bombardier

POTASH CORP. OF SASKATCHEWAN, $40.70, Toronto symbol POT, fell 2% this week after the Saskatchewan government said it would change the timing of certain tax breaks for new potash mines and expansion projects. The province is also reviewing how it taxes potash producers. Potash Corp. expects the new rules to cut its pre-tax earnings by $75 million to $100 million (Canadian) in 2015. To put that in context, Potash Corp. (which reports its results in U.S. dollars) earned $1.5 billion, or $1.82 a share, in 2014. The company expects to complete its current $6-billion U.S. expansion plan in 2016, so the new rules will have little impact on next year’s earnings....

CAE INC. $15 (Toronto symbol CAE; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 265.2 million; Market cap: $4.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.8; Dividend yield: 1.9%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.cae.com) is buying the military flight-training business of BOMBARDIER INC. (Toronto symbols BBD.A $3.12 and BBD.B $3.04; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 1.7 billion; Market cap: $5.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.4; Dividend suspended in February 2015; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.bombardier.com).

This business trains pilots for the Royal Canadian Air Force and other NATO countries at facilities in Moose Jaw, Saskatchewan, and Cold Lake, Alberta.

CAE will pay $19.8 million when it closes the deal later this year. This a small sum for both companies, but the new operations are a nice fit with CAE’s other pilot-training businesses. After the sale, Bombardier can focus on its struggling aircraft-manufacturing business, including the upcoming launch of its new CSeries passenger jet.

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BOMBARDIER INC., Toronto symbols BBD.A $2.69 and BBD.B $2.58, fell 12% this week after announcing several moves to improve its struggling aerospace division. It will also suspend its dividend and issue new shares and debt to shore up its balance sheet. As part of the plan, Bombardier’s chief executive officer, Pierre Beaudoin, will step down and become executive chairman. Alain Bellemare, the former CEO of United Technologies, will take over as CEO. (United Technologies is a recommendation of Wall Street Stock Forecaster, our newsletter that focuses on U.S. stocks.) Bombardier now says its new CSeries passenger jet will cost $5.4 billion to develop, up from its earlier forecast of $4.4 billion (all amounts except share prices in U.S. dollars). After several setbacks, it expects to begin deliveries by the end of 2015....

CAE INC. $15 (Toronto symbol CAE; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 265.2 million; Market cap: $4.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.8; Dividend yield: 1.9%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.cae.com) is buying the military flight-training business of BOMBARDIER INC. (Toronto symbols BBD.A $3.12 and BBD.B $3.04; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 1.7 billion; Market cap: $5.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.4; Dividend suspended in February 2015; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.bombardier.com). This business trains pilots for the Royal Canadian Air Force and other NATO countries at facilities in Moose Jaw, Saskatchewan, and Cold Lake, Alberta. CAE will pay $19.8 million when it closes the deal later this year. This a small sum for both companies, but the new operations are a nice fit with CAE’s other pilot-training businesses. After the sale, Bombardier can focus on its struggling aircraft-manufacturing business, including the upcoming launch of its new CSeries passenger jet....

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WESTJET AIRLINES (Toronto symbol WJA; www.westjet.com) serves 91 destinations in North America, Central America, the Caribbean and Europe. Its fleet of 109 modern Boeing 737s are 30% more fuel efficient than older jets.

In June 2013, the company launched WestJet Encore, its Canadian regional airline. This business now operates 14 Bombardier Q400 NextGen turboprop planes, which seat 78 passengers.

In the three months ended September 30, 2014, WestJet’s earnings, excluding one-time items, jumped 30.9%, to a third-quarter record of $85.4 million from $65.1 million a year earlier. Earnings per share gained 32.0%, to $0.66 from $0.50, on fewer shares outstanding. This was WestJet’s 38th consecutive quarter of profitability. Revenue rose 9.2%, to $1.0 billion from $924.8 million.

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WESTJET AIRLINES $32.05 (Toronto symbol WJA; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (1-877-493-7853; www.westjet.com; Shares outstanding: 127.8 million; Market cap: $4.1 billion; Dividend yield: 1.5%) serves 91 destinations in North America, Central America, the Caribbean and Europe. Its fleet of 109 modern Boeing 737s are 30% more fuel efficient than older jets. In June 2013, the company launched WestJet Encore, its Canadian regional airline. This business now operates 14 Bombardier Q400 NextGen turboprop planes, which seat 78 passengers. In the three months ended September 30, 2014, WestJet’s earnings, excluding one-time items, jumped 30.9%, to a third-quarter record of $85.4 million from $65.1 million a year earlier. Earnings per share gained 32.0%, to $0.66 from $0.50, on fewer shares outstanding. This was WestJet’s 38th consecutive quarter of profitability. Revenue rose 9.2%, to $1.0 billion from $924.8 million....

BOMBARDIER INC. (Toronto symbols BBD.A $4.15 and BBD.B $4.14; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 1.7 billion; Market cap: $7.1 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.4; Dividend yield: 2.4%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.bombardier.com) has won several orders for new regional jets, business jets and turboprop planes. Assuming these customers exercise all of their options, these deals are worth a total of $1.7 billion (all amounts except share prices and market cap in U.S. dollars). That’s equal to 9% of the company’s annual revenue of $19.5 billion.

In addition, Bombardier has received an order for 42 passenger railcars from the operator of a public transit system near Paris, France. This deal is worth $484 million, and the company will begin delivering the trains in 2017.

Bombardier B stock is a buy.

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CAE INC., $14.64, Toronto symbol CAE, is our Stock of the Year for 2015. The stock has gained 3.8% since we made CAE our Stock of the Year for 2014. We feel it’s just getting started and has many years of growth ahead. That’s because the company is in a strong position to profit from several trends that are just beginning to take shape. For one, airlines will have to hire more pilots in the next few years as existing ones retire. As well, global air travel volumes should rise 5% annually for the next 20 years. Both of these developments should boost demand for new pilots and increase enrolment at CAE’s flight schools....

BOMBARDIER INC. (Toronto symbols BBD.A $4.15 and BBD.B $4.14; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 1.7 billion; Market cap: $7.1 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.4; Dividend yield: 2.4%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.bombardier.com) has won several orders for new regional jets, business jets and turboprop planes. Assuming these customers exercise all of their options, these deals are worth a total of $1.7 billion (all amounts except share prices and market cap in U.S. dollars). That’s equal to 9% of the company’s annual revenue of $19.5 billion. In addition, Bombardier has received an order for 42 passenger railcars from the operator of a public transit system near Paris, France. This deal is worth $484 million, and the company will begin delivering the trains in 2017. Bombardier B stock is a buy.

WESTJET AIRLINES $32.05 (Toronto symbol WJA; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk)(1-877-493-7853; www.westjet.com; Shares outstanding: 127.8 million; Market cap: $4.1 billion; Dividend yield: 1.5%) serves 91 destinations in North America, Central America, the Caribbean and Europe. Its fleet of 109 modern Boeing 737s are 30% more fuel efficient than older jets.

In June 2013, the company launched WestJet Encore, its Canadian regional airline. This business now operates 14 Bombardier Q400 NextGen turboprop planes, which seat 78 passengers.

In the three months ended September 30, 2014, WestJet’s earnings, excluding one-time items, jumped 30.9%, to a third-quarter record of $85.4 million from $65.1 million a year earlier. Earnings per share gained 32.0%, to $0.66 from $0.50, on fewer shares outstanding. This was WestJet’s 38th consecutive quarter of profitability. Revenue rose 9.2%, to $1.0 billion from $924.8 million.

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