bce

BCE INC. $38 (Toronto symbol BCE; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 805.1 million; Market cap: $30.6 billion; SI Rating: Above average) moved up after a Quebec judge ruled against a lawsuit launched by BCE bondholders who objected to the $42.75 takeover bid it has accepted. The stock is still about 10% below the takeover price, mainly due to the current lack of liquidity in the debt market. Investors fear that the buyers will find it hard to finance the takeover. In addition, the deal still requires regulatory approval. If the takeover fails to go through, BCE’s stock would fall. But we feel BCE is attractive at current prices, for short-term takeover-fueled capital gains, or as a long-term buy for growth and income....

TELUS CORP. (Toronto symbols T $57 and T.A $56; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 337.9 million; Market cap: $19.3 billion; SI Rating: Above average) is the second-largest provider of telecommunication services in Canada, after BCE Inc. It has over 4.5 million regular telephone customers and 1.1 million Internet subscribers in British Columbia, Alberta and parts of Quebec. These operations account for about 55% of Telus’s revenue and 50% of its earnings. The rest comes from Telus’s wireless business, which has 5.1 million customers nationwide. Telus’s revenue grew from $7.0 billion in 2002 to $8.7 billion in 2006, or 5.6% compounded annually. The company lost $0.72 a share (total $227.1 million) in 2002, due to restructuring costs following the Clearnet acquisition. But thanks to strong demand for wireless service, Telus’s profits grew from $0.93 a share ($329.8 million) in 2003 to $3.23 a share ($1.1 billion) in 2006. Cash flow per share more than doubled, from $3.88 in 2002 to $8.78 in 2006....

BCE INC. $37.24, Toronto symbol BCE, gained 7% this week after a Quebec court dismissed a class-action lawsuit launched by the company’s bondholders. The ruling improves the chances that the $42.75-a-share takeover by a group led by the Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan will succeed. The stock is now trading at roughly 13% below the offer, partly because the deal still requires regulatory approval. In addition, the problems in the credit markets could also make it harder for the consortium to issue the bonds it needs to finance the takeover. If the deal falls through, BCE’s stock could fall to its pre-takeover level of around $30. However, the company’s operations still generate plenty of cash flow, and it could unlock value by spinning off some of its operations....

ISHARES DIVIDEND INDEX FUND $20.28 (Toronto symbol XDV; buy or sell through a broker) began trading in December, 2005. The fund currently holds the 30 highest yielding Canadian stocks. These stocks are included in the index based on their dividend growth, yield and average payout ratio. The weight of any one stock in the fund is limited to 10% of the fund’s assets. Its MER is 0.50%. iShares Dividend Index Fund now yields 3.2%. The fund’s top holdings are: CIBC at 7.6%; Manitoba Telecom at 5.7%; Bank of Montreal, 5.7%; National Bank, 5.2%; TD Bank, 5.0%; Royal Bank, 4.5%; Russel Metals, 4.4%; Telus Corp., 4.1%; Bank of Nova Scotia, 3.9%; IGM Financial, 3.7%; Rothmans, 3.5%; TransCanada Corporation, 3.3%; BCE Inc., 3.3%; Laurentian Bank, 3.2%; and Enbridge, 3.1%....

BCE INC. $35 (Toronto symbol BCE; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 805.3 million; Market cap; $28.2 billion; SI Rating: Above average) is trading for 20% below the $42.75-a-share takeover offer it accepted in July 2007. That’s mainly because several institutional holders of BCE bonds have launched a class-action lawsuit to oppose it. BCE’s plan to take on more debt has hurt the value of their holdings. If the suit succeeds and forces BCE to compensate the bondholders for their losses, the Ontario Teachers’ Pension and its partners may decide to abandon the takeover. Liquidity problems in the debt markets could also scuttle the takeover, since that could hurt the ability of the takeover consortium to issue new bonds. At the current reduced price, BCE is once again attractive for its income and growth prospects. The shares now trade at 15 times earnings, and have a dividend yield of 4.2%....

BCE INC. $34 (Toronto symbol BCE; SI Rating: Above-Average) is trading nearly 20% below the $42.75-a-share takeover offer it accepted in July 2007. However, several institutional holders of BCE bonds have launched a class-action lawsuit to oppose it. BCE’s plan to take on more debt has hurt the value of their holdings. If the suit succeeds and forces BCE to compensate the bondholders for their losses, the Ontario Teachers’ Pension and its partners may decide to abandon the takeover. Liquidity problems in the debt markets could also scuttle the takeover, since that could hurt the ability of the takeover consortium to issue new bonds....

ISHARES CDN LARGECAP 60 INDEX FUND $76.65 (Toronto symbol XIU; buy or sell through a broker) (formerly called iUnits S&P/TSX 60 Index Participation Fund) is a good low-fee way to buy the top stocks on the TSX. The units hold a basket of stocks that represent the S&P/TSX 60 Index. The index is made up of the 60 largest and most heavily traded stocks on the TSX. Expenses on the units are just 0.17% of assets. Most of the 60 stocks in the index are good quality companies. However, to meet the requirement that all sectors are represented, the index holds a few firms we wouldn’t include, such as Cott Corporation and Celestica. The index’s top holdings are: Royal Bank, 6.6%; Manulife Financial, 5.8%; TD Bank, 4.7%; Bank of Nova Scotia, 4.7%; EnCana Corporation, 4.4%; Suncor Energy, 3.9%; Research in Motion, 3.7%; Canadian Natural Resources, 3.5%; Bank of Montreal, 3.1%; CIBC, 3.3%; BCE Inc., 2.6%; Barrick Gold, 2.8%; Sun Life Financial, 2.9%; and Potash Corporation, 2.6%....

We think high-quality mutual funds with a long term focus will beat indexes over long periods. If funds invest as we advise — sticking with well established companies and spreading their assets out across the five main economic sectors — they will tend to lose a lot less than the market indexes in periods when the indexes fall sharply. That’s because big market slides are particularly hard on the hottest, most popular stocks of the preceding market rise, and investing as we do leads you to avoid excessive investment in the hot stocks. Index funds, in contrast, do tend to load up on the hottest, most popular stocks as they rise. That’s because, as they rise, these stocks make up a rising proportion of the index. Index funds are a better deal than the majority of funds now available, however. So if you merely want to equal the indexes, here are some of the best deals available in ETFs. We’ve also analysed one we don’t like....

RBC CANADIAN DIVIDEND FUND $44.84 (RBC Funds, P.O. Box 7500, Station A, Toronto, Ontario. M5W 1P9. 1-800-463-3863; Web site: www.royalbank.com. No load — deal directly with the bank) has 38.1% of its portfolio in Financial services stocks. It has a further 14.4% in Energy stocks and 8.5% in Consumer discretionary. The $9.6 billion RBC Canadian Dividend Fund’s top stock holdings are Royal Bank of Canada, Bank of Nova Scotia, Toronto-Dominion Bank, Manulife Financial, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, TransCanada Corporation, Bank of Montreal, BCE Inc. and Power Corporation. Over the last five years, RBC Canadian Dividend Fund has posted a 14.9% annual rate of return. That’s less than the S&P/TSX’s gain of 18.3% over the same period....

BMO Dividend and RBC Canadian Dividend hold mostly high-quality stocks. These stocks sometimes run into trouble and go through lengthy struggles, just like lesser investments. Eventually, though, most solve their problems and go on to thrive anew. Both funds hold a high proportion of their assets in financial services stocks. However, if you must focus on something, finance is a relatively stable sector. If you do invest in these funds, be sure to adjust the rest of your portfolio so these funds won’t overly concentrate your holdings in the financial sector....