price to sales ratio
PETRO-CANADA $28 (Toronto symbol PCA; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 484.6 million; Market cap: $13.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.5; SI Rating: Average) has moved up from its low of $20 in November 2008, partly due to growing pressure from the Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan, which now owns 3.3% of Petro-Canada’s shares. Ottawa has capped the amount that any single individual can own at 20%, so it’s unlikely that Teachers’ will fully take Petro-Canada over. However, the pension fund will try to persuade the company to work to improve its stock price, possibly by selling its investments in politically risky countries like Libya and Syria. This would free up cash for more promising projects, including Petro-Canada’s Fort Hills oil-sands development. Petro-Canada is a buy.
CANADIAN IMPERIAL BANK OF COMMERCE $46 (Toronto symbol CM; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 380.8 million; Market cap: $17.5 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.3; SI Rating: Above Average) is Canada’s fifth-largest bank, with assets of $353.9 billion. CIBC is looking to cut its risk by focusing on retail banking, which now represents 65% of its business. CIBC wants to raise this to 75%. CIBC is also cutting its exposure to risky assets. It recently sold $1.05 billion U.S. of notes backed by American subprime mortgages to private-equity firm Cerberus Capital. The bank is not obligated to compensate Cerberus if these underlying mortgages fail, so this deal should help shield CIBC from future charges....
BANK OF MONTREAL $30 (Toronto symbol BMO; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 503 million; Market cap: $15.1 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.8; SI Rating: Above Average) is Canada’s fourth-largest bank, with assets of $416.1 billion.
AIG buy probably a bargain
Bank of Montreal continues to focus on its retail banking business and shrink its corporate-lending and stock market-related activities. This should give it more stable revenue streams. The bank also aims to spur growth at its insurance operations, which currently supply just 2% of its revenue. It recently agreed to pay $375 million for the Canadian life insurance business of troubled U.S. insurer American International Group Inc. Bank of Montreal earned $2 billion, or $3.76 a share, in fiscal 2008, down 7.2% from $2.1 billion, or $4.11 a share, in the prior year. The latest results included $419 million of after-tax writedowns of securities, as well as a $977-million increase in loan-loss provisions. The prior year included $787 million in unusual charges. Revenue rose 9.2%, to $10.2 billion from $9.3 billion. Bad loans now stand at 0.4% of Bank of Montreal’s total loans....
BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA $30 (Toronto symbol BNS; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 990 million; Market cap: $29.7 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.1; SI Rating: Above Average) is Canada’s third-largest bank, with assets of $507.6 billion. Bank of Nova Scotia has the largest international operations of the big five banks, with a third of its earnings coming from overseas. It prefers to focus on developing countries in Latin America and Asia, where it can quickly expand earnings and market share.
Latest investment looks promising
Bank of Nova Scotia recently agreed to increase its stake in Thailand’s Thanachart Bank from 24.98% to 49%. Thanachart is Thailand’s eighth largest bank by assets, and that country’s leading automobile lender....
TORONTO-DOMINION BANK $39 (Toronto symbol TD; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 810.1 million; Market cap: $31.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.2; SI Rating: Above Average) is the second-largest Canadian bank, with assets of $563.2 billion. Like Royal, TD has built up its U.S. operations over the past few years. It has focused more on retail banking, however, which is more stable than brokerage services or wealth management. Retail banking in Canada and the U.S. now accounts for roughly 80% of TD’s earnings.
Writedowns hurt 2008 earnings
TD is not immune to the current financial crisis. In fiscal 2008, earnings at TD’s wholesale banking division fell 92%, due to $350 million in trading losses and writedowns of illiquid securities....
