Pat McKeough

A professional investment analyst for more than 30 years, Pat has developed a stock-selection technique that has proven reliable in both bull and bear markets. His proprietary ValuVesting System™ focuses on stocks that provide exceptional quality at relatively low prices. Many savvy investors and industry leaders consider it the most powerful stock-picking method ever created.

As early as 1980, Pat was recognized as #1 in the world of published investment advice by the Washington, DC–based Newsletter Publishers Association, and he was the first multi-year winner of The Globe and Mail’s stock picking contest.

Both CBS MarketWatch and The Hulbert Financial Digest recognized Pat as one of North America’s top stock analysts. The Wall Street Journal called him “one of only four investment newsletter advisors who have managed to serve their readers well over the long haul.”

A best-selling Canadian author, he wrote Riding the Bull, his 1993 book that predicted the stock-market boom of the last half of that decade. Through his many television appearances, he is well-known to investors for his insightful analysis and his candid, unpretentious style.

Bottom line: Pat’s conservative, reduced-risk strategy is a proven approach to safe investing.

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Stock investment clubs can help new investors find quality stocks and develop their own investing style. But watch out for the drawbacks.
Canadian stocks
TOROMONT INDUSTRIES LTD (Toronto symbol TIH; www.toromont.com) distributes a broad range of industrial equipment, including machinery made by Caterpillar Inc. It also makes refrigeration systems through its CIMCO division. The company completed the spinoff of Enerflex Ltd. (see below) in July 2011. Shareholders received shares of both the new Toromont Industries and Enerflex....
TORSTAR CORP. $7.74 (www.torstar.com) is selling its Harlequin book-publishing subsidiary to News Corp. (Nasdaq symbol NWSA), the parent company of publishing firm HarperCollins. The company will receive $455 million, which is equal to 73% of its $623.4-million market cap. Torstar will put the proceeds toward its bank loans and other debt, which stood at $192.9 million on March 31, 2014.

Meanwhile, Torstar’s earnings in the first quarter of 2014 (including Harlequin) rose 70.2%, to $7.1 million, or $0.09 a share. It earned $4.2 million, or $0.05 a share a year earlier. The gain is entirely due to savings from an ongoing restructuring plan, mainly job cuts. Weak advertising sales at its newspapers reduced its overall revenue by 6.7%, to $292.4 million from $313.4 million.

Selling Harlequin means Torstar will focus entirely on its cyclical newspaper and Internet businesses. That adds risk. However, the cash from the sale will help it sustain its current dividend. Best Buy.

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CANADIAN NATIONAL RAILWAY CO. $64 (Toronto symbol CNR; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 824.5 million; Market cap: $52.8 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 5.0; Dividend yield: 1.6%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.cn.ca) operates Canada’s largest railway. Its 32,350-kilometre network stretches across the country and through the U.S. Midwest to the Gulf of Mexico.

Thanks to strong shipping volumes in the wake of the recession, CN’s revenue rose 43.5%, from $7.4 billion in 2009 to $10.6 billion in 2013.

Earnings jumped 68.4%, from $1.5 billion to $2.6 billion; while per-share earnings rose 88.9%, from $1.62 to $3.06, on fewer shares outstanding (all per-share amounts adjusted for a 2-for-1 stock split in November 2013).

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ENCANA CORP. $26 (Toronto symbol ECA; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 740.9 million; Market cap: $19.3 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 3.2; Dividend yield: 1.2%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.encana.com) has agreed to buy shale oil properties in the Eagle Ford area of southern Texas for $3.1 billion (all amounts except share price and market cap in U.S. dollars). A separate deal to sell natural gas fields in eastern Texas for $530 million will help pay for this purchase.

Including Eagle Ford, Encana now has six core properties. The other five are: Montney (B.C.), Duvernay (Alberta), DJ Basin (Colorado), San Juan Basin (New Mexico) and the Tuscaloosa Marine Shale (Louisiana). All of these areas contain large amounts of oil and natural gas liquids, such as butane and propane. That cuts Encana’s exposure to weak gas prices.

