Pat McKeough

A professional investment analyst for more than 30 years, Pat has developed a stock-selection technique that has proven reliable in both bull and bear markets. His proprietary ValuVesting System™ focuses on stocks that provide exceptional quality at relatively low prices. Many savvy investors and industry leaders consider it the most powerful stock-picking method ever created.

As early as 1980, Pat was recognized as #1 in the world of published investment advice by the Washington, DC–based Newsletter Publishers Association, and he was the first multi-year winner of The Globe and Mail’s stock picking contest.

Both CBS MarketWatch and The Hulbert Financial Digest recognized Pat as one of North America’s top stock analysts. The Wall Street Journal called him “one of only four investment newsletter advisors who have managed to serve their readers well over the long haul.”

A best-selling Canadian author, he wrote Riding the Bull, his 1993 book that predicted the stock-market boom of the last half of that decade. Through his many television appearances, he is well-known to investors for his insightful analysis and his candid, unpretentious style.

Bottom line: Pat’s conservative, reduced-risk strategy is a proven approach to safe investing.

Posts by the author
A conservative, step-by-step Canadian guide: account choice, W-8BEN, FX cost cuts, first trade, and DRIP, built for steady dividend income.
FAIR ISAAC CORP. $78.02 (New York symbol FICO; TSINetwork Rating: Average)(415-472-2211; www.fairisaac.com; Shares outstanding: 32.1 million; Market cap: $2.4 billion; Dividend yield: 0.1%) makes FICO Scores, the program that dominates the market for software that businesses use to evaluate customer creditworthiness. The company is also profiting by selling programs that help credit card issuers control fraud and analyze cardholders’ spending patterns.

In its fiscal 2014 fourth quarter, which ended September 30, 2014, Fair Isaac’s earnings per share rose 39.2%, to $1.10 from $0.79 a year ago.

Revenue gained 16.4%, to $221.6 million from $190.3 million. The company saw stronger sales at its main applications division (66% of the total) on increased licensing revenue from software that detects bank fraud.

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BROADRIDGE FINANCIAL SOLUTIONS $46.55 (New York symbol BR; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (201-714-3000; www.broadridge.com; Shares outstanding: 120.0 million; Market cap: $5.6 billion; Dividend yield: 2.3%) serves the investment industry in three main areas: investor communications, securities processing and transaction clearing. The company processes 90% of all proxy votes in the U.S. and Canada.

Without one-time items, Broadridge earned $37.0 million, or $0.30 a share, in its fiscal 2015 first quarter, which ended September 30, 2014. That’s down 22.9% from $48.0 million, or $0.39 a share, a year earlier. The company paid employees higher commissions on new sales and performance bonuses. It also expanded its sales and marketing capabilities.

Broadridge typically makes about half of its profits in its fiscal fourth-quarter ended June 30. That’s the busiest period for processing proxies and annual reports for its clients.

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ALIMENTATION COUCHETARD $44.55 (Toronto symbol ATD.B; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (1-800-361-2612; www.couchetard. com; Shares outstanding: 565.8 million; Market cap: $25.4 billion; Dividend yield: 0.4%) is buying The Pantry (symbol PTRY on Nasdaq), which operates more than 1,500 convenience stores in 13 southern U.S. states.

Couche-Tard will pay $1.7 billion—$ 860 million in cash and the assumption of $840 million of debt. This is its biggest purchase since it paid $2.7 billion U.S. for Norway’s Statoil Fuel & Retail gas station chain in June 2012.

Founded in 1967, The Pantry mainly grew through acquisitions beginning in the late 1980s. Like Couche-Tard, it focuses on selling higher-margin fresh food. It sells its own private-label bottled water and is the fifth-largest location for Subway restaurants.

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DOREL INDUSTRIES $39.05 (Toronto symbol DII.B; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (514-731-0000; www.dorel.com; Shares outstanding: 32.3 million; Market cap: $1.3 billion; Dividend yield: 3.5%) makes a range of items, including ready-to-assemble home and office furniture; juvenile products, such as car seats, strollers, high chairs, toddler beds and cribs; and recreational goods, mainly bicycles.

