Pat McKeough

A professional investment analyst for more than 30 years, Pat has developed a stock-selection technique that has proven reliable in both bull and bear markets. His proprietary ValuVesting System™ focuses on stocks that provide exceptional quality at relatively low prices. Many savvy investors and industry leaders consider it the most powerful stock-picking method ever created.

As early as 1980, Pat was recognized as #1 in the world of published investment advice by the Washington, DC–based Newsletter Publishers Association, and he was the first multi-year winner of The Globe and Mail’s stock picking contest.

Both CBS MarketWatch and The Hulbert Financial Digest recognized Pat as one of North America’s top stock analysts. The Wall Street Journal called him “one of only four investment newsletter advisors who have managed to serve their readers well over the long haul.”

A best-selling Canadian author, he wrote Riding the Bull, his 1993 book that predicted the stock-market boom of the last half of that decade. Through his many television appearances, he is well-known to investors for his insightful analysis and his candid, unpretentious style.

Bottom line: Pat’s conservative, reduced-risk strategy is a proven approach to safe investing.

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If you want to find out how to hire a stock broker who meets your needs, you need to watch out above all for conflicts of interest
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP. $161 (New York symbol IBM, Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 985.0 million; Market cap: $158.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.8; Dividend yield: 3.2%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.ibm.com) has developed a new computer chip with four times more transistors than current models by using a silicon-germanium base instead of pure silicon. This innovation will greatly speed up computers while using much less power.

The company has sold most of its chipmaking operations over the past few years, so if this technology becomes commercially viable, IBM will license it to other manufacturers. Faster chips would also make the company’s analytics software perform better.

IBM is a buy.

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BAXALTA INC. $31 (New York symbol BXLT; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 544.3 million; Market cap: $16.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: n.a.; Dividend yield: 0.9%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.baxalta.com) makes vaccines and drugs in three main areas: hematology (blood diseases), immunology (immune system) and oncology (cancer).

Before former parent Baxter spun off Baxalta, it bought Germany-based SuppreMol for $225 million. This firm develops drugs for disorders in which the immune system attacks healthy tissue.

Baxter also paid $900 million for the Oncaspar leukemia drug, from Italian pharmaceutical firm Sigma- Tau Finanziaria. Oncaspar has $100 million in annual sales.

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BAXTER INTERNATIONAL INC. $39 (New York symbol BAX; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 544.3 million; Market cap: $21.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.3; Dividend yield: 1.2%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.baxter.com) makes a variety of medical devices, such as intravenous pumps and kidney-dialysis equipment. Hospital products supply 60% of its revenue; the remaining 40% comes from renal (kidney disease) equipment.

On July 1, 2015, the company spun off Baxalta, a maker of vaccines and other drugs. Investors received one Baxalta share as a tax-deferred dividend for every Baxter share they held.

Baxter still owns 19.5% of Baxalta; it plans to sell or distribute these shares within five years. As a separate firm, Baxter expects its research costs to fall from 6% of revenue to less than 5.5%.

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GANNETT CO., INC. $13 (New York symbol GCI; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector: Shares outstanding: 114.9 million; Market cap: $1.5 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: n.a.; Dividend yield: 4.9%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.gannett.com) publishes daily newspapers in 92 U.S. markets, including its flagship newspaper, USAToday, as well as 19 papers in the U.K. It also has over 200 magazines and other publications.

As a separate firm, Gannett should earn $1.98 a share in 2015, and the stock trades at just 6.6 times that figure. The $0.64 dividend yields 4.9%.

Gannett is still a buy.

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TEGNA INC. $29 (New York symbol TGNA; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector: Shares outstanding: 226.9 million; Market cap: $6.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.1; Dividend yield: 1.9%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.tegna.com) owns 46 TV stations, as well as websites that attract over 39 million unique visitors a month.

Gannett spun off its newspaper-publishing operations on June 29, 2015.

Investors received two shares of the new Gannett for each share they held. The rest of the company became Tegna. Investors only become liable for capital gains taxes when they sell.

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PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC. $38
(Nasdaq symbol PYPL; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 1.2 billion; Market cap: $45.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: n.a.; No dividends paid; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.paypal.com) processes online transactions, including purchases made through eBay’s auction websites. In the past few years, it has expanded into stores and mobile payments. eBay investors received one PayPal share for each eBay share they held. They only become liable for capital gains taxes when they sell their new shares. Operating as a separate firm will let PayPal pursue alliances with more retailers, cutting its reliance on eBay. At the same time, it continues to invest in its mobile operations, which will help it profit as more people buy goods and pay bills through smartphones.

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EBAY INC. $29 (Nasdaq symbol EBAY; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 1.2 billion; Market cap: $34.8 billion; Priceto- sales ratio: 1.9; No dividends paid; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.ebay.com) launched its online auction site in September 1995 and now has 157 million users worldwide. Sellers pay fees to list and sell their goods through eBay’s websites.

In addition to used goods, the company continues to sell more merchandise from retailers, which is helping it compete with Amazon.com. Right now, over 60% of eBay’s total transactions are sales of new items at fixed prices.

The company also operates several other popular websites, including StubHub (ticket sales for live events), Shopping. com (comparison shopping) and Rent.com (apartment and house rentals). These services are in addition to its local websites, which sell classified ads in over 1,000 cities.

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AMERICAN EXPRESS CO. $76 (New York symbol AXP, Conservative Growth Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 1.0 billion; Market cap: $76.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.4; Yield: 1.5%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.americanexpress.com) issues the only credit card Costco accepts at its U.S. outlets. However, this deal expires in March 2016, so fewer Costco shoppers are signing up for new cards. As a result, Amex will likely sell these loans.

The proceeds would help the company fund new services. For example, it recently launched Amex Express Checkout. Similar to PayPal (see page 73), this service makes it easier for U.S. cardholders to buy goods online.

Meanwhile, Amex earned $1.47 billion in the second quarter of 2015, down 3.7% from $1.53 billion a year earlier. The 2014 quarter included 100% of Amex’s business-travel division, which it later merged into a 50/50 joint venture. Per-share profits fell 0.7%, to $1.42 from $1.43, on fewer shares outstanding.

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J.P. MORGAN CHASE & CO. $69 (New York symbol JPM; Income Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 3.7 billion; Market cap: $255.3 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.8; Dividend yield: 2.6%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.jpmorganchase.com) has four main divisions: Consumer and Community Banking, which includes branches and credit cards (45% of 2014 revenue, 44% of earnings); Corporate and Investment Bank, including brokerage and underwriting services (36%, 33%); Asset Management (12%, 10%); and Commercial Banking (7%, 13%). About 75% of Morgan’s revenue comes from the U.S.

The bank’s revenue fell 8.3%, from $102.7 billion in 2010 to $94.2 billion in 2014. That’s mainly because it sold some operations to cut its exposure to riskier businesses, such as owning and trading commodities. Low interest rates have also hurt the revenue it receives from new loans.

Even so, earnings jumped 22.5%, from $17.4 billion in 2010 to $21.3 billion in 2012. Per-share profits gained 31.3%, from $3.96 to $5.20, on fewer shares outstanding. Morgan continues to settle lawsuits related to its role in the 2008 financial crisis. As a result, its 2013 earnings fell to $4.35 a share (or a total of $17.9 billion). Earnings recovered to $5.29 a share (or $21.8 billion) in 2014.

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