Pat McKeough

A professional investment analyst for more than 30 years, Pat has developed a stock-selection technique that has proven reliable in both bull and bear markets. His proprietary ValuVesting System™ focuses on stocks that provide exceptional quality at relatively low prices. Many savvy investors and industry leaders consider it the most powerful stock-picking method ever created.

As early as 1980, Pat was recognized as #1 in the world of published investment advice by the Washington, DC–based Newsletter Publishers Association, and he was the first multi-year winner of The Globe and Mail’s stock picking contest.

Both CBS MarketWatch and The Hulbert Financial Digest recognized Pat as one of North America’s top stock analysts. The Wall Street Journal called him “one of only four investment newsletter advisors who have managed to serve their readers well over the long haul.”

A best-selling Canadian author, he wrote Riding the Bull, his 1993 book that predicted the stock-market boom of the last half of that decade. Through his many television appearances, he is well-known to investors for his insightful analysis and his candid, unpretentious style.

Bottom line: Pat’s conservative, reduced-risk strategy is a proven approach to safe investing.

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If you want to find out how to hire a stock broker who meets your needs, you need to watch out above all for conflicts of interest
GREAT-WEST LIFECO INC. $35 (Toronto symbol GWO; Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 996.7 million; Market cap: $34.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.9; Dividend yield: 3.7%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.greatwestlifeco.com) is paying an undisclosed sum for the Irish operations of Legal & General Group plc. This business provides investment and tax-planning services to wealthy individuals. It looks like a nice fit with Irish Life, a leading insurance firm Great-West acquired in 2013.

Thanks to Irish Life’s contribution and savings from eliminating duplicate functions, Great-West’s earnings jumped 34.7% in the three months ended December 31, 2014, to $0.66 a share from $0.49 a year earlier. Revenue rose 33.1%, to $10.7 billion from $8.1 billion.

The company has also raised its quarterly dividend by 6.0%, to $0.3260 a share from $0.3075. The new annual rate of $1.30 yields 3.7%.

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CANADIAN IMPERIAL BANK OF COMMERCE $93 (Toronto symbol CM; Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 397.2 million; Market cap: $36.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 3.0; Dividend yield: 4.6%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.cibc.com) sold half of its Aeroplan accounts to TD Bank (see page 31) when TD took over the plan at the start of 2014.

The sale cut CIBC’s revenue by 4.7% in the three months ended January 31, 2015, to $3.5 billion from $3.6 billion a year earlier.

Excluding a gain on the Aeroplan sale and other unusual items, earnings improved 0.5%, to $956 million from $951 million. Per-share profits rose 2.2%, to $2.36 from $2.31, on fewer shares outstanding.

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BANK OF MONTREAL $76 (Toronto symbol BMO; Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 647.0 million; Market cap: $49.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 3.0; Dividend yield: 4.2%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.bmo.com) earned $1.04 billion in its fiscal 2015 first quarter, which ended January 31, 2015. That’s down 3.9% from $1.08 billion a year earlier. Per-share earnings declined 5.0%, to $1.53 from $1.61.

Earnings from Canadian retail banking (47% of the total) rose 3.5% as low interest rates continued to spur loan demand. The U.S. retail banking division (16%) saw its profits rise 3.6% as higher loan volumes offset the additional funds it set aside to cover potential bad loans.

The wealth management division’s earnings (17%) rose 2.2%. Lower earnings from this business’s insurance operations offset the contribution from recently acquired U.K.-based wealth manager F&C Asset Management. However, the trading division’s earnings (20%) fell 19.9%, mainly due to lower trading volumes and underwriting fees.

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BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA $63 (Toronto symbol BNS; Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 1.2 billion; Market cap: $75.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 3.4; Dividend yield: 4.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.scotiabank.com) reported that its earnings rose 2.6% in the quarter ended January 31, 2015, to $1.65 billion from $1.61 billion a year earlier. Per-share profits gained 2.3%, to $1.35 from $1.32, on more shares outstanding. Revenue rose 3.9%, to $5.9 billion from $5.6 billion.

