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How To Invest
RIOCAN REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST $15.28 - Toronto symbol REI.UN
RIOCAN REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST $15.28
(Toronto symbol REI.UN; Units outstanding: 233.1 million; Market cap: $3.6 billion; SI Rating: Average) is Canada’s largest REIT. It has interests in a portfolio of 247 shopping malls across Canada, including 13 under development. In all, these contain over 59 million square feet of leasable area. RioCan’s occupancy rate stands at 97.5%. In the three months ended March 31, 2009, RioCan posted revenue of $191.1 million, up 4.2% from $183.4 million a year earlier. Cash flow per unit was unchanged, at $0.32. RioCan’s annual distribution of $1.38 gives the units a 9.0% yield. RioCan recently raised $150 million by issuing new units at $14.50 each. The trust didn’t need to raise capital, but will now have the funds to buy other companies, likely at low prices, as opportunities arise....
1 min read
Pat McKeough
How To Invest
CANADIAN REIT $24.60 - Toronto symbol REF.UN
CANADIAN REIT $24.60
(Toronto symbol REF.UN; Units outstanding: 66.2 million; Market cap: $1.6 billion; SI Rating: Extra Risk) owns more than 160 properties. These consist of retail, industrial and office buildings located across Canada and in the Chicago, Illinois, area. Canadian REIT’s occupancy rate is 96.5%. The trust buys properties in prime locations, usually near major cities, that attract strong tenants, maintain high occupancy rates and deliver a reliable stream of rental income. In the three months ended March 31, 2009, Canadian REIT’s revenue was $85 million, up 9.9% from $77.4 million a year earlier. Cash flow per unit rose 10%, to $0.55 from $0.50. The units yield 5.5%....
1 min read
Pat McKeough
How To Invest
H&R REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST $10.98 - Toronto symbol HR.UN
H&R REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST $10.98
(Toronto symbol HR.UN; Units outstanding: 147.8 million; Market cap: $1.6 billion; SI Rating: Extra Risk) owns interests in 35 office properties, 123 industrial properties and 120 retail properties. Together, these contain over 41 million square feet. Over half of H&R’s properties are in the Greater Toronto Area. The rest are in other parts of Ontario, as well as in Quebec, western Canada and the U.S. H&R has an occupancy rate of 96.3%. In the three months ended March 31, 2009, H&R’s revenue was $160.1 million, up 8.3% from $147.9 million a year earlier. Cash flow per unit rose 2.6%, to $0.40 from $0.39. H&R’s units yield 6.6%. H&R REIT is a buy.
1 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
Aggressive investing: Low prices are a bad reason to stick with poor investments
Lately we’ve heard from some investors who are unhappy with some of their investments, particularly their more aggressive investing picks. They want to rebuild their portfolios, but are reluctant to sell anything at today’s lower prices. We think that’s a mistake. Obviously you want to think things through and make sure you are not holding low-quality investments, or investments that are wrong for your portfolio. Once you’ve done that, our view is that you should switch to higher quality and more appropriate investments right away. You have nothing to gain by making back any losses you may have in the same aggressive investing selections that gave you those losses. Nor are you any more likely to regain your losses by holding on to the same stocks. In fact, if your investments are genuinely poor quality (rather than simply a bad aggressive investing choice for you), there’s a risk that they will cost you even more money, the longer you hold them....
2 min read
Pat McKeough
Dividend Stocks
4 keys to profitable and safe investing
A stock with a high corporate profile may provide investors with a feeling of security, but it doesn’t pay them any dividends. Instead, owning a lot of in-the-limelight stocks can work against safe investing. Lots of smart people work in the public relations and the brokerage business. They do a highly effective job of publicizing and promoting their clients’ stocks. Many stocks in the broker/public relations limelight go up more-or-less steadily for years at a time. But when they come down, they can fall much further than you ever thought possible. That’s why it’s a mistake to stuff your portfolio full of them. On the other hand, at any given time, lots of prosperous, well-established companies are out of investor fashion. Some of the biggest profits you ever make will come from buying these stocks before they find their way into the limelight....
