diversification

SHERRITT INTERNATIONAL (Toronto symbol S; www.sherritt.com) is a natural resource company that produces nickel, cobalt, thermal coal, oil and gas. It also manages 356 megawatts of power generation capacity in Cuba, with an additional 150 megawatts starting up this year. The company is a major nickel producer, with operations in Cuba and Canada. As well, it is now starting up its 40%-owned Ambatovy mine on the island nation of Madagascar, off Africa’s east coast. Sherritt also produces oil and gas in Cuba, Spain and Pakistan and is Canada’s largest thermal coal producer....

SHERRITT INTERNATIONAL $4.33 (Toronto symbol S; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (1-800-704- 6698; www.sherritt.com; Shares outstanding: 296.9 million; Market cap: $1.3 billion; Dividend yield: 4.0%) is a diversified natural resource company that produces nickel, cobalt, thermal coal, oil and gas....

When investors base buy and sell decisions on short-term market forecasts, they often experience notably poor investment results, or even lose money. This may come as a shock to them. In hindsight, it may seem that past market trends, up or down, should have been easy to foresee. But in fact, nobody consistently foresees these trends. That’s why most investors hurt their returns if they let short-term market forecasts have much of an impact on their investment decisions. This year, investors may feel tempted to follow the long-time saying that you should, “Sell in May and go away.” This saying is based on the observation that, over the years, stock prices have often gone sideways or dropped between May and October. This year, the sell-in-May rule may seem particularly timely. The market was stronger this year than many observers expected, so they may see it as over-due for a setback. The problem with this kind of analysis is that it fails to distinguish between causation and correlation. The pattern of falling stock prices between May and October may simply be a coincidence, like the pattern that may appear in a series of coin tosses or spins of a roulette wheel....

SHERRITT INTERNATIONAL $4.33 (Toronto symbol S; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (1-800-704- 6698; www.sherritt.com; Shares outstanding: 296.9 million; Market cap: $1.3 billion; Dividend yield: 4.0%) is a diversified natural resource company that produces nickel, cobalt, thermal coal, oil and gas. It also manages 356 megawatts of power generation capacity in Cuba, with an additional 150 megawatts starting up this year.

The company is a major nickel producer, with operations in Cuba and Canada. As well, it is now starting up its 40%-owned Ambatovy mine on the island nation of Madagascar, off Africa’s east coast. Sherritt also produces oil and gas in Cuba, Spain and Pakistan and is Canada’s largest thermal coal producer.

In the three months ended December 31, 2012, Sherritt’s revenue fell 12.8%, to $467.9 million from $536.8 million a year earlier. Lower nickel and cobalt prices and a decline in thermal coal sales were the main reasons for the drop. Cash flow fell 56.4%, to $39.5 million, or $0.13 a share, from $90.7 million, or $0.31. That was due to the lower revenue and higher production costs.
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ISHARES MSCI EMERGING MARKETS INDEX FUND $43.41 (New York symbol EEM; buy or sell through brokers) is an exchange traded fund that aims to track the MSCI Emerging Markets Index. Its geographic breakdown includes China, 17.6%; South Korea, 15.1%; Brazil, 12.6%; Taiwan, 10.7%; South Africa, 7.3%; India, 6.7%; Russia, 6.1%; Mexico, 5.2%; Malaysia, 3.4%; and Indonesia, 2.9%.

The fund’s top holdings are Samsung Electronics (South Korea), 4.1%; Taiwan Semiconductor (computer chips), 2.3%; China Mobile, 1.8%; China Construction Bank, 1.5%; Gazprom (Russia: gas utility), 1.2%; Industrial & Commercial Bank of China, 1.2%; America Movil (Brazil: wireless), 1.1%; and Itau Unibanco (Brazil: banking), 1.1%.

The fund’s industry breakdown is as follows: Financials, 26.9%; Information Technology, 14.0%; Energy, 12.1%; Materials, 11.2%; Consumer Staples, 9.0%; Consumer Discretionary, 8.0%; Telecommunication Services, 7.4%; and Industrials, 6.5%.

