oil prices
CENOVUS ENERGY $21.19 (Toronto symbol CVE; Shares outstanding: 833.3 million; Market cap: $17.7 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Dividend yield: 3.0%; www.cenovus.com) gets 35% of its revenue from its Western Canadian oil sands properties and conventional oil and gas wells. Chief among these assets are its 50%-owned Christina Lake and Foster Creek oil sands projects.
Refining—which gains from lower oil prices— supplies the remaining 65% of Cenovus’s revenue. The company ships its oil to its 50%-owned refineries in Illinois and Texas. (Phillips 66 owns the other 50%.)
In the three months ended September 30, 2015, the company’s production rose 5.7%, to 210,422 barrels a day from 199,089 a year earlier. However, lower oil prices cut its cash flow per share by 59.2%, to $0.53 from $1.30.
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Refining—which gains from lower oil prices— supplies the remaining 65% of Cenovus’s revenue. The company ships its oil to its 50%-owned refineries in Illinois and Texas. (Phillips 66 owns the other 50%.)
In the three months ended September 30, 2015, the company’s production rose 5.7%, to 210,422 barrels a day from 199,089 a year earlier. However, lower oil prices cut its cash flow per share by 59.2%, to $0.53 from $1.30.
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IMPERIAL OIL $44.63 (Toronto symbol IMO; Shares outstanding: 847.6 million; Market cap: $37.8 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Dividend yield: 1.3%; www.imperialoil.ca) is a major integrated oil company with oil sands projects in Alberta and conventional oil and gas operations across Western Canada. It also operates three refineries and 1,700 Esso gas stations. Imperial recently finished the second phase of its 71%-owned Kearl oil sands project in northern Alberta.
In the three months ended September 30, 2015, Imperial’s share of Kearl’s output was 192,000 barrels a day. That helped push its overall production up 25.7%, to 386,000 barrels of oil equivalent a day from 307,000 a year earlier.
However, lower oil prices cut its revenue by 25.9%, to $7.2 billion from $9.7 billion. Cash flow per share fell 32.9%, to $1.10 from $1.64. Imperial plans to keep expanding Kearl and Cold Lake, its two main oil sands properties. These projects will prosper when oil prices recover, and they should last for decades. Meanwhile, the company’s refineries cut its exposure to falling oil prices, as cheaper crude cuts the refineries’ input costs and increases their profit margins.
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In the three months ended September 30, 2015, Imperial’s share of Kearl’s output was 192,000 barrels a day. That helped push its overall production up 25.7%, to 386,000 barrels of oil equivalent a day from 307,000 a year earlier.
However, lower oil prices cut its revenue by 25.9%, to $7.2 billion from $9.7 billion. Cash flow per share fell 32.9%, to $1.10 from $1.64. Imperial plans to keep expanding Kearl and Cold Lake, its two main oil sands properties. These projects will prosper when oil prices recover, and they should last for decades. Meanwhile, the company’s refineries cut its exposure to falling oil prices, as cheaper crude cuts the refineries’ input costs and increases their profit margins.
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Cenovus Energy’s oil sands projects and integrated operations make it one energy stock we feel will bounce back stronger when oil recovers
RUSSEL METALS $19.08 (Toronto symbol RUS; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (905-819-7777; www.russelmetals.com; Shares outstanding: 61.7 million; Market cap: $1.2 billion; Dividend yield: 8.0%) is one of North America’s largest metal distributors, serving 39,000 clients at 53 locations in Canada and 12 in the U.S. In the three months ended September 30, 2015, Russel’s revenue fell 25.5%, to $773.4 million from $1.04 billion a year earlier. Sales mainly declined because revenue fell 40% at the company’s energy products division, which sells pipes to oil and gas drillers. Earnings dropped sharply, to $12.8 million, or $0.21 a share, from $33.0 million, or $0.54. The latest figure included a $2-million charge related to a more than 7% cut to the company’s workforce. Russel’s earnings fell faster than revenue because steel prices moved down in the latest quarter. That hurts its profit margins and causes it to suffer losses on its inventory....
Nordic American Tanker, $15.10, symbol NAT on New York (Shares outstanding: 89.2 million; Market cap: $1.4 billion; www.nat.bm), operates 23 Suezmax vessels that ship crude oil. Suezmaxes are the largest tankers able to go through the Suez Canal. In July 2015, Nordic American announced the purchase of two more Suezmax vessels. The first joined the fleet in September, and the second will be delivered shortly. In addition, the company signed a deal for the construction of two more Suezmaxes in December 2014 that are slated for delivery in August 2016 and January 2017. Nordic’s shares have moved up lately, despite lower oil prices, for two main reasons:...