The stock is up 35% since Encana said it would expand its oil production in November 2013. Even so, it trades at a moderate 7.2 times the company’s projected 2014 cash flow of $3.31 a share.

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IGM FINANCIAL INC. $54 (Toronto symbol IGM; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 252.4 million; Market cap: $13.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 5.1; Dividend yield: 4.0%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.igmfinancial.com) continues to benefit as rising stock markets spur the value of its clients’ holdings.

As of April 30, 2014, IGM had $138.25 billion worth of assets under management, up 10.0% from $125.7 billion a year earlier. The company’s fee income rises and falls with the value of the securities it manages, so its revenue and earnings gain when the price of these assets rises.

IGM Financial is a buy.

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METRO INC. $68 (Toronto symbol MRU; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 87.6 million; Market cap: $6.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.5; Dividend yield: 1.8%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.metro.ca) operates about 600 supermarkets in Quebec and Ontario. It also has over 250 drugstores that operate under the Brunet, The Pharmacy and Drug Basics banners.

Metro continues to cut costs in response to competition from larger Canadian chains, like Loblaw and Sobeys, and big box stores like Wal-Mart and Costco. It is also converting some of its underperforming Metro outlets in Ontario to the faster-growing Food Basics discount banner.

In its fiscal 2014 second quarter, which ended March 15, 2014, Metro’s earnings rose 0.5%, to $96.9 million from $96.4 million a year earlier. In the last six months, the company has spent $301.8 million on share buybacks. Due to fewer shares outstanding, per-share earnings rose 9.2%, to $1.07 from $0.98.

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THOMSON REUTERS CORP. $39 (Toronto symbol TRI; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 811.1 million; Market cap: $31.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.4; Dividend yield: 3.7%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.thomsonreuters.com) earned $374 million in the first quarter of 2014, up 19.5% from $313 million a year earlier (all amounts except share price and market cap in U.S. dollars). Due to fewer shares outstanding, per-share earnings rose 21.1%, to $0.46 from $0.38. Revenue rose 1.0%, to $3.13 billion from $3.10 billion.

The higher earnings are mainly due to savings from a recent restructuring plan, including job cuts and eliminating less-profitable products. These savings will help Thomson offset weaker demand for its information products from financial institutions, particularly in Europe, as they continue to cut costs in the wake of the 2008 credit crisis. Meanwhile, demand for Thomson’s other data products (legal, tax and accounting, and intellectual property/science) remains strong.

Thomson Reuters is a buy.

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BELL ALIANT INC. $28 (Toronto symbol BA, Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 229.1 million; Market cap: $6.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.3; Dividend yield: 6.8%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.bellaliant.ca) sells phone and Internet services to 2.4 million customers in Atlantic Canada and rural Ontario and Quebec.

The company continues to invest heavily in fibre optic networks. It now has 963,048 high-speed Internet users (up 3.9% from a year earlier) and 189,781 digital TV customers (up 38.3%).

However, lower demand for regular phone services caused its revenue to fall 1.2% to $675.7 million in the three months ended March 31, 2014, from $683.6 million a year earlier. Before one-time items, earnings declined 9.1%, to $0.40 a share from $0.44.

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MANITOBA TELECOM SERVICES INC. $31 (Toronto symbol MBT; Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 77.1 million; Market cap: $2.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.6; Dividend yield: 5.5%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.mts.ca) gets around 55% of its revenue from its 1.3 million telephone and wireless customers in Manitoba.

The remaining 45% comes from Allstream, which sells integrated telephone, Internet and other communication services to businesses across Canada.

The company has suffered a couple of setbacks in the past few months. The first came late last year, when Ottawa blocked its plan to sell Allstream for $405 million to a private firm controlled by an Egyptian billionaire.

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