Pat McKeough

A professional investment analyst for more than 30 years, Pat has developed a stock-selection technique that has proven reliable in both bull and bear markets. His proprietary ValuVesting System™ focuses on stocks that provide exceptional quality at relatively low prices. Many savvy investors and industry leaders consider it the most powerful stock-picking method ever created.

As early as 1980, Pat was recognized as #1 in the world of published investment advice by the Washington, DC–based Newsletter Publishers Association, and he was the first multi-year winner of The Globe and Mail’s stock picking contest.

Both CBS MarketWatch and The Hulbert Financial Digest recognized Pat as one of North America’s top stock analysts. The Wall Street Journal called him “one of only four investment newsletter advisors who have managed to serve their readers well over the long haul.”

A best-selling Canadian author, he wrote Riding the Bull, his 1993 book that predicted the stock-market boom of the last half of that decade. Through his many television appearances, he is well-known to investors for his insightful analysis and his candid, unpretentious style.

Bottom line: Pat’s conservative, reduced-risk strategy is a proven approach to safe investing.

Posts by the author
LINAMAR CORP. $71 (Toronto symbol LNR; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 65.1 million; Market cap: $4.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.0; Dividend yield: 0.6%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.linamar.com) saw its sales rise 23.8% in the three months ended June 30, 2015, to a record $1.4 billion from $1.1 billion a year earlier.

Sales at the company’s powertrain and driveline division (79% of the total) rose 22.5%, thanks to acquisitions and the launch of new transmissions and other automotive products. The industrialproducts division’s sales (21%) gained 28.9%, mainly due to strong demand for the company’s Skyjack self-propelled, scissor-type elevating work platforms.

Earnings jumped 33.3%, to a record $1.84 a share from $1.38. In addition to the higher sales, Linamar’s earnings benefited from efficiency improvements and favourable currency exchange rates.

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RIOCAN REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST $26 (Toronto symbol REI.UN; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Units outstanding: 318.3 million; Market cap: $8.3 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 6.5; Dividend yield: 5.4%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.riocan.com) has found new tenants for seven of the 26 former Target stores in its malls. It will have to remodel the remaining 19, but it expects to lease them all within the next two years.

Target’s U.S. parent company guaranteed the leases on the Canadian stores, but it has not yet paid RioCan the lost rental payments. If RioCan is unable to find new tenants, Target may have to pay the trust up to $250 million.

RioCan is a buy.

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MANITOBA TELECOM SERVICES INC. $29 (Toronto symbol MBT; Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 78.9 million; Market cap: $2.3 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.4; Dividend yield: 4.5%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.mtsallstream.com) has acquired AWS-1 radio frequencies (or spectrum) in Manitoba from rival wireless carrier WIND Mobile. The purchase will boost its wireless networks’ speed and capacity.

Manitoba Telecom paid $45 million for these frequencies. To put that in context, it earned $10.4 million, or $0.13 a share, in the three months ended June 30, 2015. Excluding unusual items, such as costs related to a restructuring of its Allstream business communications subsidiary, the company earned $0.31 a share in the quarter, down 16.2% from $0.37 a share a year earlier.

Manitoba Telecom is a hold.

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POTASH CORP. OF SASKATCHEWAN $34 (Toronto symbol POT; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 834.7 million; Market cap: $28.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 4.5; Dividend yield: 5.8%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.potashcorp.com) has offered to buy leading German fertilizer producer K+S AG for around $8.6 billion U.S.

K+S has rejected the offer, as it feels the price discounts the potential value of its new Legacy potash mine in Saskatchewan, which will open in 2016. As a result, K+S has indicated that Potash Corp. would have to raise its bid by roughly 22%.

In response, Potash Corp. may launch a hostile takeover offer. However, German regulators would probably block an acquisition, particularly if Potash Corp. plans to close some of K+S’s mines. Potash Corp. is still a hold.

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$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ IGM FINANCIAL INC. $38 (Toronto symbol IGM; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 247.5 million; Market cap: $9.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 3.1; Dividend yield: 5.9%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.igmfinancial.com) had $137.9 billion worth of assets under management as of July 31, 2015, down 3.0% from $142.1 billion a year earlier. The company’s fee income rises and falls with the value of the mutual funds and other securities it manages, so its revenue and earnings decline when the price of these assets falls.

However, IGM sells most of its funds through its own salesforce. This leaves it less dependent on selling through the brokerage industry than its competitors. This salesforce also lets IGM form close relationships with clients, and keep redemption rates down.

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TORONTO-DOMINION BANK $53 (Toronto symbol TD; Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 1.8 billion; Market cap: $95.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 3.4; Dividend yield: 3.8%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.td.com) recently agreed to pay an undisclosed sum to department store operator Nordstrom (New York symbol JWN) for its U.S. credit card portfolio. These loans total $2.2 billion U.S.; TD expects to complete the purchase by the end of 2015.

Separately, TD has agreed to become the exclusive issuer of Nordstrom-branded Visa and privatelabel credit cards.

Under the deal, which is similar to the bank’s March 2013 purchase of Target’s credit card portfolio, Nordstrom will keep receiving most of the earnings from its card operations. However, TD will also get a share, and it stands to benefit as more Nordstrom shoppers adopt the cards.

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ROYAL BANK OF CANADA $76 (Toronto symbol RY; Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 1.4 billion; Market cap: $106.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 3.2; Dividend yield: 4.1%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.rbc.com) continues to sell its less promising overseas operations as it shifts its international focus to the U.S., U.K. and Asia.

For example, it recently sold its retail banking business in the country of Suriname, South America.

It’s also selling its Swiss private banking operations to SYZ Group for an undisclosed sum. This subsidiary offers wealth management services to wealthy investors from emerging markets like Latin America, Africa and the Middle East.

Meanwhile, Royal aims to complete its purchase of Los Angeles-based City National (New York symbol CYN) by the end of 2015. City National focuses on wealthy individuals and lending to businesses in the entertainment, technology and health care industries. Royal plans to merge it with its U.S. wealth management operations.

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Overall earnings fell 1.2%, to $410 million from $415 million, while per-share profits gained 2.0%, to $0.52 from $0.51, on fewer shares outstanding. Excluding currency rates, the company’s earnings per share jumped 14%.

Thomson’s sound balance sheet will let it keep developing new products, particularly ones it can deliver over the Internet or through mobile devices. As of June 30, 2015, the company held cash of $1.1 billion, or $1.44 a share. Its long-term debt of $7.0 billion is a manageable 21% of its market cap.

The stock has gained 30% in the past year and now trades at 20.5 times Thomson’s likely 2015 earnings of $2.03 a share. That’s still an acceptable multiple in light of its high market share, unique products and improving profit margins. The $1.34 dividend yields 3.2%.

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PENGROWTH ENERGY CORP. $1.71 (Toronto symbol PGF; Aggressive Growth and Income Portfolios, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 540.7 million; Market cap: $924.6 million; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.9; Dividend yield: 14.0%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.pengrowth.com) plans to spend $190 million to $210 million on its oil and gas properties in 2015, down from its earlier forecast of $220 million to $240 million.

The company also wants to sell $600 million worth of less important assets. It will use the cash to pay down its debt of $1.9 billion, which is a high 2.1 times its market cap.

Meanwhile, Pengrowth continues to benefit from its hedging program, which locks in selling prices above today’s low oil and gas prices. That should help it keep paying monthly dividends of $0.02 a share. The annual rate of $0.24 yields a high 14.0% due to the stock’s depressed price.

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