3 min read
Pat McKeough
How To Invest
Investing advice: How many stocks you should own
In our Financial Question of the Week, we recently asked TSI Network users how many stocks they own. The results were as follows: 33% of users owned 16 to 30 stocks, 29% owned five to 15, 21% owned less than five and 17% owned more than 30. So what is the right number of stocks to own? It’s a piece of investing advice we are asked about often, so it’s just one of the questions we answer in our free report:
Canadian Stock Market Basics: How to Trade Stocks and Make Good Investments in Canada.
...
2 min read
Pat McKeough
How To Invest
Reverse mortgages in Canada: Only as a last resort
A member of my
Inner Circle
recently asked us whether a reverse mortgage would be a good way to tap into the equity she had built up in her home. Reverse mortgages in Canada typically let homeowners (age 60 or older) borrow on their home equity (maximum 40%). The loan and accumulated interest are repaid only if the house is sold (or if the borrower moves out) or from the proceeds of the estate. Generally, the borrower will get between 28% and 33% of the value of their home, depending on their age and the location and type of home.
Reverse mortgages in Canada: Look closely at the costs
...
1 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
TOYOTA MOTOR CO. ADRs $76 - New York symbol TM
TOYOTA MOTOR CO. ADRs $76
(New York symbol TM; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; ADRs outstanding: 1.6 billion; Market cap: $121.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.6; WSSF Rating: Above Average) is the world’s largest carmaker. Japan accounts for 47% of its revenue, followed by North America (24%), Europe (12%) and Asia (10%). In the fiscal year ended March 31, 2009, Toyota sold 7.6 million vehicles, down 15% from 8.9 million in the prior year. As a result of the drop, Toyota lost $4.3 billion, or $2.55 per ADR, in fiscal 2009. (Each American Depositary Receipt represents two of Toyota’s common shares.) It earned $17.5 billion, or $8.77 per ADR, a year earlier. Revenue fell 9.1%, to $203.3 billion from $223.6 billion. Toyota’s sales will likely fall to 6.5 million vehicles this year. The company is lowering its costs in response. For example, its smaller cars will share the same platform and parts by 2012. That should save $1 billion a year....
1 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
HONDA MOTOR CO. ADRs $27 - New York symbol HMC
HONDA MOTOR CO. ADRs $27
(New York symbol HMC; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; ADRs outstanding: 1.8 billion; Market cap: $48.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.5; WSSF Rating: Above average) is Japan’s second-largest carmaker. It’s also the world’s largest motorcycle producer. Honda sold 3.5 million vehicles in fiscal 2009. That’s down 10.4% from 3.9 million in the prior year. However, motorcycle volumes rose 8.5%, to 10.1 million from 9.3 million. Revenue fell 14.9%, to $101.9 billion from $119.8 billion a year earlier. Earnings plunged 76.7%, to $1.4 billion, or $0.77 per ADR, from $6 billion, or $3.30 per ADR. (Each American Depositary Receipt represents one Honda common share.) The earnings drop was mostly because of lower sales, higher raw-material costs and the negative impact of the high Japanese yen. North America accounts for 45% of its sales, so it’s more vulnerable to currency movements than Toyota. Honda’s small, fuel-efficient cars should continue to appeal to cost-conscious consumers during the recession. Like Toyota, it also aims to lower its costs by building more models that use the same parts. This year’s earnings will probably drop to $0.37 per ADR, but should rebound to $1.15 in fiscal 2011. The stock trades at 23.5 times the 2011 estimate. The $0.46 dividend yields 1.7%....
1 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
DEL MONTE FOODS CO. $9.02 - New York symbol DLM
DEL MONTE FOODS CO. $9.02
(New York symbol DLM; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 197.7 million; Market cap: $1.8 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.5; WSSF Rating: Average) makes a wide variety of canned fruits and vegetables, as well as sauces and soups. Del Monte also makes pet food under the 9Lives, Milk-Bone and Meow Mix brands. In the fiscal year ended May 3, 2009, Del Monte’s earnings rose 25.5%, to $147.7 million, or $0.74 a share. In the prior year, it earned $117.7 million, or $0.58 a share. If you exclude an $0.08-a-share charge related to job cuts in the prior year, per-share earnings would have risen 12.1%. Sales rose 14.1%, to $3.6 billion from $3.2 billion. Del Monte is raising the prices of its main brands, and spending more on marketing. It hopes these moves will make these products more profitable....
