emera

Fortis and Emera have used the steady cash flow from their power utilities in Atlantic Canada to fund new investments in other businesses. These have helped expand their operations beyond a single region, and enhanced their growth prospects. FORTIS INC. $25 (Toronto symbol FTS; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 170.3 million; Market cap: $4.3 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.1; SI Rating: Above Average) gets just 15% of its revenue from Newfoundland Power, its original business. In the past few years, the company has bought electrical utilities in four other Canadian provinces, as well as the U.S. and Caribbean. However, about half of its revenue now comes from Terasen Inc., which distributes natural gas in British Columbia. The company paid $3.7 billion for Terasen in May 2007. In the three months ended June 30, 2009, Fortis’s earnings jumped 82.8%, to $53 million, or $0.31 a share, from $29 million, or $0.18 a share, a year earlier. If you exclude one-time charges in the year-earlier quarter, earnings would have risen 20.5%. Terasen contributed $14 million to the latest earnings. Revenue fell 11.1%, to $754 million from $848 million. The drop was largely because of warmer-than-usual spring weather, which hurt natural-gas demand at Terasen....

POTASH CORP. OF SASKATCHEWAN, $101.95, Toronto symbol POT, moved up 4% on speculation that Brazilian mining company Vale SA is preparing to launch a takeover offer for U.S.-based potash producer Mosaic Co. (New York symbol MOS). Potash Corp. is down from last July’s high of $227 due to falling potash prices and demand. However, Vale’s potential interest in Mosaic has spurred the stock prices of most fertilizer producers, including Agrium (see below). The Vale-Mosaic speculation also helped Potash Corp. overcome a drop earlier in the week on news that Russian potash producer Silvinit agreed to sell potash to Indian Potash Ltd. for $460 a tonne (all amounts except share price in U.S. dollars). Indian Potash imports and distributes about 70% of India’s potash needs. The $460 price is a lot less than the $700 that Canpotex will receive from its recent contracts to sell potash to buyers in Japan, South Korea and Taiwan. Canpotex is a potash marketing and exporting firm that is jointly owned by Potash Corp., Agrium and Mosaic. Still, Silvinit’s price is far above potash’s average 2003-2008 price of $270 a tonne....

TECK RESOURCES LTD., $19.99, Toronto symbol TCK.B, will sell 101.3 million class B subordinate-voting shares (one vote per share) at $17.21 each to China Investment Corp., a sovereign wealth fund controlled by the Chinese government. Teck is selling these shares for 13.9% below the current market price. That’s because China Investment agreed to certain conditions, including holding onto these shares for at least a year and not selling them to one of Teck’s main rivals or customers. Despite the discount, Teck’s shares rose 8% on the news. That’s because Teck will put the $1.7 billion proceeds from the sale toward the $9.8-billion U.S. it borrowed to finance its $13.6-billion (Canadian) purchase of Fording Canadian Coal Trust last October....

With bonds yielding just 2% to 3%, we believe that income-seeking investors are better off sticking with high-quality utility stocks, such as these four electricity generators. All have consistently posted strong earnings, and have long histories of raising their dividends. Unlike bond-interest payments, which are taxed as regular income, their dividends qualify for the dividend tax credit. They also have greater capital-gains potential. TRANSALTA CORP. $20 (Toronto symbol TA; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 197.8 million; Market cap: $4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.3; SI Rating: Average) operates over 50 electrical-power plants in Canada, the United States and Australia. TransAlta uses coal to generate 60% of its electricity, and owns three coal mines (two in Alberta and one in Washington State). This helps keep its costs down. Natural gas fuels 30% of the company’s electricity production, and hydroelectric and other sources account for 10%....

EMERA INC. $20 (Toronto symbol EMA; Income Portfolio, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 112.3 million; Market cap: $2.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.7; SI Rating: Average) generates and distributes electricity to roughly 600,000 customers in Nova Scotia and Bangor, Maine. Over the past few years, Emera has steadily expanded into new areas in order to cut its reliance on Nova Scotia, which still accounts for 85% of its revenue. It owns 12.9% of the Maritimes & Northeast natural-gas pipeline and 50% of a hydroelectric facility in Massachusetts. Emera has also expanded into the Caribbean region. In January 2007, it paid $22 million for 19% of the main power utility in St. Lucia. Last September, it bought 25% of Grand Bahama Power Company for $41 million. In April 2009, Emera formed a partnership with Algonquin Power Income Fund (Toronto symbol APF.UN), which owns or has interests in 41 hydroelectric facilities in Canada and the United States. Emera will pay $27.6 million for a 9.9% stake in Algonquin, with an option to buy an additional 5% of the fund over the next two years....

