Pat McKeough

A professional investment analyst for more than 30 years, Pat has developed a stock-selection technique that has proven reliable in both bull and bear markets. His proprietary ValuVesting System™ focuses on stocks that provide exceptional quality at relatively low prices. Many savvy investors and industry leaders consider it the most powerful stock-picking method ever created.

As early as 1980, Pat was recognized as #1 in the world of published investment advice by the Washington, DC–based Newsletter Publishers Association, and he was the first multi-year winner of The Globe and Mail’s stock picking contest.

Both CBS MarketWatch and The Hulbert Financial Digest recognized Pat as one of North America’s top stock analysts. The Wall Street Journal called him “one of only four investment newsletter advisors who have managed to serve their readers well over the long haul.”

A best-selling Canadian author, he wrote Riding the Bull, his 1993 book that predicted the stock-market boom of the last half of that decade. Through his many television appearances, he is well-known to investors for his insightful analysis and his candid, unpretentious style.

Bottom line: Pat’s conservative, reduced-risk strategy is a proven approach to safe investing.

Posts by the author
Learn which Canadian sectors have historically delivered more dependable dividends—and why. This safety-first guide explains the cash-flow mechanics, key risks (rates, regulation, credit cycles), and how to build a balanced income mix without chasing yield.
YUM! BRANDS INC. $69 (New York symbol YUM; Aggressive Growth Portfolio; Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 437.5 million; Market cap: $30.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.3; Dividend yield: 2.4%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.yum.com) earned $404 million in the three months ended September 6, 2014, up 165.8% from $152 million a year earlier. Per-share earnings rose 169.7%, to $0.89 from $0.33, on fewer shares outstanding.

If you disregard unusual items, including last year’s writedown of Yum’s investment in the Little Sheep restaurant chain in China, earnings rose 2.4%, to $0.87 a share from $0.85.

Sales declined 3.2%, to $3.35 billion from $3.5 billion. That’s mainly because a food-safety scare has cut traffic at Yum’s KFC outlets in China. As a result, the China division’s same-store sales fell 14%. However, same-store sales rose 3% at the company’s other KFC locations and 3% at Taco Bell. Same-store sales also rose 4% at the India division, while Pizza Hut saw a 1% decline.

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CEDAR FAIR L.P. $47 (New York symbol FUN; Income Portfolio, Consumer sector; Units outstanding: 55.9 million; Market cap: $2.6 billion; Priceto- sales ratio: 2.2; Dividend yield: 6.0%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.cedarfair.com) owns 11 amusement parks, three outdoor water parks, one indoor water park and five hotels.

The partnership reported record revenue of $939 million in the first eight months of 2014. Excluding a water park Cedar Fair sold in August 2013, comparable- park revenue improved by $12 million, or 1.3%, in 2014.

Colder-than-normal summer weather in the Great Lakes region cut attendance by 1%. However, visitors spent an average of 3% more in Cedar Fair’s parks.

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KRAFT FOODS GROUP INC. $57 (Nasdaq symbol KRFT; Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 594.7 million; Market cap: $33.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.9; Dividend yield: 3.9%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.kraftfoodsgroup.com) makes a variety of grocery products, including Kraft macaroni and cheese, Oscar Mayer meats, Philadelphia cream cheese, Maxwell House coffee, Jell-O desserts and Miracle Whip salad dressing.

The company has raised its quarterly dividend by 4.8%, to $0.55 a share from $0.525. The new annual rate of $2.20 yields 3.9%. This is the second time Kraft has raised the payout since its spinoff from Mondelez International in October 2012.

Kraft Foods is a buy.

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NEWMONT MINING CORP. $23 (New York symbol NEM; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 498.8 million; Market cap: $11.5 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.5; Dividend yield: 0.4%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.newmont.com) has sold its 44% stake in a joint venture that owns the La Herradura gold mine in northern Mexico.

The company received $450 million for its stake. Including this sale, Newmont has now raised $1.3 billion by selling less important assets in the past year. That frees up cash for more promising projects, such as its Merian gold mine in Suriname, which will cost $1 billion and should open in late 2016. Merian’s reserves should last 11 years.

Newmont is a hold.

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CANON INC. ADRs $30 (New York symbol CAJ; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; ADRs outstanding: 1.1 billion; Market cap: $33.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.0; Dividend yield: 4.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.canon.com) continues to see weak demand for printers and digital cameras. That’s because consumers are taking more photos with their smartphones. They’re also increasingly storing their pictures online instead of printing them.

As a result, Canon’s sales fell 6.0% in the three months ended June 30, 2014, to $9.2 billion from $9.8 billion a year earlier.

However, thanks to a successful cost-cutting plan, the company’s earnings jumped 19.2%, to $800.5 million from $671.7 million. Earnings per ADR rose 24.1%, to $0.72 from $0.58 (each American Depositary Receipt represents one common share), on fewer shares outstanding.

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HEWLETT-PACKARD CO. $34 (New York symbol HPQ; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 1.9 billion; Market cap: $64.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.6; Dividend yield: 1.9%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.hp.com) plans to break itself into two separate companies.

The first firm, called Hewlett-Packard Enterprise, will sell computing products, like servers and analytics software, to businesses and governments. It will also offer cloud computing services and financing. Hewlett-Packard Enterprise will have annual revenue of $58.4 billion and gross profits of $6 billion.

Meg Whitman, Hewlett’s current chief executive officer, will become this firm’s CEO.

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SNAP-ON INC. $126 (New York symbol SNA; Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 58.1 million; Market cap: $7.3 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.2; Dividend yield: 1.4%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.snapon.com) makes tools for auto mechanics and sells them through a fleet of franchised vans that visit garages. It also makes specialized tools for mining companies, electrical power plant operators and other industrial customers.

The company plans to spend $75 million to $80 million in 2014 on upgrades to its distribution network, developing new products and expanding in emerging markets (overseas customers supply around a third of its revenue).

Snap-On is also fueling its growth with acquisitions. In May 2013, it bought Challenger Lifts for $38.2 million. This business makes systems that raise cars off the ground. The purchase contributed $39.3 million to Snap-On’s 2013 revenue of $3.1 billion.

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MONSANTO CO. $113 (New York symbol MON, Aggressive Growth Portfolio; Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 524.4 million; Market cap: $59.3 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 3.9; Dividend yield: 1.7%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.monsanto.com) gets 70% of its revenue from genetically modified seeds for corn, soybeans and other crops. The remaining 30% comes from selling herbicides, mainly under the Roundup brand.

In its 2014 fiscal year, which ended August 31, 2014, Monsanto’s earnings rose 10.4%, to $2.7 billion from $2.5 billion in 2013. Per-share earnings gained 13.5%, to $5.22 from $4.60, on fewer shares outstanding. Without unusual items, such as costs to settle a lawsuit, earnings per share rose 14.7%, to $5.23 from $4.56.

Sales rose 6.7%, to $15.9 billion from $14.9 billion. Seed sales gained 3.9%, as record soybean seed demand offset weaker sales of corn seeds. Sales of other agricultural products rose 13.1%.

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PEPSICO INC. $94 (New York symbol PEP; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 1.5 billion; Market cap: $141.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.2; Dividend yield: 2.8%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.pepsico.com) has launched Pepsi True, a new cola that has 30% less sugar than regular Pepsi.

This new drink uses stevia, an all-natural sweetener without the calories or health drawbacks of sugar. Pepsi True will also contain no artificial sweeteners or high-fructose corn syrup.

The launch follows a nine-year decline in U.S. soft drink sales as a result of increased health concerns spurred by research linking these drinks to obesity and other conditions.

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