Pat McKeough

A professional investment analyst for more than 30 years, Pat has developed a stock-selection technique that has proven reliable in both bull and bear markets. His proprietary ValuVesting System™ focuses on stocks that provide exceptional quality at relatively low prices. Many savvy investors and industry leaders consider it the most powerful stock-picking method ever created.

As early as 1980, Pat was recognized as #1 in the world of published investment advice by the Washington, DC–based Newsletter Publishers Association, and he was the first multi-year winner of The Globe and Mail’s stock picking contest.

Both CBS MarketWatch and The Hulbert Financial Digest recognized Pat as one of North America’s top stock analysts. The Wall Street Journal called him “one of only four investment newsletter advisors who have managed to serve their readers well over the long haul.”

A best-selling Canadian author, he wrote Riding the Bull, his 1993 book that predicted the stock-market boom of the last half of that decade. Through his many television appearances, he is well-known to investors for his insightful analysis and his candid, unpretentious style.

Bottom line: Pat’s conservative, reduced-risk strategy is a proven approach to safe investing.

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When we get questions about investing in stocks through split-share, our advice is, avoid the risk and invest in good stocks individually
BIRCHCLIFF ENERGY $11.92 (Toronto symbol BIR; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (403-261-6401; www.birchcliffenergy.com; Shares outstanding: 145.9 million; Market cap: $1.7 billion; No dividends paid) develops, produces and explores for oil and gas, mainly in the Peace River Arch area near the Alberta/B.C. border. About 83% of its output is gas. The remaining 17% is oil.

In the three months ended June 30, 2014, Birchcliff’s production rose 29.1%, to 31,178 barrels of oil equivalent per day from 24,141 barrels a year earlier. Cash flow per share jumped 79.3%, to $0.52 from $0.29, on the increased output and higher oil and gas prices.

In 2012, Birchcliff completed Phase III of its gas plant expansion in Pouce Coupe, Alberta. This project doubled the facility’s capacity and is letting the company bring the additional gas it is now producing to market.

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MAJOR DRILLING $8.42 (Toronto symbol MDI; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (1-866-264-3986; www.majordrilling.com; Shares outstanding: 79.2 million; Market cap: $666.7 million; Dividend yield: 2.4%) has agreed to buy privately held Taurus Drilling Services for $27.7 million, plus a further $11.5 million tied to performance.

Taurus, which operates in Canada, the U.S. and Mexico, performs underground longhole drilling for mining firms. Longhole drilling is used in operating mines to drill holes for various purposes, including blasting, drainage and providing electrical service and ventilation.

The acquisition looks like a great fit for Major, because it lets the company expand into mine-production drilling. That’s important, because it reduces Major’s focus on exploration drillers, which depend on volatile commodity markets for financing.

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CARFINCO FINANCIAL GROUP $8.38 (Toronto symbol CFN; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (1-888-486-4356; www.carfinco.com; Shares outstanding: 26.5 million; Market cap: $224.2 million; Dividend yield: 5.7%) provides car loans to consumers who don’t meet the criteria of banks and other traditional lenders.

In September 2013, Carfinco expanded into the U.S. through its $9.5-million purchase of Persian Acceptance Corp., an automotive lender that also caters to less-affluent borrowers. The acquisition boosted Carfinco’s loans outstanding by about 22%.

In the three months ended June 30, 2014, the company’s revenue rose 24.5%, to $24.3 million from $19.5 million a year earlier. Carfinco loaned $54.0 million in the quarter, up 26.9% from $42.6 million.

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INTACT FINANCIAL CORP. $74.47 (Toronto symbol IFC; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (416-341-1464; www.intactfc.com; Shares outstanding: 131.5 million; Market cap: $9.7 billion; Dividend yield: 2.6%) is Canada’s largest provider of property and casualty insurance, based on premiums. Its brands include Intact Insurance, Canada BrokerLink, belairdirect and Grey Power.