Dorel has grown quickly over the last 10 years, with revenue doubling from $1.2 billion in 2003 to $2.4 billion in 2013 (all figures except share price and market cap in U.S. dollars). This period included two big acquisitions: France’s Ampa Group for $240 million in 2003 and Dorel’s 2004 purchase of Pacific Cycle for $310 million.

In late 2013, Dorel acquired 70% of money-losing Caloi, a major Brazilian bike maker, for $73.0 million. It has now integrated Caloi’s production from its big plant in Manaus, Brazil into its distribution and sales network to the point that it’s now adding to Dorel’s profits.

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Blue Chip Stocks
Every Thursday we bring you one of our best U.S. stock picks. You get our specific recommendation on the stocks we profile, with a full explanation of how we arrived at our opinion. You will read about stocks making moves you should know about, most often from coverage in our newsletter on U.S. investing, Wall Street Stock Forecaster.

GENERAL ELECTRIC CO. (New York symbol GE; www.ge.com) recently agreed to form a major new alliance with France’s Alstom SA, a leading maker of electrical-transmission equipment and parts for power plants.

Under the deal, GE will form three 50/50 joint ventures with Alstom. One will combine the companies’ electrical grid operations, while a second will focus on products for renewable energy projects, like offshore wind farms. The third will hold Alstom’s nuclear-equipment division.

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Growth Stocks
Every Wednesday, we publish our “Investor Toolkit” series on TSI Network. Whether you’re a new or experienced investor, these weekly updates are designed to give you specific investment advice. Each Investor Toolkit update gives you a fundamental piece of investing strategy, and shows you how you can put it into practice right away.

Today’s tip: “To get the maximum reward from rising stocks, it’s essential to pick stocks with clear growth prospects and not simply momentum stocks with uncertain futures.”

By definition, growth stocks are companies that have above-average growth prospects. They are firms whose earnings growth has been above the market average, and is likely to remain above average. It is often the case that they pay small dividends or none at all. Instead, they re-invest their cash flow in the business, to promote their growth.

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Mining Stocks
Every Monday we feature “A Stock to Sell” as our daily post. With every stock or investment we recommend as a sell, we give you a full explanation of why we advise against investing in it at this time.

Arafura Resources $0.05 (symbol ARU on the Australian exchange; www.arultd.com), is an Australian firm with a rare earth property in the country’s Northern Territory.

Rare earth elements are a group of metals with unique characteristics. They are fairly common in the Earth’s crust, but due to their geochemical properties, these elements are usually dispersed and not routinely found concentrated as minerals in economically exploitable ore deposits. Thus the name “rare earth.”

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Investment Counsellor
Pat McKeough responds to many requests from Members of his Inner Circle for specific stock investment advice as well as questions on investment strategy and the economy. Every week, his comments and recommendations on the most intriguing questions of the past week go out to all Inner Circle Members. And each week we offer you a report on one of the stocks profiled in these Q&A sessions. We give you Pat’s buy-hold-sell recommendation as well as his analysis of the stock. This is part of the specific buy, hold and sell advice we offer you in our daily posts. Every week you get “A Stock to Sell” on Monday, “Best Canadian Stocks” on Tuesday, and “U.S. Stock Picks” on Thursday.

Recently an Inner Circle Member asked us about online travel specialists Priceline. The company offers online reservations for airline tickets, hotels and other vacation essentials and successfully raised its profile with commercials featuring Canadian actor William Shatner. Priceline has made several key acquisitions in the past two years and expects to make more. Pat looks at the company’s financial situation and assesses its ability to maintain a strong market share as it expands its international operations.

Q: What do you think about Priceline as a stock? Thanks.

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Investment Counsellor
Muhaciov Artiom
We wish all of our readers a great year-end holiday and a healthy, happy and prosperous New Year. Please note that our next daily will appear on Friday, December 26.

Every Wednesday, we publish our “Investor Toolkit” series on TSI Network. Whether you’re a new or experienced investor, these weekly updates are designed to give you specific investment advice. Each Investor Toolkit update gives you a fundamental piece of investing strategy, and shows you how you can put it into practice right away.

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