Earnings at the Canadian banking division (which supplies 50% of total earnings) fell 1.7%, mainly because the bank sold most of its shares in mutual fund provider CI Financial (Toronto symbol CIX) in 2014. Excluding CI and adjusting for changing tax rates, this division’s earnings rose 6% due to steady loan and deposit growth. Higher stock markets also increased the value of the assets its wealth management business administers.

The international division (25% of total earnings) saw its profits fall 1.9% on higher loanloss provisions in Colombia and negative foreign exchange rates. However, earnings at the securities trading business (25%) rose 4.1% on higher stock and foreign exchange trading volumes.

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ROYAL BANK OF CANADA $76 (Toronto symbol RY; Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 1.4 billion; Market cap: $106.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 3.2; Dividend yield: 4.1%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.rbc.com) recently said it would buy City National (New York symbol CYN).

This Los Angeles-based bank focuses on wealthy individuals and lending to businesses in the entertainment, technology and health care industries. Royal plans to merge it with its U.S. wealth management operations.

Royal will pay $5.4 billion U.S. (50% in cash and 50% in shares). Assuming City National shareholders and regulators approve, Royal expects to complete the purchase by the end of 2015. It will start contributing to Royal’s earnings in two years.

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Investment Counsellor
ETOBICOKE, CANADA - JULY 24: Walmart Supercentre entrance on July 24, 2013 in Etobicoke, Ontario, Canada. Walmart is an American multinational retail corporation that runs chains of large discount department stores. It is the world’s third largest public corporation, according to the Fortune Global 500 list in 2012.
Niloo
Every Thursday we bring you one of our best U.S. stock picks. You get our specific recommendation on the stocks we profile, with a full explanation of how we arrived at our opinion. You will read about stocks making moves you should know about, most often from coverage in our newsletter on U.S. investing, Wall Street Stock Forecaster.

WAL-MART STORES INC. (New York symbol WMT; www.walmart.com) gets about 60% of its sales from its 4,516 stores in the U.S., including 3,407 supercentres, which sell both groceries and general merchandise. Groceries now supply 56% of Wal-Mart’s U.S. sales.

In 1991, the company opened its first store outside of the U.S. through a joint venture with a Mexican retailer. Its international division (29% of total sales) now operates 6,290 stores in 26 countries.

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Because its properties are concentrated smaller cities, Partners REIT faces limited growth prospects and a setback with its dividend.
ENERPLUS CORP. $13.06 (Toronto symbol ERF; Shares outstanding: 205.4 million; Market cap: $2.7 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk; Dividend yield: 4.6%) produces an average of 105,591 barrels of oil equivalent a day (56% gas and 44% oil). The company’s properties are mainly in Alberta, Saskatchewan, B.C., North Dakota and Montana, as well as the Marcellus shale, which passes through Pennsylvania, New York, Ohio and West Virginia. In the quarter ended December 31, 2014, Enerplus’s production rose 12.1% from a year earlier. That increase, plus higher realized gas prices, pushed cash flow per share up 15.7%, to $1.03 from $0.89. Like ARC, Enerplus will cut spending this year. Its outlays will now total $480 million, down 24.4% from its original estimate of $635 million and 40.8% from $811.0 million in 2014....
ARC RESOURCES $24.16 (Toronto symbol ARX; Shares outstanding: 335.0 million; Market cap: $8.2 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative; Dividend yield: 5.1%; www.arcresources.com) produces oil and natural gas in Western Canada. Its average daily output of 117,986 barrels of oil equivalent is 61% gas and 39% oil. In the quarter ended December 31, 2014, ARC’s cash flow per share rose 3.9%, to $0.79 from $0.76 a year earlier. Realized oil prices fell 12.5%, to $72.49 a barrel from $82.85, but ARC’s production gained 17.0%, and its realized gas prices rose 15.0%. Like many oil and gas producers, ARC plans to cut back on exploration and development spending. This year, the company will devote $750.0 million to this purpose, down from $945.5 million in 2014....