1 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
KRAFT FOODS INC. $26 - New York symbol KFT
KRAFT FOODS INC. $26
(New York symbol KFT; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 1.5 billion; Market cap: $39 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.9; WSSF Rating: Above Average) is the world’s second-largest food company after Nestle. Top brands include Kraft (cheese), Maxwell House (coffee), Nabisco (biscuits and cookies) and Oscar Meyer (meats). Kraft faces strong competition from private-label foods, particularly in some of its main product lines, such as cheese, coffee and processed meats. But it has been helped by lower costs for a number of its raw materials, especially dairy products. In the three months ended March 31, 2009, Kraft’s revenue fell 6.5%, to $9.4 billion from $10 billion a year earlier. However, if you account for last year’s sale of its Post cereals business and the negative impact of currency rates on overseas sales, Kraft’s revenue rose 2.3%. Overall earnings rose 21%, to $662 million from $547 million. Earnings per share rose 28.6%, to $0.45 from $0.35, on fewer outstanding shares....
1 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
CONAGRA FOODS INC. $20 - New York symbol CAG
CONAGRA FOODS INC. $20
(New York symbol CAG; Income Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 447.2 million; Market cap: $8.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.7; WSSF Rating: Above Average) makes a number of packaged foods, including Chef Boyardee canned pasta, Hunt’s tomato sauce, Peter Pan peanut butter and Orville Redenbacher popcorn. In its third fiscal quarter, which ended February 22, 2009, ConAgra’s earnings per share rose 17.6%, to $0.40 from $0.34 a year earlier. These figures exclude several non-recurring items, but they include a $0.05-a-share gain on hedging contracts, which ConAgra uses to lock in costs for wheat, corn and other ingredients. As well, ConAgra paid $0.03 a share in legal costs related to a 2007 peanut-butter recall that was caused by a salmonella outbreak. Sales rose 6.1%, to $3.1 billion from $3 billion. ConAgra raised its selling prices because of higher raw-material costs. This offset lower sales volumes....
1 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
CAMPBELL SOUP CO. $29 - New York symbol CPB
CAMPBELL SOUP CO. $29
(New York symbol CPB; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 350.3 million; Market cap: $10.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.3; WSSF Rating: Above Average) is the world’s largest maker of canned soups. It also makes Prego canned pasta and sauces, Pepperidge Farm cookies and V8 vegetable juices. Like Heinz Campbell plans to spur growth by expanding overseas. International markets now supply 30% of its revenue. It is particularly interested in Russia and China, where soup is popular. As a result of its growing international operations, unfavourable currency rates held back Campbell’s earnings by $0.04 a share in its third fiscal quarter, which ended May 3, 2009. The company’s sales fell 10.3%, to $1.7 billion from $1.9 billion. Currency rates accounted for about half of the decline....
1 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
H.J. HEINZ CO. $35 - New York symbol HNZ
H.J. HEINZ CO. $35
(New York symbol HNZ; Income Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 315 million; Market cap: $11 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.1; WSSF Rating: Above Average) is a leading maker of condiments. Its flagship product, Heinz Ketchup, makes up about 60% of all ketchup sold in the U.S. Heinz also makes frozen potatoes (under the Ore-Ida brand), pasta sauces (Classico) and diet foods (Weight Watchers). Heinz has expanded its overseas operations over the last few years. These now account for about 60% of its sales. And the company plans to keep adding new markets: it’s particularly interested in China, India, Russia and Poland. However, Heinz’s international growth adds currency risk. In its latest fiscal year, which ended April 29, 2009, sales rose just 0.8%, to a record $10.15 billion from $10.07 billion in the prior year. But excluding the negative impact of the higher U.S. dollar, sales would have risen 7.4%. The company raised its selling prices, which helped offset a 1.5% drop in volumes. Earnings rose 9.3%, to $923.1 million from $844.9 million. Earnings per share rose 10.3%, to $2.90 from $2.63, on fewer outstanding shares....