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CHEMTRADE LOGISTICS INCOME FUND $17.15 (Toronto symbol CHE.UN; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (416-496-5856; www.chemtradelogistics- .com; Units outstanding: 41.7 million; Market cap: $710.0 million; Dividend yield: 7.1%) is one of North America’s largest providers of removal services for resource firms, such as oil refineries and base-metal processors....

The outlook for U.S. banks is mixed. For some, such as J.P. Morgan Chase & Co.—a buy recommendation of our Wall Street Stock Forecaster newsletter—the outlook is positive. J.P. Morgan, $50.48, symbol JPM on New York (Shares outstanding: 3.8 billion; Market cap: $193.2 billion; www.jpmorgan.com), earned a record $21.3 billion in 2012. That’s up 12.2% from $19.0 billion in 2011. Earnings per share rose 16.1%, to $5.20 from $4.48, on fewer shares outstanding. That beat the consensus estimate of $5.00 a share. More borrowers are repaying their loans on time. As a result, Morgan set aside $3.4 billion to cover bad loans in the latest quarter, down 55.3% from $7.6 billion a year earlier. This was the main reason for the higher earnings....

DUNDEE REIT $36.11 (Toronto symbol D.UN; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (416-365-3535; www.dundeereit.com; Shares outstanding: 97.7 million; Market cap: $3.7 billion; Dividend yield: 6.1%) owns and manages 22.9 million square feet of office and retail space. The trust has a 95.1% occupancy rate.

In the three months ended December 31, 2012, Dundee REIT’s revenue jumped 51.3%, to $192.0 million from $126.9 million a year earlier. In 2012, Dundee made $2.6 billion of acquisitions and added 9.9 million square feet of office space. These properties supplied most of the revenue increase.

Cash flow jumped 41.4%, to $58.1 million from $41.0 million. However, cash flow per unit fell 8.1%, to $0.57 from $0.62, on more units outstanding (the trust issued new units to pay for the acquired properties).
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We think conservative investors could hold up to 10% of their portfolios in foreign stocks. One way to do that is to buy carefully chosen exchange traded funds (ETFs) that have an overseas focus.

The best ETFs offer very low management fees and well-diversified, tax-efficient portfolios of highquality stocks.

Here are six international ETFs we like:

ISHARES MSCI JAPAN INDEX FUND $10.17 (New York Exchange symbol EWJ; buy or sell through brokers; us.ishares.com) is an exchange traded fund that tries to match the return of the Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) Japan index.

The ETF’s top holdings include Toyota, 6.1%; Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, 3.1%; Honda Motor, 2.7%; Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, 2.4%; Mizuho Financial Group, 2.2%; Canon, 1.8%; Takeda Pharmaceutical, 1.8%; Softbank Corp., 1.5%; Fanuc Corp., 1.3%; and Japan Tobacco Inc., 1.2%.

The fund’s industry breakdown is as follows: Consumer Discretionary, 20.7%; Financials, 20.1%; Industrials, 20.0%; Information Technology, 10.8%; Health Care, 6.9%; Materials, 6.6%; Consumer Staples, 6.3%; Telecommunication Services, 4.4%; Utilities, 2.6%; and Energy, 1.6%.

iShares MSCI Japan Index Fund was launched on March 12, 1996....

CANADIAN REIT $44.81 (Toronto symbol REF.UN; Units outstanding: 68.2 million; Market cap: $3.1 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk; Dividend yield: 3.3%; www.creit.ca) owns over 190 properties, including retail, industrial and office buildings, across Canada and in Chicago. These holdings contain over 19.3 million square feet of leasable area. The trust’s occupancy rate is 94.8%.

In the three months ended September 30, 2012, Canadian REIT’s revenue rose 13.1%, to $94.7 million from $83.7 million a year earlier. Cash flow per unit rose 11.7%, to $0.67 from $0.60.

Canadian REIT added $308.4 million of properties in the first three quarters of 2012, including two office buildings, a further investment in the Dartmouth Crossing (Atlantic Canada’s largest unenclosed mall) and the completion of several development projects. That total also included its $156.0- million purchase of a 50% interest in Calgary Place, a 575,000-square-foot office and retail complex.

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