Pat McKeough

A professional investment analyst for more than 30 years, Pat has developed a stock-selection technique that has proven reliable in both bull and bear markets. His proprietary ValuVesting System™ focuses on stocks that provide exceptional quality at relatively low prices. Many savvy investors and industry leaders consider it the most powerful stock-picking method ever created.

As early as 1980, Pat was recognized as #1 in the world of published investment advice by the Washington, DC–based Newsletter Publishers Association, and he was the first multi-year winner of The Globe and Mail’s stock picking contest.

Both CBS MarketWatch and The Hulbert Financial Digest recognized Pat as one of North America’s top stock analysts. The Wall Street Journal called him “one of only four investment newsletter advisors who have managed to serve their readers well over the long haul.”

A best-selling Canadian author, he wrote Riding the Bull, his 1993 book that predicted the stock-market boom of the last half of that decade. Through his many television appearances, he is well-known to investors for his insightful analysis and his candid, unpretentious style.

Bottom line: Pat’s conservative, reduced-risk strategy is a proven approach to safe investing.

Posts by the author
The pendulum theory grew out of Sir Isaac Newton’s 17th-century studies of gravity and physics, particularly his second law of motion. Yet the theory turns up in discussions of all sorts of non-mechanical topics. This includes investors’ efforts at understanding the stock market.
IMPERIAL OIL LTD. $44 (Toronto symbol IMO; Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Shares outstanding: 847.6 million; Market cap: $37.3 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.5; Dividend yield: 1.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.imperialoil.ca) is selling its 497 company-owned Esso gas stations to independent operators for $2.8 billion. Following the sale, franchisees will operate all of its 1,700 Esso stations across Canada. The buyers include Alimentation Couche-Tard (Toronto symbol ATD.B). It is purchasing 279 stations in Ontario and Quebec. (Alimentation Couche- Tard is a recommendation of Stock Pickers Digest, our newsletter that focuses on aggressive investments.) In addition, 7-Eleven Canada is getting 148 stations in Alberta and British Columbia. Parkland Fuel (Toronto symbol PKI), will buy 17 stations in Saskatchewan and Manitoba....
GREAT-WEST LIFECO INC. $35 (Toronto symbol GWO; Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 993.4 million; Market cap: $34.8 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.0; Dividend Yield: 3.9%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.greatwestlifeco.com) is Canada’s second-largest insurance company, after Manulife Financial (Toronto symbol MFC). It also offers mutual funds, retirement planning and wealth management. Power Financial (Toronto symbol PWF) owns 71.4% of Great-West. As of December 31, 2015, the company had $1.2 trillion of assets under administration, up 14.0% from a year earlier. Great-West gets 43% of its earnings from Canada, where it operates under well-known labels Great-West Life, Canada Life and Freedom 55. The European division (42% of earnings) mainly sells group insurance and annuity products in the U.K., Ireland and Germany....
TORONTO-DOMINION BANK $55 (Toronto symbol TD; Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 1.9 billion; Market cap: $104.5 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 3.3; Dividend yield: 4.0%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.td.com) earned $2.4 billion, or $1.18 a share, in its fiscal 2016 first quarter, which ended January 31, 2016. That’s up 5.8% from $2.1 billion, or $1.12, a year earlier. Earnings for its Canadian banks (62% of the total) rose 4.4%, thanks to strong loan demand and gains from the wealthmanagement and insurance businesses. Earnings from U.S. banking (31%) jumped 20.2%. That’s largely because the low Canadian dollar enhanced its profits. However, earnings from wholesale banking (7%) fell 16.1%. Lower stock trading volumes offset higher advisory fees on mergers and acquisitions. Revenue rose 13.1%, to $8.6 billion from $7.6 billion. However, TD set aside $642 million to cover potential future loan losses, up 77.3% from $362 million. That’s mainly because it recently acquired the U.S. credit card portfolio of department store Nordstrom’s (New York symbol JWN). As well, low oil prices could hurt the ability of energy producers to repay their loans. These borrowers represent less than 1% of TD’s overall loan portfolio....