1 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
GENERAL MILLS INC. $55 - New York symbol GIS
GENERAL MILLS INC. $55
(New York symbol GIS; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 329 million; Market cap: $18.1 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.3; WSSF Rating: Above Average) is the second-largest maker of breakfast cereals in the United States after Kellogg. Its main brands include Cheerios, Wheaties and Total. The company also makes Betty Crocker baking mixes, Green Giant canned and frozen vegetables and Yoplait yogurt. General Mills will probably report earnings of $3.92 a share in its latest fiscal year, which ended May 31, 2009. That’s slightly higher than its previous forecast of $3.87 to $3.89. These figures exclude unusual items, mainly gains and losses on hedging contracts that General Mills uses to lock in prices for wheat, corn and other raw materials. The company raised its selling prices last year in order to offset higher prices for these raw materials. Since then, these costs have stabilized; this was the main reason behind the higher earnings forecast. It also expects a lower income-tax rate in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2009....
1 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
UNITED TECHNOLOGIES CORP. $51 - New York symbol UTX
UNITED TECHNOLOGIES CORP. $51
(New York symbol UTX; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 942 million; Market cap: $48 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.9; WSSF Rating: Above Average) has six main businesses: Carrier makes heating and air-conditioning equipment (25% of 2008 revenue, 17% of profit); Otis makes and services elevators (22%, 32%); Pratt & Whitney makes aircraft engines (22%, 27%); Hamilton Sundstrand makes electronic controls for aircraft (11%, 13%); UTC Fire & Security sells burglar alarms and fire-protection services (11%, 6%); and Sikorsky makes helicopters (9%, 5%). The U.S. government is United Technologies’ biggest customer, and accounts for about 13% of its yearly revenue. We feel that United Technologies’ diversification is one of its major strengths. All of its businesses are leaders in their industries. Plus, the company sells products to both original-equipment manufacturers and aftermarket customers. That cuts its risk. For example, when demand for new planes is weak, airlines will probably buy more replacement parts instead of new aircraft. When the economy improves, aircraft makers will order more new engines and electronics. This will offset lower sales of spare parts....
4 min read
Pat McKeough
How To Invest
Avoid these 4 investment errors for better stock market returns
Here are four classic, profit-killing errors that all investors make from time to time. All can seriously hinder your stock market returns. 1. “Averaging down” without reconsidering whether you should have bought in the first place. Many investors have made lots of money by “averaging in” to the stock of a well-established, well-managed company — that is, buying more as funds became available over a period of years....
2 min read
Pat McKeough
Wealth Management
Portfolio management: Hang onto your U.S. investments
Lately, a number of readers have been asking me whether it’s worth holding onto their U.S.-stock holdings if the U.S. dollar keeps falling. Some wonder if they should follow their brokers’ suggestions and hedge against the risk of a drop in the U.S. dollar, using options, futures or other investment products. If you knew that the U.S. dollar would keep falling, the best portfolio management strategy would be to sell all of your U.S. stocks and buy them back when the dollar stabilizes. However, you don’t know where the U.S./Canada exchange rate is going next — you never do. The financial industry has a variety of products that can insulate your U.S. investments from a drop in the value of the U.S. dollar. These products obviously cost you money. In addition, they reduce the long-term value of your U.S. investments. After all, you invest in U.S. stocks for two key reasons. One is that the U.S. stock market offers certain types of investment opportunities that are rare or non-existent in Canada, such as giant multi-national consumer companies like Procter & Gamble or McDonalds. The other key reason for U.S. investment is that it gives you currency diversification. That’s crucial to a sound portfolio management strategy....
2 min read
Pat McKeough
Mining Stocks
How to spot the best junior mines
As the market has rebounded, more investors have been asking me whether they should invest in junior mines.
My answer is that you should always first ensure that your portfolio is spread out across the five main economic sectors (Manufacturing & Industry, Resources & Commodities, the Consumer sector, Finance and Utilities). However, junior mines can play a role in the smaller part of your portfolio that you devote to more aggressive investments.
Resource prices have been on the rise lately, and it’s getting easier for many junior mines to raise funds for exploration and development.
With that in mind, I’ve zeroed in on four junior mines that I think have promise in the latest issue of
Stock Pickers Digest
. One of these, Baffinland Iron Mines (Toronto symbol BIM), is a good example of a junior mine that is worth considering.
Five keys to profit in junior mines
...
