Pat McKeough

A professional investment analyst for more than 30 years, Pat has developed a stock-selection technique that has proven reliable in both bull and bear markets. His proprietary ValuVesting System™ focuses on stocks that provide exceptional quality at relatively low prices. Many savvy investors and industry leaders consider it the most powerful stock-picking method ever created.

As early as 1980, Pat was recognized as #1 in the world of published investment advice by the Washington, DC–based Newsletter Publishers Association, and he was the first multi-year winner of The Globe and Mail’s stock picking contest.

Both CBS MarketWatch and The Hulbert Financial Digest recognized Pat as one of North America’s top stock analysts. The Wall Street Journal called him “one of only four investment newsletter advisors who have managed to serve their readers well over the long haul.”

A best-selling Canadian author, he wrote Riding the Bull, his 1993 book that predicted the stock-market boom of the last half of that decade. Through his many television appearances, he is well-known to investors for his insightful analysis and his candid, unpretentious style.

Bottom line: Pat’s conservative, reduced-risk strategy is a proven approach to safe investing.

Posts by the author
The pendulum theory grew out of Sir Isaac Newton’s 17th-century studies of gravity and physics, particularly his second law of motion. Yet the theory turns up in discussions of all sorts of non-mechanical topics. This includes investors’ efforts at understanding the stock market.
AMAZON.COM $574.27 (Nasdaq symbol AMZN; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (206- 266-1000; www.amazon.com; Shares outstanding: 470.8 million; Market cap: $271.7 billion; No dividends paid) continues to build its own shipping network. The company has now finalized a deal to lease 20 Boeing 767 cargo jets from Air Transport Services Group. The new fleet will reduce Amazon’s reliance on carriers such as United Parcel Service and FedEx. The jets will give Amazon direct control over an estimated 15% of the packages it ships in the U.S. each year....
EXTENDICARE INC. $9.57 (Toronto symbol EXE; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (905-470-5534; www.extendicare.com; Shares outstanding: 88.0 million; Market cap: $825.7 million; Dividend yield: 5.0%) owns 62 long- and short-term senior-care facilities that can house 8,464 residents. It manages another 54 residences that are home to 6,426 seniors. Extendicare also operates 47 ParaMed Home Health Care branches in six provinces. ParaMed’s 10,900 staff members provide nursing care and other forms of assistance to clients who live in their homes. In late 2014, the company sold its 156 U.S. facilities for $231.1 million U.S. Extendicare has now deployed the cash from the sale....
STUART OLSON INC. $6.15 (Toronto symbol SOX; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (780-454-3667; www.stuartolson.com; Shares outstanding: 26.4 million; Market cap: $159.6 million; Dividend yield: 7.8%) mainly operates in Western Canada, with both government and private sector clients. Its services include building construction, commercial and industrial electrical contracting, earthmoving and industrial insulation. In the three months ended December 31, 2015, the company’s revenue fell 22.6%, to $283.1 million from $364.5 million a year earlier. The decline came from lower activity in the Alberta oil sands and across the province. The company is also phasing out less profitable industrial projects. Before one-time items, Stuart Olson earned $2.1 million, or $0.08 a share. That’s up sharply from $1.2 million, or $0.05, a year earlier. The growth reflects the company’s focus on higher-profit activities. It ended the quarter with a backlog of $1.96 billion, down 1.3% from $1.99 billion....
DOMINO’S PIZZA $131.85 (New York symbol DPZ; TSINetwork Rating: Average) (734-930-3008; www.dominos.com; Shares outstanding: 49.9 million; Market cap: $6.5 billion; Dividend yield: 1.2%) has opened its 1,000th store in India, its fastest-growing international market. That’s up from 900 this past summer. The newest store is located in the Unity One Mall, in the capital of Delhi. Domino’s has more stores in India than in any other market outside the U.S. It’s also the largest pizza brand in India. The master franchisee for India is Jubilant FoodWorks, which first brought Domino’s to India in 1995....
