Pat McKeough

A professional investment analyst for more than 30 years, Pat has developed a stock-selection technique that has proven reliable in both bull and bear markets. His proprietary ValuVesting System™ focuses on stocks that provide exceptional quality at relatively low prices. Many savvy investors and industry leaders consider it the most powerful stock-picking method ever created.

As early as 1980, Pat was recognized as #1 in the world of published investment advice by the Washington, DC–based Newsletter Publishers Association, and he was the first multi-year winner of The Globe and Mail’s stock picking contest.

Both CBS MarketWatch and The Hulbert Financial Digest recognized Pat as one of North America’s top stock analysts. The Wall Street Journal called him “one of only four investment newsletter advisors who have managed to serve their readers well over the long haul.”

A best-selling Canadian author, he wrote Riding the Bull, his 1993 book that predicted the stock-market boom of the last half of that decade. Through his many television appearances, he is well-known to investors for his insightful analysis and his candid, unpretentious style.

Bottom line: Pat’s conservative, reduced-risk strategy is a proven approach to safe investing.

Posts by the author
What does a diversified portfolio look like? A well-diversified portfolio balances risk by spreading investment holdings out by industry sector and other factors
Top regional airline Chorus Aviation is a rising growth stock, but its affiliation with Air Canada may prove to bring as much risk as reward.
AASTRA TECHNOLOGIES $37.48 (Toronto symbol AAH; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (905-760-4200; www.aastra.com; Shares outstanding: 11.8 million; Market cap: $430.6 million; Dividend yield: 2.1%) has jumped over 80% since we recommended it in our last issue.
< br /> The stock surged because Aastra agreed to a friendly takeover offer from business communications products and software rival Mitel Networks (symbol MNW on Toronto).
< br /> Mitel is offering $6.52 U.S. in cash and 3.6 of its common shares for each share of Aastra. Based on today’s price for Mitel stock, the offer is worth $38.60 per Aastra share.
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WEIGHT WATCHERS INTERNATIONAL $26.61 (New York symbol WTW; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (212-589-2700; www.weightwatchers.com; Shares outstanding: 57.2 million; Market cap: $1.5 billion; No dividends paid) declined steadily from over $80 a share in 2012 to a recent low of just under $7. However, the shares jumped on October 19, 2015, when Oprah Winfrey said she had purchased 10% of the company.

Oprah bought 6.4 million shares for $6.79 each and has an option to purchase 3.5 million more at $6.97. She will also join the company’s board of directors.

Founded in 1961, Weight Watchers offers weightloss services in 23 countries. The company promotes a program of lifestyle changes through 36,000 weekly meetings and online. It gets 80% of its revenue through meeting fees and 20% from product sales.

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INTACT FINANCIAL $88.20 (Toronto symbol IFC; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (416-341- 1464; www.intactfc.com; Shares outstanding: 131.5 million; Market cap: $11.5 billion; Dividend yield: 2.4%) is Canada’s largest provider of property and casualty insurance, based on premiums. Its brands include Intact Insurance, Canada BrokerLink and belairdirect.

In the three months ended September 30, 2015, Intact’s revenue rose 9.4%, to $2.09 billion from $1.91 billion a year earlier. Revenue improved across all of the company’s insurance lines and geographic regions.

Earnings rose 7.6%, to $199 million, or $1.47 a share, from $185 million, or $1.37.

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AGT FOOD & INGREDIENTS $31.83 (Toronto symbol AGT; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (306-525- 4490; www.agtfoods.com; Shares outstanding: 23.1 million; Market cap: $737.8 million; Dividend yield: 1.9%) buys and processes a range of pulses, which include peas, beans, lentils and chickpeas, as well as other specialty crops....
FIRSTSERVICE CORP. $48.83 (Toronto symbol FSV; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (416-960-9500; www.firstservice.com; Shares outstanding: 34.6 million; Market cap: $1.8 billion; Dividend yield: 1.1%) is a leading North American provider of residential property management and property improvement services.

In the three months ended September 30, 2015, the company’s revenue gained 12.0%, to $349.5 million from $312.0 million a year earlier (all figures except share price and market cap in U.S. dollars). Excluding one-time items, earnings per share jumped 28.2%, to $0.50 from $0.39. The second and third quarters are FirstService’s busiest.

The company’s outlook remains strong. However, the stock trades at a high 30.5 times the $1.20 a share FirstService will likely earn this year.

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WYNDHAM WORLDWIDE $77.38 (New York symbol WYN; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (973- 753-6000; www.wyndhamworldwide.com; Shares outstanding: 116.1 million; Market cap: $8.9 billion; Dividend yield: 2.2%) has now added all of its hotel rooms to the TripAdvisor Instant Booking platform. With Instant Booking, travellers click on the “Book on TripAdvisor” button to set up a reservation.

TripAdvisor is the world’s largest travel site. It reaches over 340 million unique visitors a month and has more than 225 million traveller reviews and opinions. It launched its Instant Booking platform in the U.S. in June 2014 and has since expanded it to the U.K., with other international markets to follow.

Wyndham Worldwide is a hold.

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GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO. $33.45 (Nasdaq symbol GT; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (330-796-2122; www.goodyear.com; Shares outstanding: 268.9 million; Market cap: $8.7 billion; Dividend yield: 0.8%) is the world’s largest tire maker, with 52 plants in 22 countries.

In the three months ended September 30, 2015, Goodyear’s revenue fell 10.2%, to $4.18 billion from $4.66 billion a year earlier. The rising U.S. dollar cut the value of the company’s foreign sales (particularly in Europe and Brazil) by $430 million.

Earnings rose 12.0%, to $271.0 million, or $0.99 a share. A year earlier, the company earned $242.0 million, or $0.87 a share.

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DELPHI ENERGY $0.72 (Toronto symbol DEE; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative)(403- 265-6171; www.delphienergy.ca; Shares outstanding: 155.5 million; Market cap: $110.4 million; No dividends paid) develops, produces and explores for oil and natural gas. About 70% of its output is gas; the remaining 30% is oil.

In the three months ended September 30, 2015, Delphi’s production fell 16.6%, to 7,888 barrels of oil equivalent a day from 9,461 a year earlier, after the company sold some fields. The lower output and a 31.4% average decline in oil and gas prices cut cash flow per share to $0.06 from $0.09.

The company will need improved oil and gas prices to move significantly higher, but its long-term outlook is positive.

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