Pat McKeough

A professional investment analyst for more than 30 years, Pat has developed a stock-selection technique that has proven reliable in both bull and bear markets. His proprietary ValuVesting System™ focuses on stocks that provide exceptional quality at relatively low prices. Many savvy investors and industry leaders consider it the most powerful stock-picking method ever created.

As early as 1980, Pat was recognized as #1 in the world of published investment advice by the Washington, DC–based Newsletter Publishers Association, and he was the first multi-year winner of The Globe and Mail’s stock picking contest.

Both CBS MarketWatch and The Hulbert Financial Digest recognized Pat as one of North America’s top stock analysts. The Wall Street Journal called him “one of only four investment newsletter advisors who have managed to serve their readers well over the long haul.”

A best-selling Canadian author, he wrote Riding the Bull, his 1993 book that predicted the stock-market boom of the last half of that decade. Through his many television appearances, he is well-known to investors for his insightful analysis and his candid, unpretentious style.

Bottom line: Pat’s conservative, reduced-risk strategy is a proven approach to safe investing.

Posts by the author
A conservative, step-by-step Canadian guide: account choice, W-8BEN, FX cost cuts, first trade, and DRIP, built for steady dividend income.
MACY’S INC. $65 (www.macysinc.com) is changing some procedures at its Macy’s and Bloomingdale’s department stores. Previously, the physical stores and online operations bought and marketed their merchandise separately. Now the company is creating a unified purchasing organization that will cut costs, minimize product shortages and speed up online order fulfillment....
STATE STREET CORP. $71 (www.statestreet.com) sells accounting and administrative services to large institutional investors, such as mutual funds and pension plans. The company’s fee income rises and falls with the value of the securities it manages....
CINTAS CORP. $78 (Nasdaq symbol CTAS; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 117.3 million; Market cap: $9.1 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.1; Dividend yield: 1.1%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.cintas.com) provides a range of products and services to over one million businesses, mainly in North America.

The company gets 71% of its revenue by renting uniforms that it makes and cleans. This business also rents a variety of related products, such as mats, towels, mops and cleaning supplies. Cintas gets a further 10% of its revenue by selling uniforms.

In addition, the company sells first aid kits, fire extinguishers, sprinklers and emergency-exit lights (11%). It also shreds corporate documents (8%). In April 2014, it merged its shredding operations with Shred-it International. In exchange, Cintas received 42% of the combined company, which uses the Shred-it brand, plus $180 million in cash.

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AMERICAN EXPRESS $82 (New York symbol AXP, Conservative Growth Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 1.0 billion; Market cap: $82.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.6; Dividend yield: 1.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.americanexpress.com) earned $1.4 billion in the three months ended December 31, 2014, up 10.6% from $1.3 billion a year earlier. Per-share earnings rose 14.9%, to $1.39 from $1.21, on fewer shares outstanding. Revenue gained 6.6%, to $9.1 billion from $8.5 billion, as cardholder spending rose 6% and credit card balances grew by 7%.

The company is now cutting 6% of its workforce as part of a plan to improve its overall efficiency. Severance costs cut its earnings by $206 million in the latest quarter. However, the savings will help Amex invest in new growth initiatives, including adapting its networks to process purchases made from smartphones.

American Express is a buy.

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FAIR ISAAC CORP. $79 (New York symbol FICO; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 31.7 million; Market cap: $2.5 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 3.5; Dividend yield: 0.1%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.fico.com) has paid an undisclosed amount for Tonbeller, a German firm whose software helps banks and insurance companies detect and prevent money laundering and fraud.

The company plans to integrate Tonbeller’s antifraud products with its own software, which can quickly analyze a large number of transactions. That should give Fair Isaac an advantage, as users usually have to buy these programs separately.

Fair Isaac is a hold.

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CHEVRON CORP. $104 (New York symbol CVX; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 1.9 billion; Market cap: $197.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.9; Dividend yield: 4.1%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.chevron .com) has signed a five-year deal to supply liquefied natural gas (LNG) from its 47.3%-owned Gorgon project in Australia to South Korea’s SK Group. Gorgon should start up later this year.

With this deal, Chevron now has contracts covering 75% of Gorgon’s LNG production from 2017 to 2022. That helps cut this project’s risk .

Chevron is a buy.


L BRANDS INC. $85 (New York symbol LB; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 292.7 million; Market cap: $24.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.8; Dividend yield: 1.6%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.lb.com) has opened its first Victoria’s Secret store in China. The company plans to open five more outlets in that country in the next few weeks.

China restricts clothing imports, so unlike Victoria’s Secret stores in other countries, which mainly sell lingerie, these locations will focus on handbags, cosmetics and fragrances.

L Brands is a hold.

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FORD MOTOR CO. $14 (New York symbol F; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 3.8 billion; Market cap: $53.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.4; Dividend yield: 4.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk; www.ford.com) sold 2.5 million vehicles in the U.S. in 2014, down 0.5% from 2013.

Truck sales (38% of the 2014 total) fell 0.7% as Ford slowed production of its popular F-150 as it prepared to launch a new version that uses lightweight aluminum body panels. Car sales (32%) declined 3.8%, but SUV sales (30%) gained 3.5%.

The company also raised its dividend by 20.0%. The new annual rate of $0.60 a share yields 4.3%.

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NEWMONT MINING CORP. $24 (New York symbol NEM; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 498.8 million; Market cap: $11.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.7; Dividend yield: 0.4%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.newmont.com) has started work on its 75%-owned Merian gold project in Suriname; the Suriname government owns the remaining 25%.

The company will spend $600 million to $700 million on Merian. The new mine will supply 7% to 10% of Newmont’s total gold production when it starts up in 2017.

The stock has jumped 36% from its December 2014 low of $17.60. That’s mainly because gold prices have strengthened in response to fears of deflation in Europe. However, the higher U.S. dollar will continue to weigh on gold.

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