CHEMTRADE LOGISTICS INCOME FUND $17.46 (Toronto symbol CHE.UN; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (416-496-5856; www.chemtradelogistics .com; Units outstanding: 69.1 million; Market cap: $1.2 billion; Dividend yield: 6.9%) reports that in the three months ended December 31, 2015, its revenue rose 7.1%, to $335.7 million from $313.3 million a year earlier. The gain mainly came from the higher U.S. dollar, which increased the contribution from the trust’s operations in that country. Overall cash flow fell 23.5%, to $38.1 million from $49.8 million. Cash flow per share fell 28.6%, to $0.55 from $0.77, on more shares outstanding. The declines came from one-time maintenance expenditures and a $10.2 million benefits plan settlement gain a year ago. Chemtrade’s high distribution looks safe; it pays monthly distributions of $0.10 a unit, for a 6.9% yield....
DEVON ENERGY $26.22 (New York symbol DVN; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (405-235-3611; www.dvn.com; Shares outstanding: 510.3 million; Market cap: $12.5 billion; Dividend yield: 0.9%) is undertaking a number of measures to conserve cash and shore up its balance sheet while it waits for oil and gas prices to recover. The company plans to cut its workforce by 20%. This will save it up to $500 million a year when combined with other cost cutting. Devon will also reduce its quarterly dividend by 75%, to $0.06 from $0.24. The shares now yield 0.9%. The dividend cut will save it $320 million a year. Devon plans to lower its exploration and development spending this year, to between $900 million and $1.1 billion. That’s down 75% from 2015. As well, the company will sell as many as 79.4 million shares at $18.75 each to raise $1.5 billion....
STANTEC INC. $30.47 (Toronto symbol STN; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (780-917-7288; www.stantec.com; Shares outstanding: 94.4 million; Market cap: $2.8 billion; Dividend yield: 1.5%) continues to grow by acquisition. Its latest is Bury Inc., a 300-person building design firm based in Austin, Texas. Bury’s recent projects include the George W. Bush Presidential Library in Dallas, and the redevelopment of Arizona State University’s Tempe campus. Stantec cuts its costs by sharing administrative expenses, financing and employee benefits among its divisions. But continually buying new firms adds risk, including the risk of writedowns....
DREAM OFFICE REIT $20.59 (Toronto symbol D.UN; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (416-365-3535; www.dream.ca/office; Units outstanding: 107.9 million; Market cap: $2.3 billion; Dividend yield: 7.3%) is up more than 23% since its recent announcement of a three-year strategic plan to push up its unit price. The trust will sell non-essential properties worth $1.2 billion to realize their full market value. These properties represent about 17% of its holdings. It will use some of the proceeds to pay down debt, and possibly to buy back units. The trust will also cut its annualized distribution by 33.0%, to $1.50 from $2.24. This will lower its payout ratio to 67% of forecast 2016 cash flow. Dream will also suspend its dividend reinvestment program. The DRIP has a high 38% participation rate. That program lets it conserve cash, but issuing more shares at low prices dilutes the interests of current unitholders. The units yield 7.3%....
WAJAX CORP. $16.85 (Toronto symbol WJX; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (905-212-3300; www.wajax.ca; Shares outstanding:20.0 million; Market cap: $335.9 million; Dividend yield: 5.9%) sells and services cranes, forklifts and other heavy equipment. It also provides related parts (such as ball bearings, motors, hoses and fittings) and power systems (including diesel engines and transmissions). The company’s customers are in the natural resource, construction, manufacturing and transportation industries. In the three months ended December 31, 2015, Wajax’s clients in mining and oil and gas made fewer purchases. As a result, revenue fell 16.0%, to $324.4 million from $386.1 million a year earlier. Earnings, excluding one-time items, declined sharply, to $4.0 million, or $0.20 a share, from $11.0 million, or $0.66....