ROYAL BANK OF CANADA $30 (Toronto symbol RY; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 1.3 billion; Market cap: $39 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.4; SI Rating: Above Average) is Canada’s largest bank, with total assets of $723.9 billion. Royal continues to expand its operations in the United States. These now account for 17% of its revenue, and have increased Royal’s exposure to the struggling U.S. housing market. In the fiscal year ended October 31, 2008, earnings declined 17.1%, to $4.6 billion from $5.5 billion in the prior year. Earnings per share fell 19.3%, to $3.38 from $4.19 on more shares outstanding. The drop was largely due to a 101.6% increase in loan-loss provisions. Troubled loans now account for 0.96% of total loans, up from 0.45% a year earlier....
Canada’s banking industry is still healthy despite the problems caused by the worldwide credit crisis. Most of the big five banks have also issued new preferred and common shares in the past few months. The extra funds put them in a good position to make timely acquisitions and keep paying above-average dividends. ROYAL BANK OF CANADA $30 (Toronto symbol RY; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 1.3 billion; Market cap: $39 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.4; SI Rating: Above Average) is Canada’s largest bank, with total assets of $723.9 billion. Royal continues to expand its operations in the United States. These now account for 17% of its revenue, and have increased Royal’s exposure to the struggling U.S. housing market....
ALLIANT ENERGY CORP. $29 (New York symbol LNT; Income Portfolio, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 110.5 million; Market cap: $3.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.8; WSSF Rating: Average) expects that it earned $2.65 a share in 2008. However, earnings for 2009 will likely drop to between $2.18 and $2.48 a share as the slowing economy has hurt electricity demand. The stock now trades at a reasonable 12.4 times the midpoint of that range. Despite the weaker forecast, Alliant increased its quarterly dividend by 7.1%, from $0.35 a share to $0.375. The new annual rate of $1.50 yields 5.2%. Alliant Energy is a buy. QUAKER CHEMICAL CORP. $13 (New York symbol KWR; Income Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 10.8 million; Market cap: $140.4 million; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.2; WSSF Rating: Average) plans to cut 10% of its workforce, as the slowing economy has hurt demand for its industrial lubricants and chemicals. Severance and other costs will total $3 million. That’s equal to half of the $6.0 million, or $0.51 a share, that Quaker earned before one-time items in the third quarter. Lower operating costs will help it keep paying quarterly dividends of $0.23 a share, for a current yield of 7.1%....
TUPPERWARE BRANDS CORP. $23 (New York symbol TUP; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 62 million; Market cap: $1.4 billion; Price to- sales ratio: 0.7; WSSF Rating: Above Average) makes plastic food and beverage containers, as well as beauty products. It sells its products through a network of independent dealers instead of traditional retail stores. This keeps its marketing costs low. Tupperware tends to do well when the economy slows. That’s because many people become Tupperware dealers as a way of supplementing their income. Demand for food storage containers also tends to rise during downturns, as more people eat at home instead of in restaurants. Tupperware gets more than 90% of its profits from outside of the United States. This makes it particularly vulnerable to a rising U.S. dollar, which hurts the contribution of its international operations. Still, Tupperware’s well-known brand continues to spur sales in emerging markets, such as China and India....
NEWELL RUBBERMAID INC. $9.21 (New York symbol NWL; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 277.2 million; Market cap: $2.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.3; WSSF Rating: Average) makes a wide variety of household products, such as plastic storage bins, tools and pens. International markets account for 30% of its revenue. The company’s total term debt was $2.9 billion as of December 31, 2008, which is a high 110% of its market cap. Of that total, $752.7 million is due within one year. Newell generated $546.6 million in cash flow in 2008, so it should have little trouble meeting its obligations. The company also held cash of $275.4 million, or $1.00 a share. Newell aims to conserve cash by accelerating its current restructuring plan, which includes temporarily shutting down some of its plants to reduce inventory levels. Excluding unusual items, Newell will probably earn $1.19 a share in 2009. The stock trades at 7.7 times that estimate. To conserve cash, the company recently cut its dividend by 50%, from $0.84 a share to $0.42. It now yields 4.6%....