Dividend Stocks

Dividends can produce as much as a third of your total return over long periods, and you can even retire on dividends.

There are 4 key stock dividend dates that are involved with dividend payments:

1- The Declaration Date is several weeks in advance of a dividend payment—it’s when company’s board of directors sets the amount and timing of the proposed payment.

2- The Payable Date is the date set by the board on which the dividend will actually be paid out to shareholders.

3- The Record Date is for shareholders who hold the stock before the payable date and receive the dividend payment. That date is set any number of weeks before the payable date.

4-The Ex-Dividend Date is two business days before the record date and it’s when the shares begin to trade without their dividend. If you buy stocks one day or more before their ex-dividend date, you will still get the dividend. That’s when a stock is said to trade cum-dividend. If you buy on the ex-dividend date or later, you won’t get the dividend. The ex-dividend date is in place to allow pending stock trades to settle.

We think very highly of stocks that have been paying dividends for five or more years, at TSI Network. Many of these stocks fit in well with our three-part Successful Investor philosophy:

1- Invest mainly in well-established companies;

2- Spread your money out across most if not all of the five main economic sectors (Manufacturing & Industry; Resources & Commodities; Consumer; Finance; and Utilities);

3- Downplay or avoid stocks in the broker/media limelight.

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ANDREW PELLER LTD. $11 (Toronto symbol ADW.A; Income Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 14.3 million; Market cap: $157.3 million; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.6; Dividend yield: 3.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.andrewpeller.com) reported that its sales rose 4.2% in the three months ended December 31, 2012, to $79.8 million from $76.6 million a year earlier. Peller has launched a number of new products, including its low-calorie skinnygrape wine.

Peller earned $6.6 million, up 5.1% from $6.3 million. Earnings per share rose 2.2%, to $0.47 from $0.46, on more shares outstanding. The company benefited from hedging contracts that it uses to lock in foreign exchange rates; that was the main reason for the higher earnings. Without these hedges, Peller’s earnings would have risen 0.5%.

Andrew Peller is a buy....
IMPERIAL OIL LTD. $43 (Toronto symbol IMO; Conservative Growth Portfolio; Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 847.6 million; Market cap: $36.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.2; Dividend yield: 1.1%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.imperialoil.ca) has completed its purchase of 50% of Celtic Exploration Ltd. from its parent company, ExxonMobil Corp. (New York symbol XOM).

Celtic owns large undeveloped shale gas deposits along the B.C.-Alberta border. These fields hold a total of 128 million barrels of oil equivalent. At the end of 2012, Imperial’s proved reserves totalled 3.6 billion barrels of oil equivalent.

The company paid $1.55 billion for its half of Celtic. That’s equal to 42% of the $3.7 billion, or $4.42 a share, that it earned in 2012.
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PENGROWTH ENERGY CORP. $4.90 (Toronto symbol PGF; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 511.8 million; Market cap: $2.5 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.6; Dividend yield: 9.8%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.pengrowth.com) produced 85,748 barrels of oil equivalent a day (60% natural gas and 40% oil) in 2012. That’s up 15.9% from 73,973 barrels in 2011. However, depressed gas prices pushed down its cash flow by 13.1%, to $538.8 million from $620.0 million. Cash flow per share declined 35.8%, to $1.20 from $1.87, on more shares outstanding.

The stock is down 50% in the past year. That’s because investors are concerned that low gas prices and Pengrowth’s high debt ($1.8 billion, or 75% of its market cap) will force it to cut its $0.04-a-share monthly dividend, for a 9.8% annualized yield.

However, Pengrowth’s rising oil production will cut its risk. It recently began work on its Lindbergh oil sands project, which will produce 12,500 barrels a day by early 2015. That will rise to 50,000 barrels a day by 2018. Moreover, Pengrowth has $4.5 billion in tax pools that it can use to cut its tax bill until 2017.
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PRECISION DRILLING CORP. $8.40 (Toronto symbol PD; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 276.3 million; Market cap: $2.3 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.1; Dividend yield: 2.4%; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk; www.precisiondrilling.com) sells contract drilling services to oil and gas producers, mainly in North America. It ended 2012 with 321 active rigs.

The company is slowly expanding its international operations: it now has a total of eight rigs in Mexico and the Persian Gulf region.

In 2012, Precision’s earnings fell 72.9%, to $52.4 million, or $0.18 a share. It earned $193.5 million, or $0.67 a share, in 2011. If you exclude writedowns of older rigs, earnings per share would have declined by 12.9%, to $0.81 from $0.93.
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RIOCAN REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST $27 (Toronto symbol REI.UN; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Units outstanding: 300.1 million; Market cap: $8.1 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 4.8; Dividend yield: 5.2%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.riocan.com) is Canada largest real estate investment trust (REIT), with 294 retail properties, including 11 under development. It also owns 52 malls in the U.S.

RioCan continues to expand beyond suburban big-box-style malls. It recently formed a joint venture with Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (Toronto symbol AP.UN) to redevelop certain properties in Toronto as mixed-use office, retail and residential complexes.

