Chevron Corp.
New York symbol CVX, is the second-largest integrated oil company in the United States after ExxonMobil. Production accounts for about 80% of its earnings. The remaining 20% comes from refineries and retail gas stations.
CHEVRON CORP. $85 (New York symbol CVX; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 2.1 billion; Market cap: $178.5 billion; WSSF Rating: Above average) is the secondlargest integrated oil company in the United States after ExxonMobil. Production accounts for about 80% of its earnings. The remaining 20% comes from refineries and retail gas stations. Chevron’s revenue in the second quarter of 2008 rose 47.9%, to $83.0 billion from $56.1 billion a year earlier. However, earnings rose just 15.1%, to $2.90 a share (total $6.0 billion) from $2.52 a share ($5.4 billion). That’s mainly because Chevron’s refineries had to pay about 70% more for crude oil. Due to the combination of lower sales and higher operating costs, the company’s U.S. refineries lost $682 million in the latest quarter. Cash flow per share in the quarter rose 29.4%, to $7.66 from $5.92. The stock hit a new all-time high of $105 in May, 2008, but fell to $78 in September as oil prices fell to about $90 a barrel. However, the stock has moved up to its current price due to the recent surge in oil to $110 a barrel....
Most oil and gas stocks hit record highs earlier this year, but have dropped lately along with energy prices. However, energy prices will undoubtedly rise again over the next few years as developing countries continue to industrialize their economies. As well, wind, solar and other forms of alternative energy sources will likely supply a small fraction of the world’s energy needs for the foreseeable future. We feel investors should focus on well-established oil and gas companies with large reserves and diverse sources of cash flow that help them stay profitable, even if energy prices fall. Here are three top examples, although we see only two as buys right now. CHEVRON CORP. $85 (New York symbol CVX; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 2.1 billion; Market cap: $178.5 billion; WSSF Rating: Above average) is the secondlargest integrated oil company in the United States after ExxonMobil. Production accounts for about 80% of its earnings. The remaining 20% comes from refineries and retail gas stations....
HEWLETT-PACKARD CO. $47.06, New York symbol HPQ, gained 5% this week after it reported earnings that exceeded consensus forecasts. In its third fiscal quarter ended July 31, 2008, earnings rose 21.1% to $0.86 a share from $0.71 a year earlier. Most of the gains came from lower operating costs. Revenue rose 10.2%, to $28.0 billion from $25.4 billion, thanks to strong sales of notebook computers. Growing demand for software and services is also helping Hewlett offset its reliance on printers. As well, the company benefited from the weak U.S. dollar, which makes its products more affordable in overseas markets. Hewlett-Packard is a buy....
TD RESOURCE FUND $37.66 (CWA Rating: Aggressive) (TD Asset Management, P.O. Box 7500, Station A, Toronto, Ontario. M5W 1P9. 1-800-386-3757; Web ite:www.tdcanadatrust.ca. No load — deal directly with the bank) invests in companies with superior asset bases, proven management and the ability to internally finance growth. The $279.9 million TD Resource Fund’s top stock holdings are mostly of ‘Average’ quality or higher. The fund’s holdings include Suncor Energy, EnCana Corporation, Talisman Energy Inc., Goldcorp, Yamana Gold, Petro-Canada, Nexen, Alcoa, BHP Billiton, Husky Energy, Chevron Corporation, Marathon Oil Corporation and Weatherford International. TD Resource Fund’s industry breakdown is: Energy, 58.5%; and Basic materials, 39.2%. Its MER is 2.17%....
Resources stocks may indeed be headed much higher in years and decades to come. But there will be inevitable declines along the way. So we think you should cut your risk in this volatile sector by investing mainly in resource stocks of profitable, well-established companies that have an asset base they acquired when asset prices were much lower — or in mutual funds that hold those resource stocks. Here are two Aggressive resource funds that expose investors to two different levels of risk, measured by the resource stocks they hold. Both have done very well for us over the last few years. We think they have further gains ahead. TD RESOURCE FUND $37.66 (CWA Rating: Aggressive) (TD Asset Management, P.O. Box 7500, Station A, Toronto, Ontario. M5W 1P9. 1-800-386-3757; Web ite:www.tdcanadatrust.ca. No load — deal directly with the bank) invests in companies with superior asset bases, proven management and the ability to internally finance growth....
DIAMONDS TRUST SHARES $112 (American Exchange symbol DIA; buy or sell through brokers) hold the 30 stocks that make up the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Currently, the fund’s top 10 holdings are IBM, 3M, Boeing Co., United Technologies, Caterpillar, McDonald’s Corp., Chevron Corp., Johnson & Johnson, Procter & Gamble and Exxon Mobil. Expenses are about 0.18% of assets. Diamonds Trust Shares are a buy.
S&P DEPOSITORY RECEIPTS $126 (American Exchange symbol SPY; buy or sell through brokers) are commonly called ‘Spiders’. The fund holds the stocks in the S&P 500 Index. This index is comprised of 500 major U.S. stocks chosen for market size, liquidity, and industry group representation. The 10 highest weighted stocks on the index are Exxon Mobil, General Electric, IBM, Apple Inc., Microsoft, AT&T, Chevron Corp., Johnson & Johnson, Cisco and Procter & Gamble. Expenses for the fund are just 0.10% of assets. If you want exposure to the S&P 500 Index, S&P Depository Receipts are a buy.
We still think high-quality mutual funds with a long-term focus will beat indexes over long periods. If funds invest as we advise — sticking with well-established companies and spreading their assets out across the five main economic sectors — they will tend to lose a lot less than the market indexes in periods when the indexes fall sharply. That’s because big market slides are particularly hard on the hottest, most popular stocks of the preceding market rise, and investing as we do leads you to avoid excessive investment in the hot stocks. Index funds, in contrast, do tend to load up on the hottest, most popular stocks as they rise. That’s because, as they rise, these stocks make up a rising proportion of the index. The most recent example is Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan., which now has the highest market cap on the Toronto exchange on the strength of soaring fertilizer and agriculture prices....
CHEVRON CORP. $99 (New York symbol CVX; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 2.1 billion; Market cap: $207.9 billion; WSSF Rating: Above average) is the second-largest integrated oil company in the United States after ExxonMobil. Exploration and production supply just 25% of Chevron’s revenue, but nearly 80% of its profits. Asia accounts for about 40% of its production, followed by the U.S. (30%), Africa (15%) and other countries (15%). Chevron’s production is about 65% oil, and 35% natural gas. The company has proved reserves of 10.8 billion barrels of oil equivalent. The remaining 75% of Chevron’s revenue comes mainly from its 10 refineries, petrochemical plants and 25,100 retail gas stations, which operate under the Chevron, Texaco and Caltex brands....
We generally prefer large, integrated oil companies such as Chevron to regular oil producers like Apache, particularly in light of the steep jump in oil prices in the past few months. That’s because its diverse sources of cash flow, from refineries, gas stations and other operations give Chevron greater stability and cut its risk. As well, these assets will help Chevron stay profitable if oil prices fall. CHEVRON CORP. $99 (New York symbol CVX; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 2.1 billion; Market cap: $207.9 billion; WSSF Rating: Above average) is the second-largest integrated oil company in the United States after ExxonMobil....