well-known to investors for his insightful analysis and his candid, unpretentious style.

Bottom line: Pat’s conservative, reduced-risk strategy is a proven approach to safe investing.

Posts by the author
What does a diversified portfolio look like? A well-diversified portfolio balances risk by spreading investment holdings out by industry sector and other factors
VERESEN $10.85 (Toronto symbol VSN; Shares outstanding: 293.1 million; Market cap: $3.2 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Dividend yield: 9.2%; www.vereseninc.com) owns pipelines, power plants and gas-processing facilities across North America.

A major holding is 50% of the Alliance gas line, which runs 3,000 kilometres between Chicago and Fort St. John, B.C. Veresen also owns the Alberta Ethane Gathering System, 42.7% of the Aux Sable natural gas liquids plant and the Hythe/Steeprock natural gas gathering and processing complex in the Cutbank Ridge region of Alberta and B.C. In the three months ended September 30, 2015, Veresen’s cash flow per share rose 31.6%, to $0.25 from $0.19 a year earlier.

In late 2014, Veresen paid $1.43 billion for 50% of the Ruby pipeline, which runs 1,100 kilometres from Wyoming to Oregon. Partner Kinder Morgan operates the line, which generates steady cash flow.

...
PENGROWTH ENERGY $1.36 (Toronto symbol PGF; Shares outstanding: 540.7 million; Market cap: $789.4 million; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Dividend yield: 2.9%; www.pengrowth.com) continues to sell less important properties and focus on more promising operations. This includes its Lindbergh oil sands project in Alberta.

The company has now agreed to sell its Bodo project in eastern Alberta for $95 million. Including this deal, it has now sold $300 million worth of properties in 2015 and expects to reach its full-year goal of $600 million.

Pengrowth will use the proceeds to pay down its long-term debt, which stood at $1.9 billion on June 30, 2015. That’s a high 2.4 times its currently depressed market cap.

...
CENOVUS ENERGY $21.19 (Toronto symbol CVE; Shares outstanding: 833.3 million; Market cap: $17.7 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Dividend yield: 3.0%; www.cenovus.com) gets 35% of its revenue from its Western Canadian oil sands properties and conventional oil and gas wells. Chief among these assets are its 50%-owned Christina Lake and Foster Creek oil sands projects.

Refining—which gains from lower oil prices— supplies the remaining 65% of Cenovus’s revenue. The company ships its oil to its 50%-owned refineries in Illinois and Texas. (Phillips 66 owns the other 50%.)

In the three months ended September 30, 2015, the company’s production rose 5.7%, to 210,422 barrels a day from 199,089 a year earlier. However, lower oil prices cut its cash flow per share by 59.2%, to $0.53 from $1.30.

...
IMPERIAL OIL $44.63 (Toronto symbol IMO; Shares outstanding: 847.6 million; Market cap: $37.8 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Dividend yield: 1.3%; www.imperialoil.ca) is a major integrated oil company with oil sands projects in Alberta and conventional oil and gas operations across Western Canada. It also operates three refineries and 1,700 Esso gas stations. Imperial recently finished the second phase of its 71%-owned Kearl oil sands project in northern Alberta.

In the three months ended September 30, 2015, Imperial’s share of Kearl’s output was 192,000 barrels a day. That helped push its overall production up 25.7%, to 386,000 barrels of oil equivalent a day from 307,000 a year earlier.

However, lower oil prices cut its revenue by 25.9%, to $7.2 billion from $9.7 billion. Cash flow per share fell 32.9%, to $1.10 from $1.64. Imperial plans to keep expanding Kearl and Cold Lake, its two main oil sands properties. These projects will prosper when oil prices recover, and they should last for decades. Meanwhile, the company’s refineries cut its exposure to falling oil prices, as cheaper crude cuts the refineries’ input costs and increases their profit margins.

