investment

MCGRAW-HILL COMPANIES INC., $42.15, New York symbol MHP, fell over 25% this week after the U.S. Department of Justice announced that it is suing the company’s bond-rating subsidiary, Standard & Poor’s, over its role in the 2008 financial crisis. The Justice Department has accused Standard & Poor’s of failing to downgrade mortgage-backed securities, even though it knew home prices were falling and borrowers were having trouble repaying their loans. Bond issuers pay Standard & Poor’s to evaluate their securities. A bad rating could prompt these clients to take their future business to other rating agencies. This raises a potential conflict of interest with investors who rely on its bond ratings....

TECK RESOURCES LTD., $33.11, Toronto symbol TCK.B, reported better-than-expected earnings for 2012. However, concerns over lower prices for coal, copper and other commodities caused the stock to fall 10% this week. In 2012, Teck’s earnings fell 38.5%, to $1.5 billion, or $2.60 a share. These figures exclude unusual items, such as gains on asset sales. On that basis, the latest earnings beat the consensus estimate of $2.48 a share. In 2011, Teck earned a record $2.5 billion, or $4.18 a share. Revenue fell 10.2%, to $10.3 billion from $11.5 billion. The company met its production targets for all of its key commodities. However, the slow global economy hurt prices for its coal (down 24.9%), lead (down 13.8%), molybdenum (down 13.3%), silver (down 11.4%), zinc (down 11.1%), and copper (down 9.8%)....

Both Loblaw and Metro have moved up sharply in the past few months. That’s mainly because they are taking steps to unlock some of their hidden value, including selling real estate and other investments.

The companies will likely use the cash from the sales to keep improving their stores and other operations....

RIOCAN REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST $27 (Toronto symbol REI.UN; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Units outstanding: 299.0 million; Market cap: $8.1 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 5.3; Dividend yield: 5.2%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.riocan.com) has agreed to buy a mall in Oakville, Ontario, plus 50% of another mall in Burlington, Ontario....

AGRIUM INC. $114 (Toronto symbol AGU; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 149.4 million; Market cap: $17.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.1; Dividend yield: 1.8%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.agrium.com) has soared 60% in the past year....

Weak natural gas prices have hurt oil and gas producers with a high gas component. In June 2012, the price of gas dropped below $2 U.S. per million British thermal units (BTUs). That was the lowest price in over 10 years, and down 87% from an all-time high of $15.40 in December 2005. High inventories and record-warm temperatures were the main reasons for the price decline. Gas has since risen to around $3.37. The long-term outlook for natural gas is positive, although in the short term, shale gas discoveries continue to rapidly increase supply. That’s keeping prices low. Shale gas is natural gas that is trapped in rock formations. To extract it, companies must pump water and chemicals into the rock. This fractures the rock and releases the natural gas....

BELLATRIX EXPLORATION $5.17 (Toronto symbol BXE; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (403-266- 8670; www.bellatrixexploration.com; Shares outstanding: 107.9 million; Market cap: $557.8 million; No dividends paid) produces oil and natural gas in Alberta, B.C. and Saskatchewan. Gas makes up about 66% of its output; the remaining 34% is oil.

In the three months ended September 30, 2012, Bellatrix’s production rose 31.0%, to 15,503 barrels of oil equivalent per day (including natural gas) from 11,837 barrels.

Cash flow per share rose 13.6%, to $0.25 from $0.22. Bellatrix’s selling price for gas fell 37.3%, to $2.45 U.S. per thousand cubic feet from $3.91 U.S. a year ago. However, the big production increase offset that decline. The company’s long-term debt is $154.9 million, or a low 28% of its market cap.

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AIMIA INC. $15.93 (Toronto symbol AIM; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (514-205-7315; www.aimia.com; Shares outstanding: 172.3 million; Market cap: $2.7 billion; Dividend yield: 4.0%) owns and operates Aeroplan, Canada’s largest loyalty program, and Nectar, the U.K.’s biggest loyalty program. In addition, Aimia has interests in Air Miles Middle East and Nectar Italia, as well as Club Premier, the leading loyalty program in Mexico.

In the nine months ended September 30, 2012, Aimia’s revenue rose 1.0%, to $1.63 billion from $1.61 billion a year earlier. Excluding one-time items, earnings per share rose 33.8%, to $1.03 from $0.77. The company’s cost per mile awarded dropped significantly, partly because it is making better use of its computer systems. Redemptions also fell.

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Every Wednesday, we publish our “Investor Toolkit” series on TSI Network. Whether you’re a new or experienced investor, these weekly updates are designed to give you stock advice and other tips on successful investing. Each Investor Toolkit update gives you a fundamental tip and shows you how you can put it into practice right away....

You hear a lot of negative stock market commentary these days, but it’s old, and none of it is particularly convincing. Some concerns Europe’s finances. Greece is still going broke. That surprises no one. But now the commentators add that France could be the next Greece in a few years, if it fails to make needed changes etc. Other concerns revolve around offhand economic observations and predictions. One story has it that productivity growth is drying up because all the big inventions—the Internet, computers, cell phones etc.—have already made the bulk of their impact on the economy. We heard something like that in the 1970s and early 1980s, another period when the stock market failed to make any progress for a number of years. Back then, when pessimists said all the big inventions had already been introduced, they were referring to automobiles, airplanes, telephones, motion pictures, radio and TV. Others are based on valuation analyses. Pessimists complain that p/e ratios are above historical averages, despite the weak economic outlook (it’s weak because all the big inventions have already been introduced). But to some people, stocks are never cheap enough to offset what they see as the insurmountable negatives....