Pat McKeough

A professional investment analyst for more than 30 years, Pat has developed a stock-selection technique that has proven reliable in both bull and bear markets. His proprietary ValuVesting System™ focuses on stocks that provide exceptional quality at relatively low prices. Many savvy investors and industry leaders consider it the most powerful stock-picking method ever created.

As early as 1980, Pat was recognized as #1 in the world of published investment advice by the Washington, DC–based Newsletter Publishers Association, and he was the first multi-year winner of The Globe and Mail’s stock picking contest.

Both CBS MarketWatch and The Hulbert Financial Digest recognized Pat as one of North America’s top stock analysts. The Wall Street Journal called him “one of only four investment newsletter advisors who have managed to serve their readers well over the long haul.”

A best-selling Canadian author, he wrote Riding the Bull, his 1993 book that predicted the stock-market boom of the last half of that decade. Through his many television appearances, he is well-known to investors for his insightful analysis and his candid, unpretentious style.

Bottom line: Pat’s conservative, reduced-risk strategy is a proven approach to safe investing.

Posts by the author
CANADIAN UTILITIES LTD. (Toronto symbols CU [class A non-voting] $37 and CU.X [class B voting] $37; Income Portfolio, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 260.1 million; Market cap: $9.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.8; Dividend yield: 2.9%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.canadianutilities.com) distributes electricity and natural gas in Alberta and Australia. It also operates 18 power plants in Canada, Australia and the U.K. ATCO Ltd. (see page 14) owns 53.1% of the company.

In the three months ended September 30, 2013, Canadian Utilities earned $127 million, up 8.5% from $117 million a year earlier. Earnings per share rose 4.8%, to $0.44 from $0.42, on more shares outstanding.

Without unusual items, mainly deferred payments from or refunds paid to customers, earnings would have risen 6.7%. Revenue gained 5.7%, to $755 million from $714 million, mainly due to higher power rates.
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ATCO LTD. (Toronto symbols ACO.X [class I non-voting] $47 and ACO.Y [class II voting] $47; Income Portfolio, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 115.2 million; Market cap: $5.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.2; Dividend yield: 1.8%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.atco.com) holds 53.1% of Canadian Utilities (see page 15). It also owns 75.5% of ATCO Structures & Logistics, which builds temporary buildings for construction and energy exploration firms; Canadian Utilities owns the remaining 24.5%.

In the three months ended September 30, 2013, ATCO’s revenue rose 3.5% to $1.02 billion from $981.0 million a year earlier. That’s mainly because higher power rates in Alberta increased Canadian Utilities’ contribution. The structures division’s revenue fell 2.5% after it completed three contracts to build temporary housing and offices at an Australian liquefied natural gas (LNG) project in late 2012 and early 2013.

Earnings jumped 63.0%, to $132 million, or $1.15 a share, from $81 million, or $0.71. Without unusual items, earnings rose 6.3%.
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CANADA BREAD CO. LTD. $72 (Toronto symbol CBY; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 25.4 million; Market cap: $1.8 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.2; Dividend yield: 2.8%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.canadabread.ca) recently sold its Olivieri Foods business, which makes pasta and sauces, to Spain’s Ebro Foods. The company received $120 million, increasing its cash holdings to $308 million. Its recent $8.00-a-share special dividend cost it $203.2 million.

The special dividend would seem to indicate that Maple Leaf (see page 13) is close to selling its 90.0% stake in Canada Bread. If not, Canada Bread would likely invest the cash from the Olivieri sale in its own bakeries or pursue acquisitions.

But even if Maple Leaf hangs on to Canada Bread, its future looks bright. It recently opened a $100-million bakery in Hamilton, Ontario, which let it close three outdated facilities in Toronto and shift their production to the new plant.
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MAPLE LEAF FOODS INC. $16 (Toronto symbol MFI; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 140.1 million; Market cap: $2.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.5; Dividend yield: 1.0%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.mapleleaf.ca) is Canada’s largest food processing company. It mainly sells its products, including fresh and prepared meats and poultry, under the Maple Leaf and Schneider brands.

The company recently said it plans to sell its 90.0% stake in Canada Bread (see right), Canada’s second-largest producer of baked goods after Weston Bakery.

Canada Bread supplies a third of Maple Leaf’s sales. Maple Leaf’s $1.6-billion stake in this business is equal to 73% of its $2.2-billion market cap.
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TECK RESOURCES LTD. $27 (Toronto symbol TCK.B; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 576.3 million; Market cap: $15.6 billion; Price-tosales ratio: 1.6; Dividend yield: 3.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.teck.com) is down 27.0% since we made it our #1 pick for 2013.

That’s mainly because slowing industrial activity, mainly in Asia, has hurt demand for Teck’s metallurgical coal, a key ingredient in steelmaking.

The company sold a record 7.6 million tonnes of metallurgical coal in the third quarter of 2013, up 36.5% from a year earlier. However, coal prices fell 28.0%, to $139 U.S. a tonne from $193. The uncertain economy has also hurt prices for Teck’s other products, including copper and zinc.
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CAE INC. $14 (Toronto symbol CAE; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 261.4 million; Market cap: $3.7 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.7; Dividend yield: 1.7%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.cae.com) began operating in 1947 as Canadian Aviation Electronics Ltd. It originally made ground-communication equipment and antennas for the Royal Canadian Air Force.

In 1952, the company began making flight simulators for air force pilots. It’s now the world’s leading maker of flight simulators for commercial and military aircraft. CAE made about half of the commercial aircraft simulators in use today and has 16% of the military simulator market.

Sales of simulators to airlines tend to move up and down with the economy. To steady its revenue, CAE began training pilots in 2001. It now trains over 100,000 pilots and crew members a year at 50 schools worldwide.
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Choosing who puts your money in the stock market
Every Wednesday, we publish our “Investor Toolkit” series on TSI Network. Whether you’re a new or experienced investor, these weekly updates are designed to give you a specific advice on successful investing. Each Investor Toolkit update gives you a fundamental tip and shows you how you can put it into practice right away....
Two tech stocks restructure operations in order to spur growth
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High-yielding printer Transcontinental still profits in changing media market
TRANSCONTINENTAL INC. (Toronto symbol TCL.A; www.tctranscontinental.com) is Canada’s leading printer of flyers, magazines, newspapers and books. This business accounts for 67% of its revenue and 85% of its earnings. The remaining 33% of revenue and 15% of earnings comes from publishing 35 magazines and 175 daily and weekly newspapers....