BCE Inc.
Toronto symbol BCE, provides local and long distance telephone services in Ontario and Quebec. It also operates a nationwide wireless service.
RBC CANADIAN EQUITY FUND $19.69 (CWA Rating: Conservative) (RBC Funds, P.O. Box 7500, Station A, Toronto, Ontario. M5W 1P9. 1-800-463-3863; Web site: www.royalbank.com. No load — deal directly with the bank) invests mostly in larger-capitalization stocks, but also looks for opportunities in small and mid-cap stocks. The fund’s 10 largest holdings are Royal Bank, Manulife, EnCana, TD Bank, Potash Corp., Bank of Nova Scotia, Canadian Natural Resources, Suncor Energy, Research in Motion and BCE Inc. The $4.2 billion fund holds 41.3% of its holdings in Resources stocks. It also holds 30.7% in Finance. Over the last ten years, RBC Canadian Equity posted a 9.5% annual rate of return. That’s just under the S&P/TSX’s gain of 9.7%. The fund lost 14.9% over the last year, compared to the loss of 14.4% for the S&P/TSX. The fund’s MER is 1.96%....
The performance of these five large funds — one from each of Canada’s big-five banks — has suffered over the last year. That’s because they held high weightings in Financial services and Resources stocks. Financial services have dropped due to turmoil in credit markets. Resources have fallen along with commodity prices on fears that an economic slowdown will cut demand for resources. We still feel that the best way to profit in the stock market is to stick with high-quality, well-established companies, and to diversify among the five sectors, and within each sector. However, you won’t go too far wrong with these five funds. They continue to stick with high-quality issues with sound fundamentals, so their concentrations in certain sectors doesn’t add a lot of risk over the long term. Each has its quirks, but overall they are well positioned for low-risk returns....
BCE $35.48 (Toronto symbol BCE; Shares outstanding: 806.2 million; Market cap: $28.6 billion; SI Rating: Above-Average) continues to trade below the $42.75-a-share offer from a group headed by the Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan. However, new liquidity from governments should make it easier for the consortium’s lenders to honour their commitments to complete the takeover on December 11, 2008. Even if the deal does fall through, the group would have to pay BCE a break-up fee of $1.2 billion. That’s equal to 4% of its current market cap of $28.6 billion...
RBC CANADIAN EQUITY FUND $19.69 (CWA Rating: Conservative) (RBC Mutual Funds, P.O. Box 7500, Station A, Toronto, Ontario. M5W 1P9. 1-800-463-3863; Web site: www.royalbank.com. No load — deal directly with the bank) invests mostly in larger-capitalization stocks, but also looks for opportunities in small- and mid-cap stocks. The fund’s 10 largest holdings are Royal Bank, Manulife, EnCana, TD Bank, Potash Corp., Bank of Nova Scotia, Canadian Natural Resources, Suncor Energy, Research in Motion and BCE Inc. The $4.2-billion fund holds 41.3% of its holdings in resource stocks. It also holds 30.7% in finance. Over the last ten years, RBC Canadian Equity posted a 9.5% annual rate of return. That’s just under the S&P/TSX’s gain of 9.7%. The fund lost 14.9% over the last year, compared to the loss of 14.4% for the S&P/TSX. The fund’s MER is 1.96%....
TERANET INCOME FUND $9.50, Toronto symbol TF.UN, has received a new takeover offer from the Ontario Municipal Employees Retirement System (OMERS). The new offer of $10.25 a unit is 6.8% less than the previous offer of $11.00. Teranet’s units are now trading for roughly 7% below the new offer. The lower offer reflects a slowing economy in Ontario and falling real estate values. That could hurt demand for Teranet’s electronic land registry services. As well, it’s increasingly difficult to secure loans for corporate takeovers. Teranet recommended that investors accept the first OMERS offer, after it failed to attract other bidders. Teranet has not yet commented on the new offer of $10.25 a unit. However, it’s still unlikely that a new bidder will emerge. As well, Teranet’s second-largest shareholder has accepted the new offer....
The Dow’s 11.1% gain on Monday was the fifth-biggest percentage gain on record. The 9.8% gain on Toronto the next day was the biggest ever. Markets remain volatile and have moved down since, but my view is that governments around the world are now taking the kind of steps that will contain the crisis and eventually restore liquidity in the banking system. You can only spot market reversals in hindsight, so it’s too early to declare if we are near a bottom. But even if we are, markets are apt to remain volatile and some stocks are bound to go to lower lows....
This downturn is going a lot further down that I ever expected. I still see it as a financial panic, rather than an indicator of the depth of the recession that now seems to have started. In other words, the market drop reflects a drying up in lending activity and fear of a depression, rather than a drying up in business activity. In the depths of a market downturn, some observers always predict that we are on the verge of another 1930s depression. In the 1930s, however, the U.S. and other governments did all the wrong things. They raised taxes, raised tariffs and did nothing to halt bank failures. The U.S. and other governments are doing all the right things to revive lending and credit, in my view. They are injecting funds into the financial system, arranging takeovers of failing financial companies, and moving to protect depositors. Eventually these efforts will pay off. Lending will then swiftly revive, and the market will go through a sharp recovery. There is no way to tell when that will happen, but you can bet that it will spur widespread disbelief, and warnings that it is just a temporary reprieve and that the downturn will soon resume....
TELUS CORP. (Toronto symbols T $40 and T.A $39; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 335.6 million; Market cap $13.4 billion; SI Rating: Above average) provides local and long distance telephone service to 4.3 million customers in Alberta, British Columbia and Eastern Quebec. This business supplies about 29% of Telus’s revenue. The company also operates a national wireless communication network with 5.8 million subscribers. The wireless business accounts for 47% of its revenue. The remaining 24% of Telus’s revenue comes from providing Internet service to individuals and businesses. It has 1.1 million high-speed Internet subscribers....
Like all phone companies, Telus faces increasing competition in its traditional markets from cable companies and Internet-based phone services. However, it’s offsetting this with robust growth in faster-growing businesses such as wireless and high-speed Internet services. There’s also competition from new entrants in the wireless field. But just 60% of Canadians use a cellphone, so there’s still plenty of room to grow. Telus’s strong brands and reputation should continue to help it win new wireless customers. TELUS CORP. (Toronto symbols T $40 and T.A $39; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 335.6 million; Market cap $13.4 billion; SI Rating: Above average) provides local and long distance telephone service to 4.3 million customers in Alberta, British Columbia and Eastern Quebec. This business supplies about 29% of Telus’s revenue....
Today’s rebound in the market is reassuring, but I expect stocks to remain highly volatile for a month or more. After that, we could see a six-month rebound in prices. The U.S. bailout of major financial institutions raises inflation risk over the next few years, but it heads off panic. Nobody can predict market bottoms, but I suspect we are much closer to the bottom than the top. NORTEL NETWORKS CORP. $3.25, Toronto symbol NT, fell 50% this week after the company cut its revenue and earnings outlook for 2008. Due to slowing demand for telecommunications equipment, unfavourable foreign exchange rates and delays delivering certain products, Nortel now expects revenue for 2008 will be 2% to 4% lower than in 2007. It had earlier predicted that revenue would rise this year. Due to the lower revenues, Nortel will probably lose $0.39 U.S. a share in 2008. That estimate excludes the costs of a new restructuring plan. Nortel earned $0.37 U.S. a share before unusual items in 2007....