Dividend Stocks

Dividends can produce as much as a third of your total return over long periods, and you can even retire on dividends.

There are 4 key stock dividend dates that are involved with dividend payments:

1- The Declaration Date is several weeks in advance of a dividend payment—it’s when company’s board of directors sets the amount and timing of the proposed payment.

2- The Payable Date is the date set by the board on which the dividend will actually be paid out to shareholders.

3- The Record Date is for shareholders who hold the stock before the payable date and receive the dividend payment. That date is set any number of weeks before the payable date.

4-The Ex-Dividend Date is two business days before the record date and it’s when the shares begin to trade without their dividend. If you buy stocks one day or more before their ex-dividend date, you will still get the dividend. That’s when a stock is said to trade cum-dividend. If you buy on the ex-dividend date or later, you won’t get the dividend. The ex-dividend date is in place to allow pending stock trades to settle.

We think very highly of stocks that have been paying dividends for five or more years, at TSI Network. Many of these stocks fit in well with our three-part Successful Investor philosophy:

1- Invest mainly in well-established companies;

2- Spread your money out across most if not all of the five main economic sectors (Manufacturing & Industry; Resources & Commodities; Consumer; Finance; and Utilities);

3- Downplay or avoid stocks in the broker/media limelight.

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TIM HORTONS INC. $50 (Toronto symbol THI; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 154.9 million; Market cap: $7.7 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.5; Dividend yield: 1.7%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.timhortons.com) is the first fast-food company in Canada that lets customers pay for their purchases using their smartphones. After installing the necessary software, users can pay for their purchases by swiping their phone in front of a special scanner. This should speed up service and encourage repeat visits.

The company has installed these scanners in 2,300 of its 3,300 coffee-and-donut stores in Canada. Tim Hortons plans to bring this technology to an additional 700 outlets by December 2012.

Tim Hortons is a buy.

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CANADIAN NATIONAL RAILWAY CO. $86 (Toronto symbol CNR; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 431.5 million; Market cap: $37.1 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 3.7; Dividend yield: 1.7%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.cn.ca) will repurchase up to 5.8 million of its shares from a private seller at a discount to the market price....
SHAWCOR LTD. $44 (Toronto symbol SCL.A; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 70.2 million; Market cap: $3.1 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.5; Dividend yield: 0.9%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.shawcor.com) has acquired the 60% of Fineglade Ltd. that it did not already own. Fineglade owns 96% of Socotherm S.p.A., an Italian company that provides pipeline-coating services in Europe and Asia.

ShawCor paid $135 million, which is equal to 2.4 times its 2011 earnings of $56.1 million, or $0.78 a share.

The company is now conducting a strategic review of its operations. That could mean that ShawCor will eventually be sold. It hasn’t said how long this process will take.

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MAPLE LEAF FOODS INC. $11 (Toronto symbol MFI; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 140.0 million; Market cap: $1.5 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.3; Dividend yield: 1.5%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.mapleleaf.ca) is acquiring Puratone Corporation, a private company that raises over 500,000 hogs a year at 50 barns in Manitoba.

The takeover will give Maple Leaf control of 30% of the hogs used by its processing facility in Brandon,
Manitoba.The company will pay $42 million for Puratone when the deal closes in the next few weeks. To put that in context, Maple Leaf earned $30.2 million, or $0.21 a share, in the three months ended September 30, 2012. That’s down 24.5% from $39.9 million, or $0.28 a share, a year earlier.

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SUNCOR ENERGY INC. $34 (Toronto symbol SU; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 1.5 billion; Market cap: $51.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.3; Dividend yield: 1.5%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.suncor.com) will spend $6.65 billion to upgrade its operations in 2012, down 11.3% from its earlier forecast of $7.5 billion. That’s mainly due to lowerthan- expected costs to expand its Firebag oil sands project in Alberta. The new addition should begin operating by the end of 2012—three months ahead of schedule.

