Pat McKeough

A professional investment analyst for more than 30 years, Pat has developed a stock-selection technique that has proven reliable in both bull and bear markets. His proprietary ValuVesting System™ focuses on stocks that provide exceptional quality at relatively low prices. Many savvy investors and industry leaders consider it the most powerful stock-picking method ever created.

As early as 1980, Pat was recognized as #1 in the world of published investment advice by the Washington, DC–based Newsletter Publishers Association, and he was the first multi-year winner of The Globe and Mail’s stock picking contest.

Both CBS MarketWatch and The Hulbert Financial Digest recognized Pat as one of North America’s top stock analysts. The Wall Street Journal called him “one of only four investment newsletter advisors who have managed to serve their readers well over the long haul.”

A best-selling Canadian author, he wrote Riding the Bull, his 1993 book that predicted the stock-market boom of the last half of that decade. Through his many television appearances, he is well-known to investors for his insightful analysis and his candid, unpretentious style.

Bottom line: Pat’s conservative, reduced-risk strategy is a proven approach to safe investing.

Posts by the author
MITEL NETWORKS $12.03 (Toronto symbol MNW; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (613-592-2122; www.mitel.ca; Shares outstanding: 99.9 million; Market cap: $1.2 billion; No dividends paid) is now #1 in business communications products in Europe, and #3 in North American behind Avaya and Cisco, after its January 31, 2014 friendly takeover of Aastra Technologies.

Aastra, a Stock Pickers Digest recommendation, mostly makes business telephone equipment. Mitel operates in the same market as Aastra, but is focused more on software, including call centre and video-conferencing products. It is increasingly moving from selling programs that are installed at its customers’ offices to a cloud model, where it keeps its software on its own servers and sells it by subscription.

In the three months ended March 31, 2014, Mitel’s revenue rose 68.8%, to $241.5 million from $143.1 million a year ago (all figures except share price in U.S. dollars). Most of the increase came from Aastra.

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CHESAPEAKE ENERGY $29.23 (New York symbol CHK; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (405-848-8000; www.chkenergy.com; Shares outstanding: 666.2 million; Market cap: $20.0 billion; Dividend yield: 1.2%) is one of the largest U.S.-based oil and natural gas explorers and producers. Its production mix is 84% gas and 16% oil.

Chesapeake’s shares have nearly doubled since mid-2012, when activist investor Carl Icahn acquired a stake in the firm. Icahn, who has a history of pushing companies to make changes that raise shareholder value, subsequently replaced four of Chesapeake’s eight board members with his nominees. The company also pushed out controversial co-founder, CEO and chairman Aubrey K. McClendon.

As part of its restructuring, Chesapeake sold $4 billion worth of properties in 2013, which let it pay down debt and focus on areas with strong growth potential. It has also cut its costs and is now aiming for a better balance between oil and gas production.

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YAMANA GOLD $9.18 (Toronto symbol YRI; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (416-815-0220; www.yamana.com; Shares outstanding: 753.3 million; Market cap: $7.1 billion; Dividend yield: 1.7%) recently teamed up with Osisko Mining (symbol OSK on Toronto) to thwart a hostile takeover of Osisko by Goldcorp (symbol G).

Yamana bid $1.4 billion in cash and shares for 50% of Osisko, which owns the Canadian Malartic mine in Quebec. Canadian Malartic produced 475,277 ounces of gold in 2013.

However, Goldcorp has now raised its bid to $3.6 billion in cash and shares for all of Osisko. Yamana’s offer, combined with contributions from two of Canada’s largest pension funds in the form of a loan and the purchase of a 37,500-ounce-per-year gold stream, valued Osisko at $3.4 billion.

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stock market trading
Every Wednesday, we publish our “Investor Toolkit” series on TSI Network. Whether you’re a new or experienced investor, these weekly updates are designed to give you advice on stock market trading and other investment topics that will help you develop a successful approach to investing. Each Investor Toolkit update gives you a fundamental tip and shows you how you can put it into practice right away. Today’s tip: “The saying ‘Sell in May and go away’ is based on an approach to the stock market that works only sporadically and could actually cost you money if you go along with it.”...
POTASH CORP. OF SASKATCHEWAN $37 (www.potashcorp .com) exports potash fertilizer to customers outside North America through Canpotex, a marketing joint venture. Potash Corp., Agrium (see below) and Mosaic Co. (New York symbol MOS) each own a third of Canpotex....
CENOVUS ENERGY INC. $32 (Toronto symbol CVE; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 756.5 million; Market cap: $24.5 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.3; Dividend yield: 3.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.cenovus.com) gets about 40% of its output from its oil sands projects in Alberta. Conventional oil and natural gas wells supply the other 60%.

U.S.-based ConocoPhillips (New York symbol COP) owns 50% of Cenovus’s main Foster Creek and Christina Lake oil sands projects in Alberta. These properties produce heavy bitumen, which Cenovus ships to its 50%-owned refineries in Illinois and Texas. Phillips 66 (New York symbol PSX) owns the other 50% of these refineries. In 2013, refining accounted for 66% of Cenovus’s revenue and 40% of its earnings.


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DUNDEE CORP. $17 (Toronto symbol DC.A; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 54.1 million; Market cap: $919.7 million; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.4; No dividends paid; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.dundeecorp.com) owns businesses in the wealth management, real estate, natural resource and agriculture industries.

The company lost $92.6 million, or $1.88 a share, in 2013. That’s a big drop from the $25.2 million, or $0.29 a share, it earned in 2012. Revenue fell 6.3%, to $200.7 million from $214.2 million.

The declines are mainly because weak commodity prices hurt the contribution of Dundee’s resource holdings. As well, fewer firms issued shares in 2013, which hurt profits at its Dundee Securities brokerage firm. The company is also spending more to expand its agriculture businesses, which further depressed results.
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TRANSCANADA CORP. $51 (Toronto symbol TRP; Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 707.6 million; Market cap: $36.1 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 3.8; Dividend yield: 3.8%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.transcanada.com) has received new long-term commitments from U.S. natural gas producers for its ANR pipeline system. Trans- Canada has now sold all of this line’s capacity.

This strong demand should prompt Trans- Canada to expand the ANR line over the next few years. That would let it handle rising production at the Utica and Marcellus shale gas fields in New York State and Pennsylvania.

TransCanada is a buy....
CANADIAN PACIFIC RAILWAY LTD. $162 (Toronto symbol CP; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 175.7 million; Market cap: $28.5 billion; Priceto- sales ratio: 4.6; Dividend yield: 0.9%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.cpr.ca) will repurchase up to 1.3 million of its shares from a private seller at a discount to the market price.

This move is part of the company’s plan to buy back up to 5.3 million of its common shares, or roughly 3% of the total outstanding, by March 16, 2015. Share buybacks raise earnings per share and other per-share calculations, and give the remaining shareholders a larger stake in the company.

CP Rail is a buy....