...
ISHARES CDN REIT SECTOR INDEX FUND $15.10 (Toronto symbol XRE; buy or sell through brokers; ca.ishares.com) holds the 15 Canadian real estate investment trusts in the S&P/TSX Capped REIT Index.

iShares CDN REIT’s expenses are 0.60% of its assets. The fund yields 5.5%.

The ETF’s largest holding is RioCan REIT at 20.1%, followed by H&R REIT (14.4%), Smart REIT (8.5%), Canadian Apartment Properties REIT (7.9%), Canadian REIT (7.7%), Allied Properties REIT (6.7%), Cominar REIT (6.1%), Dream Office REIT (5.6%), Boardwalk REIT (5.1%), Artis REIT (4.6%), Granite REIT (4.4%), Crombie REIT (2.5%), Dream Global REIT (2.4%), Pure Industrial REIT (2.1%) and Northern Property REIT (1.5%).

...

SUN LIFE FINANCIAL $44.67
(Toronto symbol SLF; Shares outstanding: 610.6 million; Market cap: $27.2 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; Dividend yield: 3.5%; www.sunlife.ca) sells life insurance, savings, retirement and pension products to individuals and corporations. The company has $812.6 billion of assets under management and mainly operates in Canada, the U.S. and the U.K. It’s also expanding in Asia. In the three months ended September 30, 2015, Sun Life’s earnings per share rose 2.4%, to $0.86 from $0.84.

The company continues continues to expand in the U.S. At the same time, it’s cutting its risk by focusing on highly profitable niche markets with low capital reserve requirements.

...
GREAT-WEST LIFECO $34.21 (Toronto symbol GWO; Shares outstanding: 997.4 million; Market cap: $34.1 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; Yield: 3.8%; www.greatwestlifeco.com) is one of Canada’s largest insurance firms. It also offers mutual funds and wealth management. Power Financial owns 67.1% of Great-West.

In the three months ended June 30, 2015, Great-West’s earnings per share rose 6.5%, to $0.66 from $0.63 a year earlier.

In recent years, Great-West has bought firms in Ireland and the U.S. that have added new business lines and boosted its profits. Growth by acquisition can be risky, but the company’s large size lets it take advantage of opportunities with strong chances of success.

...
RIOCAN REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST $25.36 (Toronto symbol REI.UN; Units outstanding: 319.4 million; Market cap: $8.1 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Dividend yield: 5.6%; www.riocan.com) is Canada’s largest real estate investment trust.

In the three months ended September 30, 2015, RioCan’s cash flow rose 2.3%, to $0.44 a unit from $0.43 a year earlier.

Revenue gained 4.5%, to $320.6 million from $306.9 million. The trust continues to do a good job of hanging onto tenants and renewing leases at higher rates: rents on renewals rose 8.6% in Canada and 9.8% in the U.S.

...
VANGUARD FTSE EMERGING MARKETS ETF $35.74 (New York symbol VWO; buy or sell through brokers) aims to track the Financial Times Stock Exchange (FTSE) Emerging Index, which is made up of common stocks of companies in developing countries. The fund’s MER is just 0.15%.

The Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF’s top holdings include Taiwan Semiconductor (Taiwan: computer chips), Tencent Holdings (China: Internet), China Mobile, China Construction Bank, Naspers Ltd. (South Africa: media), Industrial & Commercial Bank of China, Bank of China, Hon Hai Precision Industry (Taiwan: electronics), Infosys (India: information technology) and Housing Development Finance (India: banking).

The $49.7-billion fund’s breakdown by country is as follows: China, 27.2%; Taiwan, 14.4%; India, 13.3%; South Africa, 9.4%; Brazil, 7.2%; Mexico, 5.5%; Russia, 4.5%; Malaysia, 4.0%; Thailand, 2.7%; Indonesia, 2.2%; Philippines, 1.9%; Poland, 1.8%; Turkey, 1.6%; and others, 4.3%.

...