Pat McKeough

A professional investment analyst for more than 30 years, Pat has developed a stock-selection technique that has proven reliable in both bull and bear markets. His proprietary ValuVesting System™ focuses on stocks that provide exceptional quality at relatively low prices. Many savvy investors and industry leaders consider it the most powerful stock-picking method ever created.

As early as 1980, Pat was recognized as #1 in the world of published investment advice by the Washington, DC–based Newsletter Publishers Association, and he was the first multi-year winner of The Globe and Mail’s stock picking contest.

Both CBS MarketWatch and The Hulbert Financial Digest recognized Pat as one of North America’s top stock analysts. The Wall Street Journal called him “one of only four investment newsletter advisors who have managed to serve their readers well over the long haul.”

A best-selling Canadian author, he wrote Riding the Bull, his 1993 book that predicted the stock-market boom of the last half of that decade. Through his many television appearances, he is well-known to investors for his insightful analysis and his candid, unpretentious style.

Bottom line: Pat’s conservative, reduced-risk strategy is a proven approach to safe investing.

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Learn the metrics that define “safe” stocks, including cash flow, payout ratios, debt, and moats, plus TFSA/RRSP tips for Canadian dividend investors.
CISCO SYSTEMS INC. $24 (Nasdaq symbol CSCO; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 5.4 billion; Market cap: $129.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.7; Dividend yield 2.8%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.cisco.com) is a leading maker of hardware and software that links and manages computer networks. The company’s hardware includes routers, local area network (LAN) and asynchronous transfer mode (ATM) switches, and server computers. Cisco mainly sells this equipment to large businesses and government agencies.

The company continues to profit as wireless carriers upgrade their networks to handle rising demand for video and other media. Cisco is also benefiting from a major restructuring plan, which included selling its low-margin consumer products businesses and focusing on more profitable operations, like software.


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ADOBE SYSTEMS INC. $52 (Nasdaq symbol ADBE; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 502.3 million; Market cap: $26.1 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 6.1; No dividends paid since June 2005; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.adobe.com) earned $164.4 million, or $0.32 a share, in its fiscal 2013 third quarter, which ended August 30, 2013. That’s down 43.5% from $291.2 million, or $0.58 a share, a year earlier. Revenue fell 7.9%, to $995.1 million from $1.1 billion.

The company is doing a good job of selling its Creative Cloud package of photo-editing and desktop-publishing programs as a subscription service instead of a one-time purchase. It added 331,000 Creative Cloud subscribers during the third quarter, compared to 221,000 in the second quarter. It now has 1.03 million subscribers and should reach its goal of 1.25 million by the end of fiscal 2013.

However, the stock trades at 35.9 times Adobe’s likely 2013 earnings of $1.45 a share. That’s a high p/e ratio for a company that’s shifting to a new business model. As well, its revenue and earnings could suffer if fewer users than expected sign up for the full version of Creative Cloud when their trial periods end.
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ABB LTD. ADRs $24 (New York symbol ABB; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; ADRs outstanding: 2.3 billion; Market cap: $55.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.3; Dividend yield: 3.0%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.abb.com) makes transformers, transmission systems and circuit breakers for electrical power utilities. The Switzerland-based company also produces automation systems and robotics that industrial clients use to improve their productivity.

The uncertain economy is hurting equipment orders. However, an acquisition helped push up ABB’s revenue by 5.8% in the three months ended June 30, 2013, to $10.2 billion from $9.7 billion a year earlier. Earnings per ADR rose 13.8%, to $0.33 from $0.29 (each American Depositary Receipt represents one ABB common share).

ABB is a buy....
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP. $189 (New York symbol IBM, Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 1.1 billion; Market cap: $207.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.0; Dividend yield: 1.9%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.ibm.com) continues to add to its software expertise.

The company recently paid an undisclosed sum for U.K.-based Daeja Image Systems. This company’s products make it easier to view digital images in hundreds of different computer-file formats, without first installing the program that created the original image. Daeja’s products also help businesses mask sensitive information on computer images, and restrict access to certain files.