The REIT has also agreed to pay $362 million for an enclosed shopping centre and 50% of another mall, both in southern Ontario. Enclosed malls now supply 16.1% of its Canadian rental revenue.
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HOME CAPITAL GROUP INC. $57 (Toronto symbol HCG; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 34.6 million; Market cap; $2.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.2; Dividend yield: 1.8%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.homecapital.com) earned $222.0 million, or $6.38 a share, in 2012. That’s up 16.8% from $190.1 million, or $5.46 a share, in 2011. Low interest rates continue to fuel mortgage demand: revenue rose 12.3%, to $887.7 million from $790.3 million.

The company caters to borrowers who don’t meet the stricter standards of larger banks. Even so, it continues to do a good job of identifying problem loans before borrowers fall behind on their payments. Bad loans rose in 2012, but they still made up just 0.33% of its total loans, up from 0.25% a year earlier.

Home Capital Group is a buy....


CENOVUS ENERGY INC. $32 (Toronto symbol CVE; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 755.8 million; Market cap: $24.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.4; Dividend yield: 3.0%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.cenovus.com) had to write down its natural gas properties in Alberta due to low gas prices. That’s why its earnings fell 30.5% in 2012, to $1.14 a share from $1.64 in 2011. However, cash flow per share rose 11.1%, to $4.80 from $4.32, as it expanded its oil sands production by 35%.

The company’s oil refineries and low production costs should keep pushing up its cash flow, even if oil prices fall. As a result, we’ve upgraded Cenovus’s TSINetwork Rating to “Average” from “Extra Risk.”

Cenovus is a buy.


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EMERA INC. $35 (Toronto symbol EMA; Income Portfolio, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 131.0 million; Market cap: $4.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.2; Dividend yield: 4.0%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.emera.com) gets 60% of its revenue and 50% of its earnings from Nova Scotia Power Inc., which is that province’s main electricity supplier. It also holds interests in electrical utilities in the U.S. and the Caribbean. Other operations include the Brunswick pipeline, which pumps natural gas from the U.S. to a liquefied natural gas plant in New Brunswick.

The Newfoundland government recently approved a new hydroelectric project on Labrador’s Churchill River. Emera will participate in this operation by paying $600 million for a 29% stake in a new regulated utility that will transmit power from Churchill River to the island of Newfoundland. In addition, Emera will spend $1.5 billion to build an undersea cable (called the Maritime Link) that will transmit 20% of the plant’s power to Nova Scotia. Emera will own 100% of this cable. These two projects should begin operating by 2017.

Meanwhile, Emera earned $220.8 million in 2012, down 8.4% from $241.1 million in 2011. Due to more shares outstanding, earnings per share fell at a faster pace of 10.7%, to $1.76 from $1.97.
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FORTIS INC. $33 (Toronto symbol FTS; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 191.6 million; Market cap: $6.3 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.7; Dividend yield 3.8%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.fortis.ca) is the main electricity supplier in Newfoundland and Prince Edward Island. It also operates power plants in other parts of Canada, the U.S. and the Cayman Islands. In addition, wholly owned FortisBC Energy distributes natural gas in B.C.

Fortis should complete its takeover of CH Energy Group (New York symbol CHG) in the second quarter of 2013. CH supplies gas and power to 375,000 customers in New York State’s Mid-Hudson River Valley. Fortis will pay $1.5 billion U.S. for CH Energy, including assuming $500 million U.S. of debt.

In 2012, Fortis’s earnings rose 7.5%, to $322.5 million from $300.0 million in 2011. Earnings per share rose just 3.0%, to $1.70 from $1.65, on more shares outstanding. During the year, Fortis spent $400 million to expand its power transmission operations in Alberta. That was the main reason for the higher earnings. However, revenue fell 2.2%, to $3.65 billion from $3.74 billion. That’s mainly because warmer winter weather cut natural gas demand.
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ATCO LTD. (Toronto symbols ACO.X [class I non-voting] $92 and ACO.Y [class II voting] $92; Income Portfolio, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 57.5 million; Market cap: $5.3 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.2; Dividend yield: 1.6%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.atco.com) is a holding company. Its main subsidiary is 52.9%-owned Canadian Utilities (see left). It also owns 75.5% of ATCO Structures & Logistics, which builds temporary buildings for construction companies and energy exploration firms; Canadian Utilities owns the remaining 24.5%.

In 2012, ATCO’s revenue rose 11.9% to $4.4 billion from $4.0 billion a year earlier. In addition to a higher contribution from Canadian Utilities, revenue at its structures division rose 24.8% due to new mines, such as the Jansen potash project in Saskatchewan. Earnings rose 14.7%, to $375 million, or $6.48 a share, from $327 million, or $5.64.

ATCO continues to trade for less than the value of its assets; investors call this a “holding company discount.” Based on current prices, you can buy a share of ATCO for $92 and get roughly $93 worth of Canadian Utilities. That means you get ATCO’s non-utility businesses, which provide a third of its earnings, for free.
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