Pat McKeough

A professional investment analyst for more than 30 years, Pat has developed a stock-selection technique that has proven reliable in both bull and bear markets. His proprietary ValuVesting System™ focuses on stocks that provide exceptional quality at relatively low prices. Many savvy investors and industry leaders consider it the most powerful stock-picking method ever created.

As early as 1980, Pat was recognized as #1 in the world of published investment advice by the Washington, DC–based Newsletter Publishers Association, and he was the first multi-year winner of The Globe and Mail’s stock picking contest.

Both CBS MarketWatch and The Hulbert Financial Digest recognized Pat as one of North America’s top stock analysts. The Wall Street Journal called him “one of only four investment newsletter advisors who have managed to serve their readers well over the long haul.”

A best-selling Canadian author, he wrote Riding the Bull, his 1993 book that predicted the stock-market boom of the last half of that decade. Through his many television appearances, he is well-known to investors for his insightful analysis and his candid, unpretentious style.

Bottom line: Pat’s conservative, reduced-risk strategy is a proven approach to safe investing.

Posts by the author
What does a diversified portfolio look like? A well-diversified portfolio balances risk by spreading investment holdings out by industry sector and other factors
CISCO SYSTEMS INC. $27 (Nasdaq symbol CSCO; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 5.1 billion; Market cap: $137.7 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.8; Dividend yield 3.1%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.cisco.com) is a leading maker of hardware and software that links and manages computer networks.

Its hardware includes routers, as well as local area network and asynchronous transfer mode switches. The company is selling or discontinuing less profitable products as it shifts toward better-selling technology, such as computer security systems and software.

Cisco recently sold its set-top-box and cable-modem business for $600 million. It will also phase out its Invicta products, which store data on flash chips instead of disk drives.

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INTEL CORP. $34 (Nasdaq symbol INTC; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 4.7 billion; Market cap: $159.8 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.9; Dividend yield: 3.1%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.intel.com) is the world’s leading chip maker. Its products power 80% of all personal computers.

In the three months ended September 26, 2015, Intel’s earnings fell 6.3%, to $3.1 billion from $3.3 billion a year earlier. The company repurchased $1.0 billion of its shares during the quarter, so per-share profits declined just 3.0%, to $0.64 from $0.66. Overall revenue slipped 0.6%, to $14.47 billion from $14.55 billion.

Revenue from chips for computers and mobile devices (59% of the total) fell 7.5%, partly because Intel is offering fewer subsidies to mobile-device makers.

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PFIZER INC. $33 (New York symbol PFE; Income Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 6.2 billion; Market cap: $204.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 4.1; Dividend yield: 3.4%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.pfizer.com) has agreed to merge with Irish drug maker Allergan plc (New York symbol AGN).

Allergan makes a variety of drugs, including treatments for Alzheimer’s disease, depression, dry eye, enlarged prostate, overactive bladder, cystic fibrosis and bacterial infections. It also makes the anti-wrinkle drug Botox.

Under the deal, Allergan shareholders will receive 11.3 Pfizer shares for each share they hold. That will give them a 44% stake in the combined company, which will be the world’s biggest pharmaceutical maker.

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CAMPBELL SOUP CO. $53 (New York symbol CPB; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 309.8 million; Market cap: $16.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.0; Dividend yield: 2.4%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.campbellsoupcompany.com) is the world’s largest maker of canned soups. It also makes Prego canned pasta and sauces, Pepperidge Farm cookies and V8 vegetable juices. Campbell’s sales were flat, at $7.7 billion, in 2011 and 2012 (fiscal years end July 31). In 2013, it cut its reliance on canned foods through two acquisitions: a $1.55-billion deal for Bolthouse Farms, a producer of carrots, dressings and fruit juices; and $249 million for organic food maker Plum.

These additions increased sales to $8.3 billion in 2014. However, unfavourable currency rates cut sales to $8.1 billion in 2015.

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CONAGRA FOODS INC. $42 (New York symbol CAG; Income Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 432.9 million; Market cap: $18.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.1; Dividend yield: 2.4%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.conagrafoods.com) makes packaged foods, including Chef Boyardee canned pasta, Hunt’s tomato sauce, Peter Pan peanut butter, Orville Redenbacher popcorn and Reddi-wip whipped cream.

Consumers supply 70% of ConAgra’s sales. Businesses, including restaurants and other food makers, provide the remaining 30%. ConAgra’s sales jumped 44.2%, from $12.3 billion in 2011 to $17.7 billion in 2014 (fiscal years end May 31). That’s mainly due to its $4.75-billion acquisition of Ralcorp Holdings, the largest privatelabel food maker in the U.S., in January 2013.

However, the purchase didn’t work out as ConAgra hoped, so the company agreed to sell most of the Ralcorp business to TreeHouse Foods (New York symbol THS) for $2.7 billion in November 2015. Excluding Ralcorp, ConAgra’s overall sales fell to $15.8 billion in fiscal 2015.

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BCE INC. $57 (Toronto symbol BCE; Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 849.4 million; Market cap: $48.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.3; Dividend yield: 4.6%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.bce.ca) continues to benefit from strong demand for its wireless and high-speed Fibe Internet and TV services. In the quarter ended September 30, 2015, BCE’s earnings rose 21.9%, to $790 million from $648 million a year earlier. Per-share profits gained just 12.0%, to $0.93 from $0.83, on more shares outstanding. Revenue rose 2.9%, to $5.3 billion from $5.2 billion. The company added 77,655 new wireless subscribers under long-term contracts, net of cancellations, beating the consensus forecast of 77,400. Most of these customers use smartphones, which generate higher monthly fees than regular cellphones....
IMPERIAL OIL LTD. $42 (Toronto symbol IMO; Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Shares outstanding: 848.0 million; Market cap: $35.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.4; Dividend yield: 1.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.imperialoil.ca) produced 386,000 barrels of oil equivalent a day in the three months ended September 30, 2015, up 25.7% from 307,000 a year earlier. That’s because Imperial recently completed the second phase of its 71%-owned Kearl oil sands project in northern Alberta. However, lower oil prices cut its revenue by 25.9%, to $7.2 billion from $9.7 billion. Cash flow per share fell 32.9%, to $1.10 from $1.64. Even so, Imperial plans to keep expanding Kearl and Cold Lake, its other main oil sands project. These operations, which should last decades, will prosper when oil prices rebound....
ENBRIDGE INC. $50 (www.enbridge.com) is paying $750 million for 24.9% of the 400-megawatt Rampion offshore wind project in the English Channel. To put that price in context, Enbridge earned $399 million, or $0.79 a share, in the third quarter of 2015. Construction on this wind farm began in September 2015, and it should start up in 2018....
With an improving U.S. economy, cost-cutting and smart growth, we view Wells Fargo as a lower-risk value stock for conservative investors.