ALGONQUIN POWER INCOME FUND $3.14 (Toronto symbol APF.UN; Units outstanding: 77.9 million; Market cap: $244.6 million; SI Rating: Extra Risk) has formed a partnership with Emera Inc. (Toronto symbol EMA). Emera is a recommendation of The Successful Investor, our affiliated publication. Emera will pay $27.6 million for a 9.9% stake in Algonquin. It will also have the right to buy an additional 5% of the renewable-power fund over the next two years. As well, Algonquin and Emera have formed a 50/50 joint venture that will pay $116 million U.S. for the Sierra Pacific Power Company’s power-generation and distribution businesses. Sierra serves 47,000 customers in Lake Tahoe, California. The partners plan to finance half of the purchase, and Algonquin will use the funds from its stock sale to Emera to pay cash for most of its remaining share of $29 million U.S....

PRECISION DRILLING TRUST, $5.70, Toronto symbol PD.UN, announced this week that it has issued $175 million in new long-term notes to the Alberta Investment Management Corporation (AIMCo). AIMCo is a crown corporation that manages Alberta’s public-sector pension plans and other special funds. Precision is making the move to strengthen its balance sheet. AIMCo also bought 35 million Precision units at $3.00 each, for a total of $105 million. Moreover, Precision will give AIMCo warrants to buy 15 million more units at $3.22 each over the next five years. (As of March 31, 2009, there were 206.2 million Precision units outstanding.) AIMCo now owns roughly 15% of Precision’s units. This will rise to 19% if it exercises all of the warrants....

EMERA INC. $22 (Toronto symbol EMA; Income Portfolio, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 112.1 million; Market cap: $2.5 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.8; SI Rating: Average) generates and distributes electricity to roughly 600,000 customers in Nova Scotia and Bangor, Maine. In the past few years, Emera has steadily expanded into new areas to cut its reliance on Nova Scotia. It owns 12.9% of the Maritimes and Northeast natural gas pipeline, and 50% of a hydroelectric facility in Massachusetts. Emera has also targeted the Caribbean region for new investments, and now owns 19% of the main power utility in St. Lucia and 25% of Grand Bahama Power Co.

New strategy spurred growth

Emera’s revenue fell from $1.15 billion in 2003 to $1.13 billion in 2004. But thanks in part to its new businesses, revenue grew to $1.34 billion in 2007. Coal and oil account for about 80% of Emera’s fuel needs, and higher prices cut earnings from $1.20 a share (total $128.2 million) in 2003 to $1.11 a share ($122.1 million) in 2005. However, new natural gas supply contracts helped offset higher fuel prices. Consequently, earnings improved to $1.36 a share ($151.3 million) in 2007. A one-time accounting gain of $0.08 a share also boosted Emera’s 2007 earnings....

EMERA INC. $21 (Toronto symbol EMA) earned $0.05 a share in the three months ended September 30, 2008, down 86.5% from $0.37 a year earlier. If you disregard a writedown and one-time costs, Emera would have earned $0.22 a share in the most recent quarter. The drop was mainly due to higher fuel costs at its main subsidiary, Nova Scotia Power. Revenue fell 4.7%, to $295.8 million from $310.3 million. However, high power rates should expand revenue in 2009. Buy. TELUS CORP. $37 (Toronto symbol T.A) estimates that it will spend $50 million on restructuring activities in 2008. That’s up from its earlier estimate of $30 million. To put these costs in perspective, Telus earned $0.89 a share (total $285.1 million) in the third quarter of 2008. However, improving its efficiency will help Telus compete with new entrants in the wireless field. Buy. GREAT-WEST LIFECO INC. $27 (Toronto symbol GWO) earned $0.48 a share in the third quarter of 2008, down 5.9% from $0.51 a year earlier. The drop was mainly due to unusual charges at its U.S. mutual fund subsidiary, Putnam Investment Trust. Despite the recent market turmoil, Great-West remains well capitalized. Best Buy.

I still feel that government efforts now underway are likely to solve today’s financial crisis. However, these steps come at a price. My best guess is that we’ll see much higher inflation as a result of all this newly supplied liquidity, probably in the early part of the next decade. My view is that you should keep this inflationary potential in mind, but it’s too early to try to profit from it. That’s partly due to the drawbacks of Resources stocks. They do provide a handy hedge against inflation, and even many of the most pessimistic observers now feel that resource prices are bound to rise in the next few years, as millions of Indian and Chinese workers pole-vault into the middle class. But many pessimists felt the same way following the last great resource and commodity boom, in the 1970s and 1980s. After that boom ended, the sector went into a slump that lasted 15 years or more....