Consolidation profit

Article Excerpt

Consolidating can be a profitable business strategy, but be wary of underestimating its risk. A consolidator operates in a fragmented industry, and grows by buying up smaller competitors. It then cuts costs at acquired firms and increases sales to its newly acquired customers. In fragmented industries, some buyers always want to sell, if only to retire. But buyers are scarce, since banks are reluctant to lend. Meanwhile, the competitive threat from the consolidator increases because its size lets it profit from economies of scale. Some consolidators go on great growth streaks with this strategy, particularly if they buy with stock instead of cash. If the consolidator’s stock sells at 15 times earnings, the smaller, riskier firms it buys may sell at half that ratio. So if an acquisition expands total shares by 5%, total earnings rise 10%, due to the difference in p/e’s. Every acquisition pushes up earnings, even if neither company is growing. But a bad acquisition can leads to big write-offs and…