IBM is a buy.
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YUM! BRANDS INC. $72 (New York symbol YUM; Aggressive Growth Portfolio; Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 446.2 million; Market cap: $32.1 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.6; Dividend yield: 2.1%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.yum.com) has raised its quarterly dividend by 10.4%, to $0.37 a share from $0.335. The new annual rate of $1.48 yields 2.1%. This was the ninth annual increase since Yum began paying dividends in 2004.

The stock has held up well, even though sales at its Chinese KFC outlets continue to suffer in the wake of false allegations that they bought chicken with higher-than-permitted levels of antibiotics. Yum is responding with an advertising campaign to emphasize the quality of its ingredients. It feels this will spur its Chinese sales.

Yum Brands is still a buy....
SONY CORP. ADRs $21 (New York symbol SNE; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; ADRs outstanding: 1.0 billion; Market cap: $21.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.3; Dividend yield: 1.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.sony.com) has rejected a plan from Dan Loeb, an activist investor who owns 7% of the company’s shares. Loeb wants Sony to sell 15% to 20% of its entertainment division, which makes movies, TV shows and music recordings and accounts for 16% of Sony’s revenue.

The company feels that owning media content gives it an edge over other electronics makers.

Meanwhile, Sony’s revenue fell 9.8% in its fiscal 2014 first quarter, which ended June 30, 2013, to $17.3 billion from $19.2 billion a year earlier. That’s partly because the company sold its chemical operations in September 2012. Weak camera demand also hurt its revenue.
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IDEXX LABORATORIES INC. $98 (Nasdaq symbol IDXX; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 52.5 million; Market cap: $5.1 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 4.1; No dividends paid; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.idexx.com) gets 85% of its sales by making equipment that veterinarians use to detect diseases in pets. The remaining 15% comes from sales of systems that detect contaminants in livestock, water and dairy products.

Idexx is benefiting as the improving economy encourages people to take their pets to the vet more often. That has pushed up sales of Idexx’s equipment, such as its Pro-Cyte Dx hematology analyzer, which processes animal blood tests in just two minutes.

Rising equipment sales have also spurred higher demand for consumables, such as test tubes and slides, that veterinarians must constantly replenish.
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CINTAS CORP. $51 (Nasdaq symbol CTAS; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 120.8 million; Market cap: $6.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.5; Dividend yield: 1.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.cintas- .com) designs and makes uniforms, which it sells to over 900,000 businesses, mainly in North America. It also offers related services, including office cleaning and document shredding.

In the first quarter of its 2014 fiscal year, which ended August 31, 2013, Cintas’s sales rose 6.6%, to $1.12 billion from $1.05 billion a year earlier. Sales at the uniform business, which supplied 71% of Cintas’s overall revenue, rose 5.0%, while sales at its other divisions (29% of the total) gained 10.5%. Earnings increased 1.3%, to $77.8 million from $76.7 million. Cintas spent $107.0 million on share buybacks in the latest quarter. Due to fewer shares outstanding, earnings per share rose 5.0%, to $0.63 from $0.60.

In fiscal 2014, Cintas expects to earn $2.70 to $2.79 a share. It trades at a reasonable 18.6 times the midpoint of that range.
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J.P. MORGAN CHASE & CO. $52 (New York symbol JPM; Income Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 3.8 billion; Market cap: $197.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.9; Dividend yield: 2.9%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.jpmorganchase.com) has agreed to pay a total of $920 million in fines to U.S. and U.K. securities regulators.

That’s because the bank failed to disclose the true amount of losses it incurred in 2012 on complex trades it used to hedge its portfolio of corporate bonds. These losses ultimately amounted to $6 billion. Morgan has since strengthened oversight over its trading operations.

The fine is equal to 14% of the $6.5 billion, or $1.60 a share, that Morgan earned in the second quarter of 2013. Unlike similar settlements, Morgan admitted that it broke the law. That will probably spur class-action lawsuits by shareholders who lost money in the wake of Morgan’s hedging losses. However, proving that the bank deliberately misinformed investors would be difficult.
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