Pat McKeough

A professional investment analyst for more than 30 years, Pat has developed a stock-selection technique that has proven reliable in both bull and bear markets. His proprietary ValuVesting System™ focuses on stocks that provide exceptional quality at relatively low prices. Many savvy investors and industry leaders consider it the most powerful stock-picking method ever created.

As early as 1980, Pat was recognized as #1 in the world of published investment advice by the Washington, DC–based Newsletter Publishers Association, and he was the first multi-year winner of The Globe and Mail’s stock picking contest.

Both CBS MarketWatch and The Hulbert Financial Digest recognized Pat as one of North America’s top stock analysts. The Wall Street Journal called him “one of only four investment newsletter advisors who have managed to serve their readers well over the long haul.”

A best-selling Canadian author, he wrote Riding the Bull, his 1993 book that predicted the stock-market boom of the last half of that decade. Through his many television appearances, he is well-known to investors for his insightful analysis and his candid, unpretentious style.

Bottom line: Pat’s conservative, reduced-risk strategy is a proven approach to safe investing.

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If you want to find out how to hire a stock broker who meets your needs, you need to watch out above all for conflicts of interest
TORSTAR $7.44 (Toronto symbol TS.B; Shares outstanding: 79.9 million; Market cap: $600.5 million; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Dividend yield: 7.1%; www.torstar.com) gets 60% of its revenue from advertising on its newspapers and their websites, including The Toronto Star, Canada’s largest daily by circulation. Subscriptions account for the remaining 40%.

As part of a new strategy to increase online advertising sales, Torstar plans to drop the paywall on The Toronto Star’s website and launch a new free version for tablet computers.

The shift will likely hurt its 2015 revenue but should attract more readers in the long run. Torstar especially hopes that the tablet edition will attract a younger audience.

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ISHARES MSCI SOUTH KOREA INDEX FUND $57.04 (New York symbol EWY; buy or sell through brokers) aims to track the MSCI Korea Index.

The ETF’s top holdings are Samsung Electronics, 21.0%; SK Hynix Semiconductor, 4.3%; Hyundai Motor Co., 4.0%; Shinhan Financial, 3.1%; Naver (Internet content), 3.0%; Posco (steel), 2.8%; Hyundai Mobis (auto parts), 2.7%; KB Financial, 2.6%; Kia Motors, 1.9%; and Korea Electric Power, 1.9%.

The fund’s industry breakdown is as follows: Information Technology, 38.2%; Consumer Discretionary, 16.6%; Financials, 14.3%; Industrials, 10.6%; Materials, 7.6%; Consumer Staples, 6.2%; Utilities, 2.1%; Energy, 1.6%; Telecommunication Services, 1.2%; and Health Care, 0.7%.

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; buy or sell through brokers) aims to track the MSCI Emerging Markets Index.

Its geographic breakdown includes China, 21.8%; South Korea, 14.4%; Taiwan, 12.7%; Brazil, 8.3%; South Africa, 8.1%; India, 7.5%; Mexico, 4.8%; Russia, 3.7%; Malaysia, 3.6%; Indonesia, 2.7%; Thailand, 2.4%; and Turkey, 1.7%.

The fund’s top holdings are Samsung Electronics (South Korea), 3.4%; Taiwan Semiconductor (computer chips), 3.0%; Tencent Holdings (China: Internet), 2.3%; China Mobile, 2.1%; Naspers (South Africa: media and Internet), 1.5%; China Construction Bank, 1.5%; Industrial & Commercial Bank of China, 1.4%; and Itau Unibanco Holding (Brazil: banking), 0.9%.

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RIOCAN REIT $28.76 (Toronto symbol REI.UN; Units outstanding: 313.9 million; Market cap: $9.2 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Dividend yield: 4.9%; www.riocan.com) has agreed to form a new joint venture with Hudson’s Bay Co. (Toronto symbol HBC).

The REIT will contribute $325 million to this new firm, consisting of 50% of two shopping malls in Oakville and Barrie, Ontario, $52.5 million of property upgrades and $128.1 million in cash. Hudson’s Bay will contribute 10 owned or leased stores in major Canadian cities.

RioCan will own 20.2% of this new business, while Hudson’s Bay will hold the remaining 79.8%. The partners will likely sell shares in the new company to the public, which would help unlock the value of these properties.

