Pat McKeough

A professional investment analyst for more than 30 years, Pat has developed a stock-selection technique that has proven reliable in both bull and bear markets. His proprietary ValuVesting System™ focuses on stocks that provide exceptional quality at relatively low prices. Many savvy investors and industry leaders consider it the most powerful stock-picking method ever created.

As early as 1980, Pat was recognized as #1 in the world of published investment advice by the Washington, DC–based Newsletter Publishers Association, and he was the first multi-year winner of The Globe and Mail’s stock picking contest.

Both CBS MarketWatch and The Hulbert Financial Digest recognized Pat as one of North America’s top stock analysts. The Wall Street Journal called him “one of only four investment newsletter advisors who have managed to serve their readers well over the long haul.”

A best-selling Canadian author, he wrote Riding the Bull, his 1993 book that predicted the stock-market boom of the last half of that decade. Through his many television appearances, he is well-known to investors for his insightful analysis and his candid, unpretentious style.

Bottom line: Pat’s conservative, reduced-risk strategy is a proven approach to safe investing.

Posts by the author
A conservative, step-by-step Canadian guide: account choice, W-8BEN, FX cost cuts, first trade, and DRIP, built for steady dividend income.
TRANSCANADA CORP. $53 (Toronto symbol TRP; Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 708.6 million; Market cap: $37.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 3.8; Dividend yield: 3.7%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.transcanada.com) could get a boost if it receives approval for two major pipelines that would pump crude oil from Alberta’s oil sands to the U.S. Gulf Coast (Keystone XL) and to refineries in Eastern Canada (Energy East).

Even if it has to abandon these projects, TransCanada’s crude volumes should remain steady, despite lower oil prices.

As well, the company could unlock some of its value by transferring assets to partly controlled affiliates. These transactions, called “drop downs,” help the parent company free up cash for new projects. Activist investors could also pressure TransCanada to spin off its electrical-power operations as a separate firm.

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TORONTO-DOMINION BANK $51 (Toronto symbol TD; Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 1.9 billion; Market cap: $96.9 billion; Priceto- sales ratio: 3.4; Dividend yield: 3.7%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.td.com) also stands to gain from an improving North American economy, particularly in the U.S., where it now has more branches than in Canada.

At the same time, the low Canadian dollar will enhance the bank’s U.S. profits. TD’s strong emphasis on customer service will also help it hang on to depositors if interest rates rise. As well, lower oil prices should give consumers more cash to repay their loans, cutting TD’s loan losses.

TD Bank is a buy.

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CANADIAN NATIONAL RAILWAY CO. $78 (Toronto symbol CNR; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 809.3 million; Market cap: $63.1 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 5.5; Dividend yield: 1.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.cn.ca) has several key advantages that put it in a strong position to profit from an improving North American economy.

For example, it’s the only railway that accesses all three coasts: Atlantic, Pacific and the Gulf of Mexico. As well, CN owns an exclusive line that lets it avoid major bottlenecks in the Chicago area.

To top it off, lower fuel costs will enhance CN’s industry-leading efficiency rates. Crude-by-rail and fracking sand volumes should also remain steady, even with recent oil price drop.

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CANADIAN PACIFIC RAILWAY LTD. $211 (Toronto symbol CP; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 170.1 million; Market cap: $35.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 5.6; Dividend yield: 0.7%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.cpr.ca) has soared 205.8% since we named it our top pick in 2012. The gain is largely due to CP’s plan to cut costs and improve its efficiency with new locomotives, better tracks, and software that optimizes train loads and speeds. CP Rail is a buy.
TECK RESOURCES LTD. $14 (Toronto symbol TCK.B; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 566.8 million; Market cap: $7.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.0; Dividend yield: 6.4%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.teck.com) is down 62.2% since we made it our #1 pick for 2013.

That’s mainly because slowing industrial activity, mainly in Asia, has hurt demand for Teck’s metallurgical coal, a key ingredient in steelmaking. Lower oil prices have also dampened the outlook for its 20.0%-owned Fort Hills oil sands project in Alberta, which is scheduled to start up in late 2017.

The company has a long history of controlling its costs, which should help it stay profitable until coal and oil prices improve. It has also pledged to maintain its annual $0.90-a-share dividend, which yields 6.4%.

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CAE INC. $15 (Toronto symbol CAE; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 265.3 million; Market cap: $4.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.8; Dividend yield: 1.9%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.cae.com) is the world’s leading maker of flight simulators, which help teach airline and military pilots how to take off, land and handle a variety of emergency situations.

Since it started up in 1947, CAE has sold over 1,500 simulators to 140 airlines. It currently controls 70% of the global flight simulator market.

To cut its reliance on simulator sales, which tend to rise and fall with the overall economy, CAE began instructing pilots in 2001. It now operates around 50 pilot-training centres in over 25 countries. These facilities also train cabin crews and maintenance personnel.

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Investment Counsellor
Every Monday we feature “A Stock to Sell” as our daily post. With every stock or investment we recommend as a sell, we give you a full explanation of why we advise against investing in it at this time.

A recent question on “robotics stocks for aggressive investing” from a member of our Inner Circle led to this examination of three different companies involved in this growing field. One is a sell, one is a hold and one is a buy.

ReWalk Robotics (symbol RWLK on Nasdaq; www.rewalk.com) is an Israeli company that makes robotic exoskeletons for helping people with spinal cord injuries walk again. The FDA cleared this technology for use in the U.S. in June 2014. It has been marketed in Europe since 2012.

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Income Investing
Black Coffee, Pen and Newspaper
Jieyu Lai
Every Wednesday, we publish our “Investor Toolkit” series on TSI Network. Whether you’re a beginning or experienced investor, these weekly updates are designed to give you specific investment advice. Each Investor Toolkit update gives you a fundamental piece of investing strategy, and shows you how you can put it into practice right away.

Today’s tip: “Your investments gain doubly in your RRSP, but if you lose you take a double loss, so don’t use it as a place to find out if you have a talent for stock trading.”

Registered Retirement Savings Plans or RRSPs are a little like other investment accounts, except for their tax treatment. You can put up to 18% of the previous year’s earned income, maximum $24,930 for 2015, into an RRSP, and deduct it from your taxable income. (The limit is lower for pension plan members.) You only pay taxes on your RRSP investment, and the investment income it earns, when you make withdrawals from your RRSP.

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Investment Counsellor
Every Monday we feature “A Stock to Sell” as our daily post. With every stock or investment we recommend as a sell, we give you a full explanation of why we advise against investing in it at this time.

Currency Exchange International Corp. (symbol CXI on Toronto; www.ceifx.com), exchanges currency and offers other financial products and services in North America.

The company first sold shares to the public at $6.65 each and began trading on Toronto in March 2012.

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