Pat McKeough

A professional investment analyst for more than 30 years, Pat has developed a stock-selection technique that has proven reliable in both bull and bear markets. His proprietary ValuVesting System™ focuses on stocks that provide exceptional quality at relatively low prices. Many savvy investors and industry leaders consider it the most powerful stock-picking method ever created.

As early as 1980, Pat was recognized as #1 in the world of published investment advice by the Washington, DC–based Newsletter Publishers Association, and he was the first multi-year winner of The Globe and Mail’s stock picking contest.

Both CBS MarketWatch and The Hulbert Financial Digest recognized Pat as one of North America’s top stock analysts. The Wall Street Journal called him “one of only four investment newsletter advisors who have managed to serve their readers well over the long haul.”

A best-selling Canadian author, he wrote Riding the Bull, his 1993 book that predicted the stock-market boom of the last half of that decade. Through his many television appearances, he is well-known to investors for his insightful analysis and his candid, unpretentious style.

Bottom line: Pat’s conservative, reduced-risk strategy is a proven approach to safe investing.

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If you want to find out how to hire a stock broker who meets your needs, you need to watch out above all for conflicts of interest
POTASH CORP. OF SASKATCHEWAN $42 (Toronto symbol POT; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 832.1 million; Market cap: $34.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 5.3; Dividend yield: 4.5%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.potashcorp.com) has suffered two recent setbacks. (All amounts except share price and market cap in U.S. dollars.)

First, the Saskatchewan government decided to change the timing of certain tax breaks for new potash mines and expansion projects. The province is also reviewing how it taxes potash producers.

Potash Corp. expects the new rules to cut its pre-tax earnings by $75 million to $100 million (Canadian) in 2015. To put that in context, it earned $1.5 billion, or $1.82 a share, in 2014.

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AGRIUM INC. $132 (Toronto symbol AGU; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 144.0 million; Market cap: $19.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.2; Dividend yield: 3.0%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.agrium.com) gets 75% of its sales and 60% of its earnings from its retail stores, which consist of 1,450 locations in North America, South America and Australia. These outlets sell seed, fertilizer and other products to farmers. (All amounts except share price and market cap in U.S. dollars.)

The company gets the remaining 25% of its sales and 40% of its earnings by making nitrogen-based fertilizers from natural gas. It also operates potash and phosphate fertilizer mines. In the past few years, Agrium has built up its retail business through acquisitions. In December 2010, it paid $1.2 billion for AWB Ltd., which operated 220 stores in Australia In October 2013, the company added 210 stores in Western Canada and Australia in a $485-million deal with Viterra Inc.

These acquisitions, along with rising fertilizer prices, pushed up Agrium’s sales by 49.2%, from $10.7 billion in 2010 to $16.0 billion in 2012. Declining fertilizer prices cut its 2013 sales to $15.7 billion, but they improved to $16.0 billion in 2014.

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value stocks
YUNUS ARAKON
Today’s tip: “Early experiences may lead you to prefer either value investing—trying to buy stocks at bargain prices—or growth investing—looking for rising stocks with further growth ahead. Here’s why you should combine the two. ” If you meet a large number of investors over a large number of years, it may seem they come in two basic categories—one inclined toward value investing, the other more interested in growth. This may be due in part to their early life experiences. Value investing—trying to buy assets at bargain prices—has natural appeal for those who grew up in strained economic circumstances. Growth investing—trying to identify and buy rising stocks when they have further growth ahead—seems to appeal more to those who grew up in prosperous households....
POWER CORP. $33.52 (Toronto symbol POW; Shares outstanding: 412.6 million; Market cap: $15.5 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; Div. yield: 3.5%; www.powercorporation.com) is a diversified holding company. It holds its financial assets through 65.7%-owned Power Financial.

These financial assets include 68.1% of Great- West Lifeco, one of Canada’s largest life insurers, and 58.7% of IGM Financial, a leading Canadian mutual fund provider.

As well, Power Financial owns 50% of holding company Parjointco, which holds a 55.5% stake in Switzerland-listed Pargesa Holdings SA. Pargesa has 95% of its assets in five large European firms: Imerys (minerals), Total SA (oil), Pernod Ricard (wine and spirits), SGS (inspection, testing and certification services) and Lafarge (cement and building materials). Power Corp. also has investments in Asia.

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ALGONQUIN POWER & UTILITIES $9.36 (Toronto symbol AQN; Shares outstanding: 238.9 million; Market cap: $2.3 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk; Dividend yield: 4.7%; www.algonquinpower.com) reports that its revenue rose 26.3% in the three months ended December 31, 2014, to $259.3 million from $205.3 million a year earlier. Cash flow per share jumped 22.7%, to $0.27 from $0.22.

The gains mostly came from acquisitions, including California’s Park Water for $327 million U.S. in September 2014.

Growth by acquisition adds risk. But Algonquin cuts that risk by buying profitable utilities like Park Water. It also ensures that its renewable energy projects sell their power under long-term government-guaranteed contracts.

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MANULIFE FINANCIAL $21.51 (Toronto symbol MFC; Shares outstanding: 2.0 billion; Market cap: $42.2 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; Dividend yield: 2.9%; www.manulife.ca) sells life and other forms of insurance, as well as mutual funds and investment management services.

In the three months ended December 31, 2014, Manulife’s earnings per share gained 2.9%, to $0.36 from $0.35 a year earlier. Revenue fell slightly, to $7.15 billion from $7.18 billion.

At the end of 2014, Manulife had $691.1 billion of assets under management, up 15.4% from $598.9 billion at the end of 2013. A large part of the increase came from its late 2014 acquisition of U.K.-based Standard Life’s Canadian insurance operations for $4 billion.

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SUN LIFE FINANCIAL $39.03 (Toronto symbol SLF; Shares outstanding: 612.7 million; Market cap: $24.0 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; Dividend yield: 3.7%; www.sunlife.ca) sells life insurance, savings, retirement and pension products to individuals and corporations.

Sun Life has $734.4 billion of assets under management. It mainly operates in Canada, the U.S. and the U.K., but it continues to expand in Asia.

In 2013, it sold its riskier, money-losing U.S. annuity business, which sells products that guarantee minimum long-term returns even if markets fall.

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ENCANA $14.14 (Toronto symbol ECA; Shares outstanding: 741.1 million; Market cap: $10.3 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Div. yield: 2.5%; www.encana.com) has sold 98.5 million shares for $14.60 each to raise $1.44 billion.

The company will use these funds to redeem $1.6 billion worth of notes. As of December 31, 2014, Encana’s long-term debt was $7.3 billion U.S., or a high 90% of its $10.3-billion (Canadian) market cap.

The stock sale has increased Encana’s total shares outstanding by roughly 13%. However, paying down debt will cut the company’s interest costs and help it conserve cash until oil and gas prices rebound. It could also use the savings to make acquisitions at bargain prices.

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PEYTO EXPLORATION & DEVELOPMENT CORP. $33.96 (Toronto symbol PEY; Shares outstanding: 153.7 million; Market cap: $5.2 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk; Dividend yield: 3.9%; www.peyto.com) produces and explores for oil and natural gas in Alberta. Its average daily production of 83,251 barrels of oil equivalent is 90% gas and 10% oil.

In the quarter ended December 31, 2014, Peyto’s cash flow rose 34.5%, to $1.13 a share from $0.84 a year ago. That’s because it raised its production by 23.7%, and realized higher gas prices.

Like Crescent Point, Peyto will cut spending this year. Its outlays will now total $560 million to $600 million, down from $690 million in 2014.

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