bce

BELL ALIANT REGIONAL COMMUNICATIONS INCOME FUND $25 (Toronto symbol BA.UN; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Utilities sector; Units outstanding: 127.0 million; Market cap: $3.2 billion; SI Rating: Above average) is the main provider of telephone service in Atlantic Canada and rural areas of Ontario and Quebec. Bell Aliant transferred its wireless operations to BCE Inc. as part of the deal that created the trust in July, 2006. BCE owns about 45% of Bell Aliant. Under a new deal, Bell Aliant will now help BCE upgrade its wireless networks in Atlantic Canada and rural areas of Ontario and Quebec. These upgrades will improve the speed and reliability of connections between BCE’s wireless networks and Bell Aliant’s traditional phone systems. That should help Bell Aliant profit from rising use of mobile devices to receive email and connect to the Internet....

We recommend few income trusts. That’s because most trusts involve substantial risk, such as focusing on a single commodity or geographic area. Here are four trusts we do see as buys. Despite Ottawa’s plan to start taxing trust distributions in 2011, they should continue to pay above-average yields for years to come. These four trusts should also appeal to BCE investors seeking new sources of income, assuming that the BCE privatization goes through as planned (see box this page). However, you should continue to limit income trusts to no more than, say, 15% of your total portfolio....

One of the brightest signs in today’s market is that many great stocks now trade below 10 times earnings. That’s especially true of high-quality technology issues, since they spend so heavily on research, which gets written off against earnings like a routine expense. Low p/e ratios are also particularly appealing at times when interest rates are low, as they are now. Of course, earnings could drop next year and push up those p/e ratios. Stock prices could move lower, for a variety of reasons. But that’s always a risk. To profit best, you need to invest mainly in well-established companies that are likely to recover from the economic downturn and go on to produce still higher earnings in the future. BCE INC. $25.25, Toronto symbol BCE, fell 34% on Wednesday on fears that the $42.75-a-share takeover offer from a consortium headed by the Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan may be dead....

TECK COMINCO LTD. $6.35, Toronto symbol TCK.B, fell 50% this week largely due to concerns over its ability to carry a $5.8 billion U.S. short-term loan it used to finance its recent $15.0 billion U.S. takeover of Fording Canadian Coal Trust. That loan itself is now equal to roughly 2.3 times Teck’s market cap. Falling prices for zinc, copper and gold could hurt Teck’s ability to quickly repay the new debt. The company may have to cut or eliminate its $1.00 dividend, which now yields a high 15.7%. It may also have to issue new shares at depressed prices. Teck feels it can pay down a big part of this loan in 2009. It will receive a $1 billion (Canadian) tax refund on the Fording transaction. It also plans to raise cash by selling some of its operations. This could include its gold mining businesses. As well, Teck will delay capital spending on several new projects....

RBC CANADIAN EQUITY FUND $19.69 (CWA Rating: Conservative) (RBC Funds, P.O. Box 7500, Station A, Toronto, Ontario. M5W 1P9. 1-800-463-3863; Web site: www.royalbank.com. No load — deal directly with the bank) invests mostly in larger-capitalization stocks, but also looks for opportunities in small and mid-cap stocks. The fund’s 10 largest holdings are Royal Bank, Manulife, EnCana, TD Bank, Potash Corp., Bank of Nova Scotia, Canadian Natural Resources, Suncor Energy, Research in Motion and BCE Inc. The $4.2 billion fund holds 41.3% of its holdings in Resources stocks. It also holds 30.7% in Finance. Over the last ten years, RBC Canadian Equity posted a 9.5% annual rate of return. That’s just under the S&P/TSX’s gain of 9.7%. The fund lost 14.9% over the last year, compared to the loss of 14.4% for the S&P/TSX. The fund’s MER is 1.96%....

The performance of these five large funds — one from each of Canada’s big-five banks — has suffered over the last year. That’s because they held high weightings in Financial services and Resources stocks. Financial services have dropped due to turmoil in credit markets. Resources have fallen along with commodity prices on fears that an economic slowdown will cut demand for resources. We still feel that the best way to profit in the stock market is to stick with high-quality, well-established companies, and to diversify among the five sectors, and within each sector. However, you won’t go too far wrong with these five funds. They continue to stick with high-quality issues with sound fundamentals, so their concentrations in certain sectors doesn’t add a lot of risk over the long term. Each has its quirks, but overall they are well positioned for low-risk returns....

BCE $35.48 (Toronto symbol BCE; Shares outstanding: 806.2 million; Market cap: $28.6 billion; SI Rating: Above-Average) continues to trade below the $42.75-a-share offer from a group headed by the Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan. However, new liquidity from governments should make it easier for the consortium’s lenders to honour their commitments to complete the takeover on December 11, 2008. Even if the deal does fall through, the group would have to pay BCE a break-up fee of $1.2 billion. That’s equal to 4% of its current market cap of $28.6 billion...

RBC CANADIAN EQUITY FUND $19.69 (CWA Rating: Conservative) (RBC Mutual Funds, P.O. Box 7500, Station A, Toronto, Ontario. M5W 1P9. 1-800-463-3863; Web site: www.royalbank.com. No load — deal directly with the bank) invests mostly in larger-capitalization stocks, but also looks for opportunities in small- and mid-cap stocks. The fund’s 10 largest holdings are Royal Bank, Manulife, EnCana, TD Bank, Potash Corp., Bank of Nova Scotia, Canadian Natural Resources, Suncor Energy, Research in Motion and BCE Inc. The $4.2-billion fund holds 41.3% of its holdings in resource stocks. It also holds 30.7% in finance. Over the last ten years, RBC Canadian Equity posted a 9.5% annual rate of return. That’s just under the S&P/TSX’s gain of 9.7%. The fund lost 14.9% over the last year, compared to the loss of 14.4% for the S&P/TSX. The fund’s MER is 1.96%....

TERANET INCOME FUND $9.50, Toronto symbol TF.UN, has received a new takeover offer from the Ontario Municipal Employees Retirement System (OMERS). The new offer of $10.25 a unit is 6.8% less than the previous offer of $11.00. Teranet’s units are now trading for roughly 7% below the new offer. The lower offer reflects a slowing economy in Ontario and falling real estate values. That could hurt demand for Teranet’s electronic land registry services. As well, it’s increasingly difficult to secure loans for corporate takeovers. Teranet recommended that investors accept the first OMERS offer, after it failed to attract other bidders. Teranet has not yet commented on the new offer of $10.25 a unit. However, it’s still unlikely that a new bidder will emerge. As well, Teranet’s second-largest shareholder has accepted the new offer....

The Dow’s 11.1% gain on Monday was the fifth-biggest percentage gain on record. The 9.8% gain on Toronto the next day was the biggest ever. Markets remain volatile and have moved down since, but my view is that governments around the world are now taking the kind of steps that will contain the crisis and eventually restore liquidity in the banking system. You can only spot market reversals in hindsight, so it’s too early to declare if we are near a bottom. But even if we are, markets are apt to remain volatile and some stocks are bound to go to lower lows....