oil prices

We think conservative investors could hold up to 10% of their portfolios in foreign stocks. One way to do that is to buy carefully chosen exchange traded funds (ETFs) that have an overseas focus. The best ETFs offer very low management fees and well-diversified, tax-efficient portfolios of highquality stocks. Here’s a look at six international ETFs:...

ENCANA CORP. $15.20 (Toronto symbol ECA; Shares outstanding: 741.1 million; Market cap: $11.6 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Dividend yield: 2.3%; www.encana.com) produced 416,700 barrels a day (74% gas, 26% oil) in the three months ended December 31, 2014. That’s down 20.4% from 523,400 barrels a year earlier. As well, Encana’s realized gas prices, which include the benefit of hedging contracts, fell 4.1%, while oil prices declined 0.9%. As a result, the company’s cash flow per share fell 44.0%, to $0.51 from $0.91. Encana plans to spend $2.0 billion to $2.2 billion on new projects and upgrades in 2015, down from its earlier forecast of $2.7 billion. Even so, that’s more than its projected cash flow of $1.4 billion to $1.6 billion....

SASOL LTD. (ADR) $33.44 (New York symbol SSL; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk)(082- 883-9697; www.sasol.com; ADRs outstanding: 650.9 million; Market cap: $21.6 billion; Dividend yield: 3.4%) is a South Africa-based company that converts coal and natural gas into motor fuels, produces oil and gas and mines coal.

In its fiscal 2015 first half, which ended December 31, 2014, Sasol’s sales rose 1.6%, to 99.8 billion South African rand from 98.2 billion rand a year earlier (1 rand = $0.1099 U.S.). Earnings per ADR gained 6.0%, to 32.00 rand from 30.19. The U.S. dollar rose against the rand, increasing the value of Sasol’s foreign sales. That offset a 19% decline in realized oil prices.

Despite the improved results, Sasol now plans to bring in an aggressive plan to conserve cash, including layoffs, lower spending on oil and gas exploration and development, and a 12.5% dividend cut. The ADRs yield 3.4%, based on the lower rate.

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AGRIUM INC., $144.38, Toronto symbol AGU, hit a new all-time high of $145.07 this week after reporting better-than-expected quarterly earnings. It also raised its outlook for 2015. In the three months ended December 31, 2014, Agrium’s earnings gained 4.1%, to $0.77 a share from $0.74 a year earlier (all amounts expect share price in U.S. dollars). These results exclude unusual items, mainly losses on contracts the company uses to lock in foreign exchange rates and commodity prices. On that basis, the latest earnings easily beat the consensus estimate of $0.60 a share. Revenue fell 5.7%, to $2.7 billion from $2.9 billion. That’s because Agrium had to cut production at its Vanscoy potash mine in Saskatchewan to complete a major expansion. An unplanned outage at its Redwater, Alberta, plant also slowed nitrogen-fertilizer output. Sales at its retail stores, which sell fertilizer and seeds to farmers, declined 2.1%....

Every Monday we feature “A Stock to Sell” as our daily post. With every stock or investment we recommend as a sell, we give you a full explanation of why we advise against investing in it at this time.

Linn Energy (symbol LINE on Nasdaq; www.linnenergy.com) acquires and develops oil and gas properties in the Mid-Continent region in the southern U.S., the Permian Basin (Texas and New Mexico) and the Hugoton Basin (Texas and Kansas), as well as in California, Michigan and Illinois.

In December 2013, Linn bought Berry Petroleum for $4.3 billion in stock. The move added long-lasting, mature properties and boosted Linn’s growth prospects. Berry’s reserves were roughly 75% oil.

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ENBRIDGE INC. $62 (Toronto symbol ENB; Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 851.6 million; Market cap: $52.8 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.4; Dividend yield: 3.0%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.enbridge.com) gets 90% of its revenue from pipelines that pump oil and natural gas from Western Canada to Eastern Canada and the U.S. The remaining 10% mainly comes from distributing gas to 2.1 million consumers in Ontario, Quebec, New Brunswick and New York State.

Since 2008, Enbridge has spent $20 billion on 39 new pipelines and other projects. Thanks to these investments, the company’s revenue soared 164.1%, from $12.5 billion in 2009 to $32.9 billion in 2013. Its revenue probably increased to $37.7 billion in 2014.

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IMPERIAL OIL LTD. $50 (Toronto symbol IMO; Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Shares outstanding: 847.6 million; Market cap: $42.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.2; Dividend yield: 1.0%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.imperialoil.ca) spent $5.7 billion on exploration and capital upgrades in 2014, down 29.5% from $8.0 billion in 2013. That’s mainly because it completed the first phase of its 71%-owned Kearl oil sands project. U.S.-based ExxonMobil (New York symbol XOM), which owns 69.6% of Imperial, owns the remaining 29% of Kearl.

For 2015, Imperial expects to spend $4.0 billion on capital projects. Most of that will go toward expanding Kearl, as well as its Cold Lake oil sands property. These projects will last decades, so the recent drop in oil prices will have little impact on their long-term prospects.

Imperial Oil is a buy.

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PENGROWTH ENERGY CORP. $4.15 (Toronto symbol PGF; Aggressive Growth and Income Portfolios, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 530.2 million; Market cap: $2.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.8; Dividend yield: 5.8%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.pengrowth.com) recently started up its Lindbergh oil sands project in eastern Alberta, which should produce 16,000 barrels a day by the end of 2015.

Due to falling oil prices and Lindbergh’s completion, Pengrowth plans to spend $200 million to upgrade and maintain its properties in 2015, down 74.0% from $770 million last year.

But even with the lower spending, Pengrowth expects to produce between 73,000 and 75,000 barrels a day (57% oil and liquids, 43% natural gas) in 2015, or about 1.5% more than in 2014, thanks to Lindbergh.

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ISHARES MSCI SOUTH KOREA INDEX FUND $57.04 (New York symbol EWY; buy or sell through brokers) aims to track the MSCI Korea Index.

The ETF’s top holdings are Samsung Electronics, 21.0%; SK Hynix Semiconductor, 4.3%; Hyundai Motor Co., 4.0%; Shinhan Financial, 3.1%; Naver (Internet content), 3.0%; Posco (steel), 2.8%; Hyundai Mobis (auto parts), 2.7%; KB Financial, 2.6%; Kia Motors, 1.9%; and Korea Electric Power, 1.9%.

The fund’s industry breakdown is as follows: Information Technology, 38.2%; Consumer Discretionary, 16.6%; Financials, 14.3%; Industrials, 10.6%; Materials, 7.6%; Consumer Staples, 6.2%; Utilities, 2.1%; Energy, 1.6%; Telecommunication Services, 1.2%; and Health Care, 0.7%.

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ARC RESOURCES $24.16 (Toronto symbol ARX; Shares outstanding: 335.0 million; Market cap: $8.2 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative; Dividend yield: 5.1%; www.arcresources.com) produces oil and natural gas in Western Canada. Its average daily output of 117,986 barrels of oil equivalent is 61% gas and 39% oil.

In the quarter ended December 31, 2014, ARC’s cash flow per share rose 3.9%, to $0.79 from $0.76 a year earlier. Realized oil prices fell 12.5%, to $72.49 a barrel from $82.85, but ARC’s production gained 17.0%, and its realized gas prices rose 15.0%.

Like many oil and gas producers, ARC plans to cut back on exploration and development spending. This year, the company will devote $750.0 million to this purpose, down from $945.5 million in 2014.

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