oil prices

ENCANA CORP. $21.00 (Toronto symbol ECA; Shares outstanding: 741.0 million; Market cap: $15.6 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Dividend yield: 1.4%; www.encana.com) continues to sell less important natural gas properties as it shifts toward long-lasting projects that mainly produce oil and natural gas liquids, such as butane and propane. The company recently agreed to sell most of its natural gas properties in central Alberta’s Clearwater region for $605 million (Canadian). That’s equal to 83% of its second-quarter cash flow of $656 million U.S., or $0.89 U.S. a share. The company expects to complete the sale in the first quarter of 2015. The cash will help Encana pay for Texas-based oil producer Athlon Energy (New York symbol ATHL), which it recently agreed to buy for $7.1 billion U.S., including Athlon’s $1.15 billion U.S. of debt. Encana should complete this purchase by the end of 2014....
Commodity Investments
Every Thursday we bring you our best U.S. stock picks. You get our specific recommendation on the stocks we profile, with a full explanation of how we arrived at our opinion. You will read about stocks making moves you should know about, most often from coverage in our newsletter on U.S. investing, Wall Street Stock Forecaster. Today’s stock is covered in our advisory on more aggressive investing, Stock Pickers Digest.

DEVON ENERGY CORP. (New York symbol DVN; www.dvn.com) is one of the largest U.S.-based oil and natural gas explorers and producers. Its production mix is 48% gas and 52% oil.

In 2011, Devon sold all of its international and Gulf of Mexico properties, which it saw as risky and expensive to develop.

The company narrowed its focus even further with the July 2014 sale of some of its properties to Linn Energy for $2.3 billion. The sale included Devon’s holdings in the Rockies, the onshore Gulf Coast and the Mid-Continent region (which includes Oklahoma, Kansas and Texas).

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Parkland Fuel Corp., $22.18, symbol PKI on Toronto (Shares outstanding: 75.0 million; Market cap: $1.7 billion, www.parkland.ca), operates gas stations, convenience stores and a fuel distribution business, mostly in Western Canada and Ontario. It was called Parkland Income Fund before it converted to a dividend-paying corporation on December 31, 2010. The company owns 144 rural gas stations and convenience stores. Brands include Fas Gas Plus, Race Trac Gas and Short Stop. Many of Parkland’s stations sell propane in addition to gasoline and diesel fuel. The company also operates Esso stations in Western Canada and Ontario under a licensing deal with Imperial Oil (symbol IMO on Toronto). It recently signed an agreement to use the Chevron brand in B.C. Parkland continues to sell its company-owned stations to franchisees. This lets it collect rent and commissions on fuel sales without having to staff and operate the stations....
BOMBARDIER INC., Toronto symbols BBD.A $3.77 and BBD.B, $3.71, reported better-than-expected quarterly results this week. Without costs related to its recent restructuring, which included laying off 2% of its workforce, Bombardier’s earnings rose 34.5% in the quarter ended September 30, 2014, to $222 million, or $0.12 a share (all amounts except share prices in U.S. dollars). That beat the consensus estimate of $0.10 a share. A year earlier, the company earned $165 million, or $0.09 a share. Overall revenue gained 20.9%, $4.9 billion from $4.1 billion, also beating the consensus forecast of $4.82 billion....
VISA INC., $241.43, New York symbol V, hit an all-time high of $242.50 this week after reporting better-than-expected quarterly results. In its fiscal 2014 fourth quarter, which ended September 30, 2014, Visa’s earnings rose 13.8%, to $1.4 billion from $1.2 billion a year earlier. Per-share earnings gained 17.8%, to $2.18 from $1.85, on fewer shares outstanding. The latest earnings exclude a $450-million lawsuit settlement. On that basis, they beat the consensus estimate of $2.10 a share. Revenue rose 8.6%, to $3.23 billion from $2.97 billion, also beating the consensus forecast of $3.19 billion....
We still think investors will profit most—and with the least risk—by buying shares of well-established, dividend-paying stocks with strong business prospects.

These are companies that have strong positions in healthy industries. They also have strong management that will make the right moves to remain competitive in a changing marketplace.

Stocks like these give investors an additional measure of safety in today’s volatile markets. And the best ones offer an attractive combination of moderate p/e’s (the ratio of a stock’s price to its per-share earnings), steady or rising dividend yields (annual dividend divided by the share price) and promising growth prospects.