2 min read
Pat McKeough
How To Invest
Technical analysis: There’s no magic signpost
Every investor would like to find an easy-to-use market indicator that tells you when to buy and when to sell. Some look to technical analysis as a way of determining this. Technical analysis is the process of analyzing a stock’s past price movements in an attempt to determine its future price. It’s not concerned with financial statements, management or anything else that underlies a company’s business. It only studies how stock prices have behaved in the past, and the clues that could offer about future stock-price movements. In fact, an investor who uses only technical analysis might buy and sell a stock while knowing little or nothing about the underlying company.
One tool among many
...
2 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
BAFFINLAND IRON MINES $0.49 - Toronto symbol BIM
BAFFINLAND IRON MINES $0.49
(Toronto symbol BIM; SI Rating: Start-up) (416-364-8820; www.baffinland.com; Shares outstanding: 255.3 million; Market cap: $123.8 million) is looking for a major partner for its main Mary River iron-ore project on Baffin Island. Baffinland still hopes to start building an open-pit mine at the site next year, and plans to finish it by 2014. It then aims to produce 18 million tonnes of ore per year for over 21 years. Baffinland holds a high cash balance of $26.1 million. Baffinland is a buy for highly aggressive investors....
1 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
CANALASKA URANIUM $0.17 - Toronto symbol CVV
CANALASKA URANIUM $0.17
(Toronto symbol CVV; SI Rating: Start-up) (1-800-667-1870; www.canalaska.com; Shares outstanding: 137.8 million; Market cap: $23.4 million) owns twenty uranium projects in Saskatchewan’s Athabasca Basin region. CanAlaska has added partners to help pay for exploration drilling. These include Japan’s giant Mitsubishi Corp., plus a consortium of Korean companies, including Hanwha Corporation, Korea Electric Power, Korea Resources and SK Energy. CanAlaska holds cash of $8 million, and has no debt. CanAlaska Uranium is a buy for highly aggressive investors....
1 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
AMERIGO RESOURCES $0.39 - Toronto symbol ARG
AMERIGO RESOURCES $0.39
(Toronto symbol ARG; SI Rating: Speculative) (604-681-2802; www.amerigoresources.com; Shares outstanding: 132.1 million; Market cap: $51.5 million) processes copper and molybdenum from the tailings (waste rock) from Chile’s El Teniente, the world’s largest copper mine. In the three months ended March 31, 2009, Amerigo’s revenue fell 63.8%, to $29.9 million from $38.9 million a year earlier. (All figures except share price in U.S. dollars.) Sale prices for copper fell 48.9% during the quarter, and molybdenum prices dropped 73.4%. The company lost $0.04 a share, compared to a profit of $0.07 a share a year earlier. Still, Amerigo’s long-term outlook is bright, and copper and molybdenum prices are rising. The company holds cash of $3.5 million, and has little debt....
1 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
MIRANDA GOLD $0.40 - Toronto symbol MAD
MIRANDA GOLD $0.40
(Toronto symbol MAD; SI Rating: Start-up) (604-689-1659; www.mirandagold.com; Shares outstanding: 44.9 million; Market cap: $18.0 million) is a gold exploration company mainly focused on Nevada. Miranda holds $12 million in cash. That’s enough for four to five years of exploration. The company also has joint ventures with Montezuma Mines, Piedmont Mining Company, White Bear Resources and Queensgate Resources. These partners pay for high-risk early drilling on Miranda’s properties. They get interests in these properties in return. Miranda is a buy for highly aggressive investors....
1 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
TRUE ENERGY TRUST $0.81 - Toronto symbol TUI.UN
TRUE ENERGY TRUST $0.81
(Toronto symbol TUI.UN; SI Rating: Speculative) (403-264-8875; www.trueenergy.ab.ca; Units outstanding: 78.5 million; Market cap: $63.6 million) produces oil and gas in Alberta and Saskatchewan. Gas makes up about 62% of its output. In the three months ended March 31, 2009, production fell 26.3%, to 9,981 barrels of oil equivalent per day from 13,552 a year earlier. True cut its capital spending to conserve cash and pay down its $196.3-million debt, which is a high 291% of its market cap. The cut was the main reason for the production drop. True also suspended its monthly distribution with the March 2009 payment....
1 min read
Pat McKeough
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