AGRIUM INC. $95 - Toronto symbol AGU

AGRIUM INC. $95 (Toronto symbol AGU; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 144.5 million; Market cap: $13.7 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.8; Dividend yield: 3.4%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.agrium.com) gets two-thirds of its revenue—but just a third of its earnings—from its retail stores, which sell seeds, fertilizers and other products to farmers. It also makes nitrogen-based fertilizer.

Agrium’s retail division is shielding it from volatile fertilizer prices. In the third quarter of 2013, overall sales rose 1.3%, to $2.9 billion from $2.8 billion a year ago (all amounts except share price and market cap in U.S. dollars). A 15.0% retail sales gain offset a 23.7% fertilizer sales drop. Earnings per share fell 37.5%, to $0.50 from $0.80, due to unplanned outages at its nitrogen plants.

Weak fertilizer prices will probably cut Agrium’s 2013 earnings by 20.4%, to $7.60 a share from $9.55 in 2012. The stock trades at 11.8 times that estimate. The $3.00 dividend yields 3.4%.

Agrium is a buy.

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