BCE Inc.

We still think high-quality mutual funds with a long-term focus will beat indexes over long periods. If funds invest as we advise — sticking with well-established companies and spreading their assets out across the five main economic sectors — they will tend to lose a lot less than the market indexes in periods when the indexes fall sharply. That’s because big market slides are particularly hard on the hottest, most popular stocks of the preceding market rise, and investing as we do leads you to avoid excessive investment in the hot stocks. Index funds, in contrast, do tend to load up on the hottest, most popular stocks as they rise. That’s because, as they rise, these stocks make up a rising proportion of the index. The most recent example is Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan., which now has the highest market cap on the Toronto exchange on the strength of soaring fertilizer and agriculture prices....

BCE INC. $35.15, Toronto symbol BCE, has deferred declaring its second quarter common share dividend of $0.365 a share. That will save the company $294 million. BCE feels holding on to the cash will help make the $42.75-a-share takeover price more attractive to the buyers. The buyers may wind up paying less for BCE in the wake of tighter bank lending and lower stock markets. But if the dividend deferral pushes up the ultimate price, and you hold your shares outside an RRSP, you will wind up better off — the tax rate on the capital gains you’ll realize on the takeover is less than the tax you would have paid on the dividend. BCE is still a buy....

BCE INC. $35 has delayed declaring its second-quarter dividend of $0.365 a share. The company is currently appealing a ruling by the Quebec Court of Appeal in favour of BCE’s bondholders that could threaten the company’s $42.75-a-share privatization plan. The case will go to the Supreme Court of Canada on June 17, 2008....

BCE INC. $35 has delayed declaring its second-quarter dividend of $0.365 a share. The company is currently appealing a ruling by the Quebec Court of Appeal in favour of BCE’s bondholders that could threaten the company’s $42.75-a-share privatization plan. The case will go to the Supreme Court of Canada on June 17, 2008....

Watch Pat McKeough’s June 20 interview on the Business News Network “Market Call” program with Michael Hainsworth. Click here to see the interview. Or, go to www.bnn.ca and you’ll find the link on the lower right side of the page. BCE INC. $34.60, Toronto symbol BCE, should move higher next week now that the Supreme Court of Canada has ruled against a lawsuit launched by the company’s bondholders. The bondholders claimed that the takeover of BCE by a consortium headed by the Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan would reduce the security of their investments. While this latest ruling greatly improves the chances the $42.75-a-share takeover will go through, problems in the debt markets could still prompt some of the consortium members to back out. That could force the buyers to delay, reprice or scrap the deal. If so, the stock will probably fall, but it is likely to stay above its pre-takeover level of around $30 a share....

BCE INC. $34.47 (Toronto symbol BCE; SI Rating: Above-Average) is now appealing to the Supreme Court of Canada to overturn a ruling by the Quebec Supreme Court in favour of a lawsuit launched by the company’s bondholders to block the takeover. The bondholders felt it reduced the security of their investments. The Quebec ruling threatens BCE’s $42.75- a-share takeover by a consortium headed by the Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan. It could delay the takeover beyond the June 30, 2008 target date. It could also force the consortium to re-price or scrap the takeover. Depending on the circumstances, BCE may receive a $1 billion or $1.24 a share break-up fee from the consortium if the deal falls through. That’s equal to 3% of its market cap of $30 billion. The company could use that cash to expand its wireless and high-speed Internet services, or increase its $1.46 dividend (4.2% yield)....

BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA $49.75, Toronto symbol BNS, earned $980 million in its second fiscal quarter ended April 30, 2008, down 5.8% from $1.04 billion a year earlier. Per-share earnings fell 5.8%, to $0.97 from $1.03. The declines were largely due to higher provisions for loan losses, which jumped to $153 million from an unusually low $20 million in the year-earlier quarter. Revenue rose 3.2%, to $3.2 billion from $3.1 billion, partly due to acquisitions. The bank has increased its quarterly dividend 4.3%, from $0.47 a share to $0.49. The new annual rate of $1.96 yields 3.9%. Bank of Nova Scotia is a buy....

BCE INC. $33.60, Toronto symbol BCE, fell sharply this week after Quebec’s Supreme Court ruled in favour of a lawsuit launched by the company’s bondholders to block the takeover. The bondholders felt it reduced the security of their investments. BCE and the Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan, which heads a private group that has agreed to buy BCE for $42.75 a share, plan to appeal this ruling to the Supreme Court of Canada. That will likely delay the takeover beyond the June 30, 2008 target date. It could also force the consortium to re-price or scrap the takeover. Depending on the circumstances, BCE may receive a $1 billion or $1.24 a share break-up fee from the consortium if the deal falls through. That’s equal to 3% of its market cap of $30 billion. The company could use that cash to expand its wireless and high-speed Internet services, or increase its $1.46 dividend (4.3% yield). BCE could also unlock some of its value by spinning off some of its operations....

BCE INC. $37.30, Toronto symbol BCE, earned $0.57 a share in the three months ended march 31, 2008, up 9.6% from $0.52 a year earlier. These figures exclude restructuring costs and gains on the sale of investments. Most of the increase was due to savings from the restructuring, as well as lower taxes and interest expenses. Revenue crept up to $4.39 billion from $4.38 billion, as growing demand for BCE’s wireless and Internet services offset lower revenue from its traditional telephone operations. The stock is now trading 13% below the $42.75 a share that a group led by the Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan has offered for the company. That’s because investors fear that problems in the debt markets will force the consortium to delay, reprice or scrap the deal. However, we feel the takeover will go through by the end of the year. BCE is still a buy....

FORDING CANADIAN COAL $62.06 (Toronto symbol FDG.UN; SI Rating: Average) jumped 10% to a new all-time high recently after South Korean steelmaker Posco agreed to pay $308 U.S. a tonne for coal from BHP Billiton in the coal year that began on April 1, 2008. That’s 210% more than the industry benchmark price of $98 U.S. in the prior year. Fording is still negotiating new prices with its customers. Higher coal prices will help it offset rising labour, transportation and other costs. Fording units currently yield 3.2%. Fording is still a buy....