gold prices

The outlook for oil and other commodities remains weak, but we still feel that most investors should devote 10% to 15% of their portfolios to resource stocks. But only buy these or any stocks if you are prepared to hold them for at least the next several years. To further cut your risk, you should focus on companies with high-quality reserves, like the three we analyze below. All three are also reducing their costs, which puts them in a better position to profit when prices recover. However, not all of them are buys right now. CHEVRON CORP. $93 (New York symbol CVX; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 1.9 billion; Market cap: $176.7 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.3; Dividend yield: 4.6%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.chevron.com) produced an average of 2.54 million barrels of oil a day (including natural gas) in the three months ended September 30, 2015. That’s down 1.1% from 2.57 million barrels a day a year earlier....

NEWMONT MINING CORP. $19 (New York symbol NEM; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 529.1 million; Market cap: $10.1 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.2; Dividend yield: 0.6%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.newmont.com) is one of the world’s largest gold and copper producers, with major mines in the U.S., Peru, Suriname, Australia, Ghana and Indonesia. In August 2015, Newmont paid $821 million for the Cripple Creek & Victor mine in Colorado. This project will produce 350,000 to 400,000 ounces of gold a year once the company completes the mine’s current expansion in 2016. The Cripple Creek acquisition helped increase Newmont’s gold production by 16.1% in the three months ended September 30, 2015, to 1.34 million ounces from 1.15 million ounces a year earlier. Copper output surged 269.2% on higher ore grades at the Batu Hijau mine in Indonesia....

FORD MOTOR CO., $14.19, New York symbol F, reported lower-than-expected vehicle sales this week. In November 2015, the company sold 187,794 cars and trucks in the U.S., up 0.4% from 187,000 in November 2014. Ford offered fewer incentives to buyers, which is why the latest sales missed the consensus estimate of a 3.2% gain. Truck sales increased 18.3%, helping offset lower demand for cars (down 11.5%) and sport utility vehicles (down 9.6%)....

With plans to boost production by 75% over three years, Alamos Gold is poised to benefit from a recovery in the gold price

SHERRITT INTERNATIONAL $0.79 (Toronto symbol S; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (1-800-704- 6698; www.sherritt.com; Shares outstanding: 293.9 million; Market cap: $226.3 million; No dividends paid) is now focused on nickel production, with operations in Cuba and Canada. As well, it has a 40% interest in the Ambatovy nickel mine on the island nation of Madagascar, off Africa’s east coast. Sherritt also produces oil and gas in Cuba, Spain and Pakistan and manages 506 megawatts of power generation capacity in Cuba. In the three months ended September 30, 2015, the company’s revenue fell 25.3%, to $76.9 million from $102.9 million a year earlier, mostly due to lower oil and gas prices. Cash flow per share fell sharply, to $0.05 from $0.16....

At a time of lower commodity prices, the mining stocks with the greatest speculative appeal are those with new projects that enhance their value even before prices rebound. Today we look at Hecla Mining and Amerigo Resources, two mining firms that are moving ahead with large developments. In both cases these projects promise to expand production considerably. Hecla is beginning production at a Mexican silver mine that last operated a decade ago, and has also purchased one of North America’s largest undeveloped silver deposits. Amerigo has launched a new copper tailings project in Chile that could double its production by next year.

HECLA MINING COMPANY (New York symbol HL; www.hecla-mining.com) explores for, mines and processes silver and gold in the U.S. and Mexico. Most of the company’s silver output comes from its Greens Creek mine in Alaska and its Lucky Friday project in Idaho. Hecla’s Casa Berardi mine in Quebec supplies the majority of its gold production.

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ALAMOS GOLD $3.97 (Toronto symbol AGI; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative)(604-681-2802; www.alamosgold.com; Shares outstanding: 255.5 million; Market cap: $996.5 million; No dividends paid) is the company formed by the July 2015 merger of Alamos Gold and Stock Pickers Digest recommendation AuRico Gold.

The combined firm owns the Mulatos mine in Mexico and the Young-Davidson project in northern Ontario, which holds as much as 5.6 million ounces of gold. Young-Davidson started up in 2013 and will reach full production in 2016. But meanwhile, it’s moving from open-pit to underground mining, which has sharply increased its costs.

The company’s gold production rose 3.1% in the three months ended September 30, 2015, to 87,663 ounces from 85,037 a year earlier. However, lower gold prices offset the higher production, causing the company’s cash flow per share to fall to $0.02 from $0.16 (all figures except share price and market cap in U.S. dollars).

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CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL, $649.72, symbol CMG on New York, is a Denver-based Mexican restaurant chain. It charges slightly higher prices than fast food companies but offers better quality food, including naturally raised meat, and superior decor and service. The stock dropped almost 7% this week after Chipotle reported slowing sales growth and earnings that failed to meet expectations. In the three months ended September 30, 2015, the company’s sales rose 12.2%, to $1.22 billion from $1.08 billion a year earlier. Its restaurants attracted more customers during the quarter, pushing up same-restaurant sales by 2.6%. However, that was below the 4.3% increase in the preceding quarter and well short of a 19.8% jump a year earlier....

HECLA MINING COMPANY $2.27 (New York symbol HL; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (208-769- 4100; www.hecla-mining.com; Shares o/s: 377.7 million; Market cap: $910.3 million; Dividend yield: 0.4%) explores for, mines and processes silver and gold in the U.S. and Mexico. Most of the company’s silver output comes from its Greens Creek mine in Alaska and its Lucky Friday project in Idaho. Hecla’s Casa Berardi mine in Quebec supplies the majority of its gold production. In the three months ended June 30, 2015, Hecla produced 2.48 million ounces of silver, down 1.5% from 2.52 million ounces a year earlier. Gold output rose 2.6%, to 44,692 ounces from 43,554. Cash flow per share fell 33.3%, to $0.06 from $0.09, on the lower silver production and prices. The company aims to begin production at its San Sebastian project in Mexico early next year. The mine, which last operated between 2001 and 2005, is forecast to produce 8 million ounces of silver equivalent in its first two years from easily mined surface deposits. San Sebastian then has the potential to further expand its reserves....

With eight operating gold mines and a potential spinoff, Yamana Gold continues to hold a place among our top Canadian mining stocks.