oil prices
Birchcliff Energy will cut spending on oil exploration and development by 45% to protect cash flow in this down market
BCE INC., $58.16, Toronto symbol BCE, continues to benefit from strong demand for its wireless, high-speed Internet and Fibe TV services. That’s offsetting weaker revenue from traditional telephone services. In the three months ended December 31, 2015, the company’s earnings rose 0.8%, to $615 million from $610 million a year earlier. Per-share profits were unchanged at $0.72 on more shares outstanding. These figures exclude unusual items, such as costs related to acquisitions and early debt repayments. On that basis, the latest earnings matched the consensus estimate....
ENERPLUS CORP. $4.34 (Toronto symbol ERF; Shares outstanding: 206.5 million; Market cap: $813.8 million; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk; Dividend yield: 8.3%) produces oil and gas from properties mainly in Alberta, Saskatchewan, B.C., North Dakota and Montana, as well as in the Marcellus Shale, which passes through Pennsylvania, New York, Ohio and West Virginia. Enerplus increased its output by 6.5% in the three months ended September 30, 2015, to an average of 110,794 barrels of oil equivalent per day (55% gas and 45% oil), from 104,035 a year earlier. However, that wasn’t enough to offset sharply lower oil and gas prices; cash flow per share fell 44.2%, to $0.58 from $1.04. Like Bonavista, Enerplus will cut exploration spending this year. Its outlays will now total $350.0 million, down 31.4% from $510.0 million in 2015. It spent $811.0 million in 2014....
BONAVISTA ENERGY $1.83 (Toronto symbol BNP; Shares outstanding: 211.7 million; Market cap: $367.5 million; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk; Dividend yield: 6.6%; www.bonavistaenergy.com) explores for oil and gas in Alberta, Saskatchewan and B.C. Its output is 75% gas and 25% oil. In the quarter ended September 30, 2015, Bonavista’s cash flow per share fell 26.7%, to $0.44 from $0.60 a year earlier. Most of that drop came from lower oil and gas prices; output rose 5.2%, to 78,599 barrels of oil equivalent a day from 74,720 barrels. Like many producers, the company is cutting back on exploration and development spending. In 2016, it will devote $210 million to this purpose. That’s down from the $283.4 million it spent in 2015, and down sharply from its $639.6 million in 2014....
BHP BILLITON LTD. ADRs $21 (New York symbol BHP; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; ADRs outstanding: 1.6 billion; Market cap: $33.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.3; Dividend yield: 11.8%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.bhpbilliton.com) will write down its U.S. onshore oil holdings by $4.9 billion (after taxes) in response to the decline in oil prices. In 2011, it spent $20.6 billion on acquisitions of U.S. shale oil and gas properties. The company is also seeing sharply lower prices for its other commodities, including iron ore, metallurgical coal and copper. The resulting decline in BHP’s cash flow will probably prompt it to cut its $2.48 dividend, which yields a high 11.8%. BHP Billiton is still a hold....
BHP BILLITON LTD. ADRs $21 (New York symbol BHP; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; ADRs outstanding: 1.6 billion; Market cap: $33.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.3; Dividend yield: 11.8%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.bhpbilliton.com) will write down its U.S. onshore oil holdings by $4.9 billion (after taxes) in response to the decline in oil prices. In 2011, it spent $20.6 billion on acquisitions of U.S. shale oil and gas properties. The company is also seeing sharply lower prices for its other commodities, including iron ore, metallurgical coal and copper. The resulting decline in BHP’s cash flow will probably prompt it to cut its $2.48 dividend, which yields a high 11.8%. BHP Billiton is still a hold.
Selling your oil company stocks at the bottom is a bad idea.
BIRCHCLIFF ENERGY $3.35 (Toronto symbol BIR; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (403-261-6401; www.birchcliffenergy.com; Shares outstanding: 152.3 million; Market cap: $461.5 million; No dividends paid) develops, produces and explores for oil and gas in Western Canada. In the quarter ended September 30, 2015, Birchcliff’s cash flow per share dropped 42.0%, to $0.29 from $0.50 a year earlier. Sharply lower oil and gas prices offset a 12.3% production rise. Now more than ever, it’s crucial for oil and gas producers to have sound balance sheets that can weather a long downturn....
BIRCHCLIFF ENERGY $3.35 (Toronto symbol BIR; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (403-261-6401; www.birchcliffenergy.com; Shares outstanding: 152.3 million; Market cap: $461.5 million; No dividends paid) develops, produces and explores for oil and gas in Western Canada. In the quarter ended September 30, 2015, Birchcliff’s cash flow per share dropped 42.0%, to $0.29 from $0.50 a year earlier. Sharply lower oil and gas prices offset a 12.3% production rise. Now more than ever, it’s crucial for oil and gas producers to have sound balance sheets that can weather a long downturn....
We recommend that you limit aggressive holdings to 30% of your overall portfolio (10% for more conservative investors). That’s especially true in light of the recent stock market volatility. We like the long-term outlook for these five aggressive stocks. However, only four are buys right now. RIOCAN REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST $23 (Toronto symbol REI.UN; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Units outstanding: 320.4 million; Market cap: $7.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 5.7; Dividend yield: 6.1%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.riocan.com) owns all or part of 305 shopping centres in Canada, including 16 under development....