In the three months ended June 30, 2014, Intact’s revenue was virtually unchanged from a year earlier, at $2.17 billion. The company earned $210 million, or $1.60 a share, up sharply from $98 million, or $0.73.

However, the year-earlier results include a pre-tax loss of $143 million, mostly related to storms and flooding in southern Alberta. Similar losses in the 2014 quarter were just $33 million.

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DREAM OFFICE REIT $29.07 (Toronto symbol D.UN; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (416-365-3535; www.dundeereit.com; Units outstanding: 104.6 million; Market cap: $3.1 billion; Dividend yield: 7.7%) (formerly Dundee REIT) owns and manages 24.5 million square feet of office and retail space in major cities across Canada.

In the quarter ended June 30, 2014, Dream’s revenue rose 3.1%, to $204.4 million from $198.2 million a year earlier. The trust continues to renew expiring leases at higher rates.

Cash flow gained 2.7%, to $61.0 million from $59.4 million, while cash flow per unit rose 4.9%, to $0.64 from $0.61, on more units outstanding.

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MITEL NETWORKS $10.83 (Toronto symbol MNW; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (613-592-2122; www.mitel.ca; Shares outstanding: 99.4 million; Market cap: $1.1 billion; No dividends paid) has reported its second quarter of results that include Aastra Technologies, a Stock Pickers Digest recommendation Mitel acquired in a friendly takeover on January 31, 2014. Aastra shareholders received cash and Mitel shares.

During the quarter, Mitel’s revenue rose 96.9%, to $288.7 million from $146.6 million a year ago (all figures except share price in U.S. dollars). Most of the increase came from Aastra.

Without one-time items, earnings jumped 124.2%, to $22.2 million from $9.9 million. However, earnings per share rose just 16.7%, to $0.21 from $0.18, as the company issued new shares to pay for Aastra Technologies.

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STUART OLSON INC. $10.01 (Toronto symbol SOX; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (780-454-3667; www.stuartolson.com; Shares outstanding: 24.9 million; Market cap: $270.0 million; Dividend yield: 4.8%) (formerly The Churchill Corp.) provides building-construction, commercial and industrial electrical contracting, earthmoving and industrial insulation services to government and private sector clients. It mainly operates in Western Canada.

In the three months ended June 30, 2014, the company earned $1.4 million, or $0.06 a share, excluding one-time items. A year earlier, it made just $485,000, or $0.02 a share.

Revenue rose 20.2%, to $334.0 million from $277.8 million, thanks to rising construction activity in Western Canada.

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TIM HORTONS $66.99 (Toronto symbol THI; TSINetwork Rating: Average) (905-845-6511; www.timhortons.com; Shares outstanding: 134.3 million; Market cap: $9.1 billion; Dividend yield: 1.9%) is up 11%, near all-time highs, since reporting better-than-expected quarterly results on August 6.

In the three months ended June 29, 2014, Tim Hortons’ revenue rose 9.3%, to $874.3 million from $800.1 million a year earlier. That beat the consensus forecast of $843.3 million.

Same-store sales rose 2.6% at its Canadian locations and 5.9% in the U.S. These gains were mainly due to successful new menu items.

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RUSSEL METALS $37.45 (Toronto symbol RUS; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (905-819-7777; www.russelmetals.com; Shares outstanding: 61.4 million; Market cap: $2.3 billion; Dividend yield: 4.1%) is one of North America’s largest metal distributors. It serves 39,000 clients at 53 locations in Canada and 12 in the U.S.

In the quarter ended June 30, 2014, Russel’s revenue rose 17.8%, to $893.3 million from $758.1 million a year earlier. Higher demand and selling prices pushed up revenue at its metal services business by 11%. The energy tubular products division, which supplies pipes for oil and gas exploration and development, saw its revenue rise 17%.

Earnings gained 53.3%, to $30.5 million, or $0.50 a share. A year earlier, the company earned $19.9 million, or $0.33. Russel has invested in new plants and processing equipment over the past three years, which has cut its costs and improved its efficiency. That’s paying off with higher profits.

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