Here are 20 stocks we think meet those criteria:

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CANADIAN PACIFIC RAILWAY LTD., $230.28, Toronto symbol CP, earned a record $400 million in the three months ended September 30, 2014, up 20.8% from $331 million a year earlier. Earnings per share rose 22.9%, to $2.31 from $1.88, on fewer shares outstanding. Even so, that missed the consensus estimate of $2.39 a share. Revenue rose 8.9%, to a record $1.67 billion from $1.53 billion. CP saw strong revenue gains from shipping grain, crude oil, metals and consumer products. That offset declines in shipments of fertilizer, coal and automotive products....
Investment Advice
Pat McKeough responds to many requests from members of his Inner Circle for specific advice on buying stocks, as well as questions on investment strategy and the economy. Every week, his comments and recommendations on the most intriguing questions of the past week go out to all Inner Circle members. And each week we offer you a report on one of the stocks profiled in these Q&A sessions. We give you Pat’s buy-hold-sell recommendation as well as his analysis of the stock. This is part of the specific buy, hold and sell advice we offer you in our daily posts. Every week you get “A Stock to Sell” on Monday, “Best Canadian Stocks” on Tuesday, and “Our Top U.S. Stocks” on Thursday.

Recently an Inner Circle member asked about the prospects of a Canadian oil service stock. Aveda provides transportation services for oil and gas producers in both Canada and the United States, with three quarters of its revenue coming from the U.S. The company has made several key acquisitions this year that have added to its profits—and its debt. Pat takes a hard look at the company’s balance sheet and considers its prospects in light of the dampening effect lower oil prices have on energy projects.

Q: Dear Pat: A company that would seem to be moving in the right direction is oil-service firm Aveda. Perhaps I can have your input regarding this prospect?

A: Aveda Transportation and Energy Services Inc. (symbol AVE on Toronto; www.avedaenergy.com) provides transportation services to oil and gas producers in Western Canada and the U.S., mainly in Texas, Pennsylvania, West Virginia and North Dakota. The U.S. supplies around 75% of the company’s revenue.

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BONAVISTA ENERGY $12.54 (Toronto symbol BNP; Shares outstanding: 201.9 million; Market cap: $2.8 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk; Dividend yield: 6.7%; www.bonavistaenergy.com) explores for oil and natural gas in Alberta, Saskatchewan and British Columbia. Its production is 67% gas and 33% oil.

In the three months ended June 30, 2014, Bonavista’s cash flow per share gained 6.3%, to $0.67 from $0.63 a year earlier. Production rose just 2.4%, to 74,272 barrels of oil equivalent a day from 72,554. However, that’s because Bonavista sold 2,700 barrels a day of heavy-oil production, which is less of a focus for the company. Bonavista’s realized gas price increased 17.9%, to an average of $4.29 per thousand cubic feet from $3.64. Oil prices fell 1.3%, to $79.34 a barrel from $80.42.

Bonavista plans to spend $580 million to $600 million on exploration and development in 2014. Its plans include drilling 130 to 135 wells, which will let it raise its production to as high as 86,000 barrels of oil equivalent a day at the end of 2014. For all of 2013, Bonavista spent $460 million to drill 126 wells.

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PEYTO EXPLORATION & DEVELOPMENT CORP. $34.95 (Toronto symbol PEY; Shares outstanding: 153.7 million; Market cap: $5.4 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk; Dividend yield: 3.4%; www.peyto.com) produces and explores for oil and natural gas in Alberta. Its average daily production of 72,302 barrels of oil equivalent is 90% gas and 10% oil.

In the quarter ended June 30, 2014, Peyto’s cash flow rose 41.9%, to $1.05 a share from $0.74 a year earlier. That’s because the company raised its production by 26.1%. Gas prices also gained 17.5%, to an average of $4.37 per thousand cubic feet from $3.72, while oil prices rose 14.0%, to $77.30 a barrel from $67.82.

Peyto plans to spend $625 million on exploration and development in all of 2014, which will let it drill 110 to 125 wells. To put that in context, the company spent $578 million to drill 99 wells in 2013. This year’s spending should let it finish 2014 with production of over 81,500 barrels a day. The stock trades at 7.4 times Peyto’s forecast 2014 cash flow of $4.73 a share. The company’s long-term debt of $825 million is a low 15.3% of its $5.4-billion market cap.

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