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ENERPLUS CORP. $13.06 (Toronto symbol ERF; Shares outstanding: 205.4 million; Market cap: $2.7 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk; Dividend yield: 4.6%) produces an average of 105,591 barrels of oil equivalent a day (56% gas and 44% oil). The company’s properties are mainly in Alberta, Saskatchewan, B.C., North Dakota and Montana, as well as the Marcellus shale, which passes through Pennsylvania, New York, Ohio and West Virginia.

In the quarter ended December 31, 2014, Enerplus’s production rose 12.1% from a year earlier. That increase, plus higher realized gas prices, pushed cash flow per share up 15.7%, to $1.03 from $0.89.

Like ARC, Enerplus will cut spending this year. Its outlays will now total $480 million, down 24.4% from its original estimate of $635 million and 40.8% from $811.0 million in 2014.

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ARC RESOURCES $24.16 (Toronto symbol ARX; Shares outstanding: 335.0 million; Market cap: $8.2 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative; Dividend yield: 5.1%; www.arcresources.com) produces oil and natural gas in Western Canada. Its average daily output of 117,986 barrels of oil equivalent is 61% gas and 39% oil.

In the quarter ended December 31, 2014, ARC’s cash flow per share rose 3.9%, to $0.79 from $0.76 a year earlier. Realized oil prices fell 12.5%, to $72.49 a barrel from $82.85, but ARC’s production gained 17.0%, and its realized gas prices rose 15.0%.

Like many oil and gas producers, ARC plans to cut back on exploration and development spending. This year, the company will devote $750.0 million to this purpose, down from $945.5 million in 2014.

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GREAT-WEST LIFECO $34.92 (Toronto symbol GWO; Shares outstanding: 996.7 million; Market cap: $35.2 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; Yield: 3.7%; www.greatwestlifeco.com) has reported strong results in its latest quarter and raised its dividend.

Great-West is Canada’s largest insurance company. It also offers mutual funds and wealth management. Power Financial owns 67.0% of Great-West.

The company’s earnings per share jumped 34.7% in the three months ended December 31, 2014, to $0.66 from $0.49 a year earlier. Revenue rose 33.1%, to $10.7 billion from $8.1 billion.

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TRANSCANADA CORP. $55.25 (Toronto symbol TRP; Shares outstanding: 708.6 million; Market cap: $39.1 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; Dividend yield: 3.8%; www.transcanada.com) operates 68,500 kilometres of natural gas pipelines and over 11,800 megawatts of power generation in Canada and the U.S.

In the three months ended December 31, 2014, TransCanada’s revenue rose 12.1%, to $2.6 billion from $2.3 billion a year earlier. Excluding one-time items, earnings per share rose 24.1%, to $0.72 from $0.58.

The company completed $7.0 billion worth of growth projects in 2014. It plans to complete $46 billion of additional projects secured by long-term contracts by 2020 (an amount greater than its current $39.1-billion market cap).

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Stock Investing
Anthia Cumming
Pat McKeough responds to many requests from members of his Inner Circle for specific advice on stock tips as well as questions on investment strategy and the economy. Every week, his comments and recommendations on the most intriguing questions of the past week go out to all Inner Circle members. And each week, we offer you one of the highlights from these Q&A sessions. We give you Pat’s buy-hold-sell recommendation as well as his analysis of the stock. This is part of the specific buy, hold and sell advice we offer you in our daily posts. Every week you get “A Stock to Sell” on Monday, “Best Canadian Stocks” on Tuesday, and “U.S. Stock Picks” on Thursday.

This week we had a question from an Inner Circle member about a Canadian seafood company whose stock has risen in recent months. Clearwater Seafoods has enjoyed strong financial results while benefiting from a positive outlook for seafood markets. Pat examines the factors behind the company’s strong showing. He also assesses Clearwater’s longer-term outlook in light of both rising global demand and stiff global competition.

Q: Pat: Can you offer any information or advice on the recent price rise and volume of Clearwater Seafoods on the TSX? Thanks.

A: Clearwater Seafoods (symbol CLR on Toronto; www.clearwater.ca) is one of North America’s largest seafood companies and the biggest holder of shellfish licenses and quotas in Canada.

The stock has risen on the company’s strong financial results and a positive outlook for its seafood markets.

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