APACHE CORP., $48.97, New York symbol APA, fell 8% after rival oil producer Anadarko Petroleum (New York symbol APC) withdrew its merger offer. Savings from eliminating overlapping functions would have helped the combined firm cope with weak oil prices.
Meanwhile, Apache produced 486,409 barrels of oil equivalent a day in the three months ended September 30, 2015, up 6.8% from 455,295 a year earlier. The gain mainly came from improving efficiency at the company’s international operations, including its offshore wells in the North Sea.
However, lower oil prices resulted in a $0.05-a-share loss, compared to a profit of $1.27 a share a year earlier. Even so, that was much better than the consensus estimate of a $0.36-a-share loss. Revenue dropped 56.5%, to $1.5 billion from $3.4 billion.
OUR RECOMMENDATION: Apache is still a hold.
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Meanwhile, Apache produced 486,409 barrels of oil equivalent a day in the three months ended September 30, 2015, up 6.8% from 455,295 a year earlier. The gain mainly came from improving efficiency at the company’s international operations, including its offshore wells in the North Sea.
However, lower oil prices resulted in a $0.05-a-share loss, compared to a profit of $1.27 a share a year earlier. Even so, that was much better than the consensus estimate of a $0.36-a-share loss. Revenue dropped 56.5%, to $1.5 billion from $3.4 billion.
OUR RECOMMENDATION: Apache is still a hold.
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MOLSON COORS CANADA INC., Toronto symbols TPX.A $118.50 and TPX.B $124.50, has agreed to buy the 58% of the MillerCoors joint venture it doesn’t own.
MillerCoors was formed in 2008, when Molson Coors and SABMiller merged their U.S. brewing operations. Each company has a 50% voting interest in MillerCoors, but SABMiller gets 58% of the profits, while Molson Coors gets 42%.
This week, SABMiller agreed to merge with rival Anheuser-Busch InBev to form the world’s largest brewer. Competition regulators will likely require the new firm to sell certain operations, including its MillerCoors stake.
Molson Coors will pay $12 billion for SABMiller’s interest (all amounts except share price in U.S. dollars). The deal also includes Miller’s brands outside the U.S.
This a big purchase for Molson Coors, which has a $17.0-billion market cap (or the value of all outstanding shares).
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MillerCoors was formed in 2008, when Molson Coors and SABMiller merged their U.S. brewing operations. Each company has a 50% voting interest in MillerCoors, but SABMiller gets 58% of the profits, while Molson Coors gets 42%.
This week, SABMiller agreed to merge with rival Anheuser-Busch InBev to form the world’s largest brewer. Competition regulators will likely require the new firm to sell certain operations, including its MillerCoors stake.
Molson Coors will pay $12 billion for SABMiller’s interest (all amounts except share price in U.S. dollars). The deal also includes Miller’s brands outside the U.S.
This a big purchase for Molson Coors, which has a $17.0-billion market cap (or the value of all outstanding shares).
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IMPERIAL OIL LTD. $42 (Toronto symbol IMO; Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Shares outstanding: 848.0 million; Market cap: $35.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.4; Dividend yield: 1.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.imperialoil.ca) produced 386,000 barrels of oil equivalent a day in the three months ended September 30, 2015, up 25.7% from 307,000 a year earlier. That’s because Imperial recently completed the second phase of its 71%-owned Kearl oil sands project in northern Alberta. However, lower oil prices cut its revenue by 25.9%, to $7.2 billion from $9.7 billion. Cash flow per share fell 32.9%, to $1.10 from $1.64. Even so, Imperial plans to keep expanding Kearl and Cold Lake, its other main oil sands project. These operations, which should last decades, will prosper when oil prices rebound....
CENOVUS ENERGY INC. $20 (Toronto symbol CVE; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 833.3 million; Market cap: $16.7 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.2; Dividend yield: 3.2%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.cenovus.com) has cut jobs in response to sharply lower oil and natural gas prices. It has also lowered its 2015 capital spending by 40%, to between $1.8 billion and $1.9 billion. These moves, along with more efficient drilling, will save it $400 million in 2015, up from its earlier forecast of $280 million. Cenovus now plans more job cuts, which should save it a further $100 million a year starting in 2016. Meanwhile, Cenovus’s oil production rose 5.7% in the three months ended September 30, 2015, to 210,422 barrels a day from 199,089 a year earlier. That’s due to the start up of new phases at its 50%-owned Foster Creek and Christina Lake oil sands projects in northern Alberta; U.S.-based ConocoPhillips (New York symbol COP) owns the other 50%....
Imperial Oil continues to face low oil prices, but its diversified operations make it our top energy stock for conservative investors.