IGM FINANCIAL INC. $36 (Toronto symbol IGM; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 243.6 million; Market cap: $8.8 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.9; Dividend yield: 6.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www. igmfinancial.com) is Canada’s largest independent mutual fund provider. Power Financial owns 60.1% of IGM. The company has two main divisions. Investors Group offers mutual funds and other services, such as portfolio management, through 5,300 affiliated advisors. This business forms close relationships with clients, which helps it retain them. In 2015, its redemption rate for long-term funds was 8.7%, well below the industry average of 15.4%. The other division, Mackenzie Financial, sells funds through independent brokers....
HOME CAPITAL GROUP INC. $36 (Toronto symbol HCG; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 70.0 million; Market cap; $2.5 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 4.2; Dividend yield: 2.7%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.homecapital.com) is a mortgage lender that serves borrowers who fail to meet the stricter standards of larger, traditional lenders, such as banks. Home Capital offers most of its loans through 4,000 independent mortgage brokers. In July 2015, it cut ties with 45 of them after it uncovered inaccurate information on loan applications. Specifically, these brokers falsified borrowers’ annual incomes but not their credit scores and property values. So far, Home Capital has reviewed 40% of these loans. Based on the results, it could renew 90% of these mortgages. The company expects to complete these reviews by the end of 2016....
EMERA INC. $47 (Toronto symbol EMA; Income Portfolio, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 145.3 million; Market cap: $6.8 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.5; Dividend yield: 4.0%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.emera.com) has reached a deal to increase its ownership of Emera (Caribbean) Inc. From 95.6% to 100.0%. This publicly traded subsidiary holds Emera’s interests in power utilities in Barbados, Dominica and St. Lucia. Emera will cut administrative costs by taking full control. The company will pay roughly $16.5 million in cash and Emera stock for the additional stake. To put that in context, Emera earned $330.0 million, or $2.26 a share, in 2015....
FINNING INTERNATIONAL INC. $19 (Toronto symbol FTT; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 168.0 million; Market cap: $3.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.5; Dividend yield: 3.8%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.finning.com) sells and services Caterpillar-brand heavy equipment in Canada, South America and the U.K. Its main customers are in the oil, mining, forest-products and construction industries. The company continues to cut costs as low commodity prices hurt equipment demand. Finning recently announced plans to eliminate about 500 jobs by mid-2016. That’s in addition to the 1,900 workers, or 13% of its global workforce, laid off last year. Because of the moves, Finning has already reduced its annual expenses by $150 million, and expects higher savings this year....
SAPUTO INC. $40 (Toronto symbol SAP; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 392.9 million; Market cap: $15.7 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.5; Dividend yield: 1.4%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.saputo.com) is Canada’s largest producer of dairy products, including milk, butter and cheese. It also operates dairies in the U.S., Australia and Argentina. The company’s sales rose 2.8% in its fiscal 2016 third quarter, which ended December 31, 2015, to $2.9 billion from $2.8 billion a year earlier. It gets 65% of its sales from outside Canada, and the lower Canadian dollar added $261 million to the latest quarter’s sales. Lower selling prices for cheese and butter cut sales by $191 million. Earnings gained 15.8%, to $0.44 a share from $0.38. That’s mainly due to better efficiency and lower ingredient costs....
MAPLE LEAF FOODS INC. $27 (Toronto symbol MFI; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 134.6 million; Market cap: $3.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.1; Dividend yield: 1.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.mapleleaffoods.com) is Canada’s largest foodprocessing company. It mainly sells its products, including fresh and prepared meats and poultry, under the Maple Leaf and Schneider brands. The company will soon complete a multi-year restructuring that involves closing older meatprocessing plants and shifting their operations to newer, more efficient ones. Thanks to these new plants, Maple Leaf earned $0.58 a share in 2015 compared to its loss of $0.56 in 2014. Sales rose 4.3%, to $3.3 billion from $3.2 billion. That’s partly because the lower Canadian dollar boosted the contribution of its exports to customers in the U.S. and Japan. Without exchange rates, sales gained 2.6%....