Pat McKeough

A professional investment analyst for more than 30 years, Pat has developed a stock-selection technique that has proven reliable in both bull and bear markets. His proprietary ValuVesting System™ focuses on stocks that provide exceptional quality at relatively low prices. Many savvy investors and industry leaders consider it the most powerful stock-picking method ever created.

As early as 1980, Pat was recognized as #1 in the world of published investment advice by the Washington, DC–based Newsletter Publishers Association, and he was the first multi-year winner of The Globe and Mail’s stock picking contest.

Both CBS MarketWatch and The Hulbert Financial Digest recognized Pat as one of North America’s top stock analysts. The Wall Street Journal called him “one of only four investment newsletter advisors who have managed to serve their readers well over the long haul.”

A best-selling Canadian author, he wrote Riding the Bull, his 1993 book that predicted the stock-market boom of the last half of that decade. Through his many television appearances, he is well-known to investors for his insightful analysis and his candid, unpretentious style.

Bottom line: Pat’s conservative, reduced-risk strategy is a proven approach to safe investing.

Posts by the author
The pendulum theory grew out of Sir Isaac Newton’s 17th-century studies of gravity and physics, particularly his second law of motion. Yet the theory turns up in discussions of all sorts of non-mechanical topics. This includes investors’ efforts at understanding the stock market.
NEWMONT MINING CORP. $27 (New York symbol NEM; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 529.2 million; Market cap: $14.3 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.9; Dividend yield: 0.6%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.newmont.com) has sold its 19.45% stake in Australian gold mining firm Regis Resources for $182 million. This sale is part of Newmont’s plan to sell less important assets, and use the proceeds to pay down its debt. Since 2013, it has sold $1.9 billion of assets. Newmont cut its long-term debt in 2015 by 6.1%, to $6.1 billion. That’s still a high 43% of its market cap. Newmont is a hold.
STATE STREET CORP. $59 (New York symbol STT; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 400.0 million; Market cap: $23.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.9; Dividend yield: 2.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.statestreet.com) sells accounting and administrative services to large institutional investors, such as mutual funds and pension plans. State Street’s fee income rises and falls with the value of the mutual funds and other securities it manages. Recent stock market weakness reduced the value of its assets under custody and administration. In addition, low interest rates are hurting the interest income it gets from its loan portfolio. It’s also paying more to comply with tougher securities and banking regulations....
CINTAS CORP. $90 (Nasdaq symbol CTAS; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 108.1 million; Market cap: $9.7 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.1; Dividend yield: 1.2%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.cintas.com) started out by offering laundry services to businesses in 1929. The company is now North America’s largest provider of corporate uniforms, with over 1 million customers. In addition to renting and cleaning uniforms, Cintas also rents out a variety of related products, such as mats, towels, mops and cleaning supplies. In all, these services account for 77% of its revenue. It gets a further 10% selling uniforms. The remaining 13% of its revenue come from selling first aid kits, fire extinguishers, sprinklers and emergency-exit lights. Big gain from Shred-it sale...
ALCOA INC. $9.85 (www.alcoa.com) has suffered lately as slowing industrial activity in China continues to dampen aluminum prices. In response, Alcoa is closing unprofitable smelters. Even so, declining cash flow could hurt its ability to service its debt of $9.1 billion....
BOEING CO. $135 (www.boeing.com) is cutting production of its 777 passenger jet planes. Airlines are ordering fewer new planes, as lower fuel costs have reduced the need to buy new fuel-efficient models. In addition, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission is investigating how Boeing accounts for the costs to develop new planes....
RIOCAN REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST $27.20 (Toronto symbol REI.UN; Units outstanding: 317.8 million; Market cap: $8.7 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Dividend yield: 5.2%; www.riocan.com) is Canada’s largest real estate investment trust (REIT), with interests in 338 shopping malls containing over 92 million square feet of leasable area. That total includes 48 U.S. malls with over 13 million square feet.

In the three months ended March 31, 2015, RioCan’s revenue rose 7.7%, to $331.0 million from $307.4 million a year earlier. Cash flow per unit gained 4.8%, to $0.44 from $0.42.

The trust’s latest acquisitions increased its rental space by 1.7%. It’s also doing a good job of renewing current tenants at higher rates: rents on renewals rose 9.8% in Canada and 8.3% in the U.S.

...
ISHARES MSCI AUSTRALIA ETF $22.29 (New York symbol EWA; buy or sell through brokers) is an ETF that holds the 71 largest Australian stocks. Its MER is 0.48%.

The fund’s top holdings include Commonwealth Bank of Australia, 11.1%; Westpac Banking Corp., 8.4%; BHP Billiton, 7.6%; Australia and New Zealand Banking Group, 7.4%; National Australia Bank, 7.1%; Wesfarmers, 3.9%; CSL Ltd., 3.6%; Woolworths, 2.8%; Woodside Petroleum, 2.2%; Telstra Group, 2.1%; Rio Tinto, 2.0%; Macquarie Group, 1.9%; and Scentre Group, 1.7%.

Australia benefits from its stable banking and political systems and is rich in natural resources. Low commodity prices have hurt its economy, but its proximity to Asian markets with vast potential, including India and China, gives it strong long-term prospects.

...
ALIMENTATION COUCHE-TARD $59.93 (Toronto symbol ATD.B: TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (1-800-361-2612; www.couchetard. com; Shares outstanding: 567.4 million; Market cap: $34.6 billion; Dividend yield: 0.5%) operates 7,979 convenience stores throughout North America.

In Europe, the company operates 2,218 stores across Scandinavia (Norway, Sweden and Denmark), Poland, the Baltic states (Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania) and Russia.

In the three months ended January 31, 2016, Couche-Tard’s sales rose 2.5%, to $9.33 billion from $9.11 billion a year earlier (all figures except share price in U.S....
NEW GOLD $5.06 (Toronto symbol NGD; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (888-315-9715; www.newgold.com; Shares outstanding: 509.5 million; Market cap: $2.5 billion; No dividends paid) has moved up 43% since the start of the year on higher gold prices—and its strong operating performance. New Gold has four mines: the Mesquite project in the U.S.; Cerro San Pedro in Mexico; the Peak mine in Australia; and the New Afton mine in B.C. In the three months ended December 31, 2015, New Gold’s cash flow per share rose 7.1%, to $0.15 from $0.14 a year earlier. (All figures except share price and market cap in U.S. dollars.) Production rose 24.2% in the latest quarter, to 131,700 ounces from 106,000. That offset falling gold prices in 2015....