Pat McKeough

A professional investment analyst for more than 30 years, Pat has developed a stock-selection technique that has proven reliable in both bull and bear markets. His proprietary ValuVesting System™ focuses on stocks that provide exceptional quality at relatively low prices. Many savvy investors and industry leaders consider it the most powerful stock-picking method ever created.

As early as 1980, Pat was recognized as #1 in the world of published investment advice by the Washington, DC–based Newsletter Publishers Association, and he was the first multi-year winner of The Globe and Mail’s stock picking contest.

Both CBS MarketWatch and The Hulbert Financial Digest recognized Pat as one of North America’s top stock analysts. The Wall Street Journal called him “one of only four investment newsletter advisors who have managed to serve their readers well over the long haul.”

A best-selling Canadian author, he wrote Riding the Bull, his 1993 book that predicted the stock-market boom of the last half of that decade. Through his many television appearances, he is well-known to investors for his insightful analysis and his candid, unpretentious style.

Bottom line: Pat’s conservative, reduced-risk strategy is a proven approach to safe investing.

Posts by the author
AMEREN CORP. $36 (New York symbol AEE; Income Portfolio, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 242.6 million; Market cap: $8.7 billion; Priceto- sales ratio: 1.3; Dividend yield: 4.5%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.ameren.com) has received approval from federal regulators to sell five of its nonregulated coal-fired power plants in Illinois to Dynegy Inc. (New York symbol DYN).

Weak power demand and lower rates have hurt these plants’profits. As a result, Ameren will receive no cash for them. However, Dynegy will assume $825 million of their debt.

Regulators in Illinois have also let Ameren put off installing new pollution-control equipment in these plants until 2020. However, Dynegy may cancel the deal if regulators force it to make these upgrades sooner.
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FEDEX CORP. $130 (New York symbol FDX; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 316.6 million; Market cap: $41.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.9; Dividend yield: 0.5%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.fedex.com) has announced a new share buyback program that lets it repurchase up to 32 million of its common shares. If you include the 7.4 million shares left under its old plan, the company can now buy back up to 39.4 million shares, or 12.4% of the total outstanding.

Share buybacks raise earnings per share and other per-share calculations and give the remaining shareholders a larger stake in the company. There are no time limits for these purchases.

The company’s customers continue to shift to slower but cheaper forms of transportation, such as trucks and ships, instead of its more expensive overnight international air service. However, more of its clients are ordering goods online, which has pushed up volumes at its ground delivery division.
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FORD MOTOR CO. $18 (New York symbol F; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 3.9 billion; Market cap: $70.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.5; Dividend yield: 2.2%; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk; www.ford.com) sold 185,146 vehicles in the U.S. in September 2013, up 5.8% from 174,976 in September 2012. That easily beat the consensus estimate of no increase.

The gain was largely due to a 13.6% jump in passenger car sales, including 62.4% higher sales of its Fusion mid-sized sedan. In addition, truck sales rose 8.3%. However, sport utility vehicle sales declined 4.1%.

Ford is a buy....
SNAP-ON INC. $101 (New York symbol SNA; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 58.2 million; Market cap: $5.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.0; Dividend yield: 1.5%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www. snapon.com) makes tools for auto mechanics and sells them through a fleet of franchised vans that visit garages. It also makes specialized tools for mining companies, electrical power generators and other industrial customers.

In the three months ended September 28, 2013, Snap-On’s revenue rose 6.1%, to $798.3 million from $752.1 million a year earlier. The latest figure includes $15.6 million from Challenger Lifts, which the company bought for $38 million in May 2013. This business makes systems that raise cars off the ground.

If you exclude Challenger’s contribution and the negative impact of foreign currency rates, revenue would have risen 4.7%.
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GENUINE PARTS CO. $78 (New York symbol GPC; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing sector; Shares outstanding: 154.9 million; Market cap: $12.1 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.9; Dividend yield: 2.8%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.genpt.com) gets half of its sales and earnings by selling auto parts. The company operates 1,300 of its own outlets under the NAPA banner, and its distribution business serves 4,750 independent stores across North America.

Genuine also distributes industrial parts, office furniture and electrical equipment.

In the three months ended September 30, 2013, revenue rose 9.2%, to a record $3.7 billion from $3.4 billion a year earlier. The gain is mainly because Genuine bought the 70% of an Australian auto parts distributor that it didn’t already own last April. The company paid $820 million for this additional stake. However, revenue fell 2.5% at the industrial parts division, 3.1% at office products and 5.3% at electrical materials.
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ALCOA INC. $9.27 (New York symbol AA; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 1.1 billion; Market cap: $10.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.4; Dividend yield: 1.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.alcoa.com) owns 25.1% of a joint venture that operates a new aluminum smelter in Saudi Arabia; a state-owned mining company owns the remaining 74.9%.

This facility recently suffered problems while ramping up its production, which forced it to shut down one of its two production lines. Repairs will take about six months, but the other production line should let the plant make its initial deliveries on time.

Alcoa is a buy....
MOLSON COORS BREWING CO. $54 (New York symbol TAP; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 183.5 million; Market cap: $9.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.3; Dividend yield: 2.4%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.molsoncoors.com) continues to benefit from last year’s $3.5-billion purchase of StarBev, which owns nine breweries in central and eastern Europe.

Thanks to StarBev, Molson Coors’ sales rose 17.9% in the quarter ended June 29, 2013, to $1.2 billion from $999.4 million a year ago. StarBev is also helping offset slower North American sales.

If you exclude costs to integrate StarBev and other unusual items, the company earned $278.6 million in the quarter, up 11.4% from $250.1 million a year earlier. Due to more shares outstanding, earnings per share rose 9.4%, to $1.51 from $1.38.
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DIAGEO PLC ADRs $131 (New York symbol DEO; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; ADRs outstanding: 627.6 million; Market cap: $82.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 4.5; Dividend yield: 2.9%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.diageo.com) is the world’s largest premium alcoholic beverage company. Its major brands include Guinness stout, Smirnoff vodka, Johnnie Walker whisky and Captain Morgan rum.

Diageo’s sales rose 6.2% in its 2013 fiscal year, which ended June 30, 2013, to 11.4 billion British pounds from 10.8 billion pounds in 2012 (1 pound = $1.68 Canadian). Gains in Latin America (up 15%), Africa (up 10%), North America (up 5%) and Asia (up 3%) offset a 4% drop in European sales.

Thanks to the higher sales and a successful costcutting plan, earnings rose 28.0%, to 2.5 billion pounds from 1.9 billion. Earnings per ADR gained 21.9% to 3.97 pounds from 3.11 pounds (each American Depositary Receipt represents four common shares).
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WAL-MART STORES INC. $76 (New York symbol WMT; Conservative Growth Portfolio: Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 3.3 billion; Market cap: $250.8 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.5; Dividend yield: 2.5%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.walmart. com) is ending its joint venture in India with Bharti Enterprises.

Under the terms of the breakup, Wal-Mart will own 100% of 20 Best Price Modern Wholesale stores, which sell a wide variety of food and other goods to restaurants and other businesses. Bharti will gain full control of 212 Wal-Mart-style stores.

India has opened up its retail market to foreign companies in the past few years. However, many restrictions remain, such as requiring foreign supermarkets to buy 30% of their products from small Indian firms. That hurts these stores’profits.
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