The recent drop in oil prices has also prompted Suncor to slow the development of three other big oil sands projects. However, lower oil prices are boosting profits at Suncor’s refineries. As a result, cash flow per share rose 2.9% in the three months ended September 30, 2012, to $1.78 from $1.73 a year earlier.

Suncor is a buy.

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AGRIUM INC. $95 (Toronto symbol AGU; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 149.0 million; Market cap: $14.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.9; Dividend yield: 2.1%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.agrium.com) gets 60% of its sales from stores that sell fertilizers to farmers. It also makes fertilizers from natural gas, and other fertilizers such as potash and phosphate.

In the three months ended September 30, 2012, earnings fell 26.6%, to $215 million, or $1.34 a share, from $293 million, or $1.85 a share a year earlier (all amounts except share price and market cap in U.S. dollars). Sales fell 5.7%, to $3.0 billion from $3.1 billion. Weak demand for potash offset strong sales of other fertilizers.

Partly due to pressure from activist investor Jana Partners, which owns about 4% of Agrium’s shares, the company recently doubled its dividend to $2.00 a share from $1.00. The stock now yields 2.1%. It also spent $900 million (Cdn.) on share buybacks.

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POTASH CORP. OF SASKATCHEWAN $40 (Toronto symbol POT; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 861.6 million; Market cap: $34.5 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 4.1; Dividend yield: 2.1%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.potashcorp.com) is the world’s largest fertilizer producer. It has six potash mines in Saskatchewan and one in New Brunswick.

The company has faced delays in securing new supply contracts with buyers in China. That has lowered its potash shipments. As well, the Indian government has cut fertilizer subsidies.

As a result, Potash Corp.’s earnings fell 21.9% in the three months ended September 30, 2012, to $645 million or $0.74 a share (all amounts except share price and market cap in U.S. dollars). A year earlier, it earned $826 million, or $0.94 a share. Sales fell 7.7%, to $2.1 billion from $2.3 billion.

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PENGROWTH ENERGY CORP. $5.59 (Toronto symbol PGF; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 507.1 million; Market cap: $2.8 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.8; Dividend yield: 8.6%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.pengrowth.com) has suffered from low natural gas prices, same as Encana. That’s why in May 2012 it bought NAL Energy Corp., which gets roughly half of its production from higher-priced oil. Thanks to this purchase, Pengrowth’s daily production rose 26.4% in the three months ended September 30, 2012, to a record 94,284 barrels of oil equivalent from 74,568 a year ago. Natural gas accounted for 60% of its production, down from 63% a year earlier.

Depressed natural gas prices pushed down Pengrowth’s cash flow by 6.2% in the quarter, to $141.1 million from $150.4 million a year earlier. Cash flow per share fell 39.1%, to $0.28 from $0.46, on more shares outstanding. Even so, the extra production from NAL should let Pengrowth keep paying monthly dividends of $0.04 a share (for an 8.6% annualized yield).

Pengrowth is still a buy.

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TRANSCANADA CORP. $45 (Toronto symbol TRP; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 705.0 million; Market cap: $31.7 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 3.6; Dividend yield: 3.9%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.transcanada.com) has won contracts to build and operate two pipelines that will supply natural gas to government-owned power plants in Mexico.

These lines will cost $1.4 billion U.S., and should begin operating in 2016. TransCanada has 25-year contracts with Mexico’s federal power company, which cuts the risk of these investments. These deals should help the company win even more business as Mexico continues to convert its power plants from coal to gas.

TransCanada is a buy.

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TORSTAR CORP. $8.01 (Toronto symbol TS.B; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 79.7 million; Market cap: $638.4 million; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.4; Dividend yield: 6.6%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.torstar.com) publishes The Toronto Star, Canada’s largest daily newspaper by circulation. It also publishes three other daily papers and over 110 weeklies, mainly in Southern Ontario. The company also owns a hidden asset in Harlequin Enterprises Ltd., the world’s leading romance novel publisher.

Ad revenue from Torstar’s newspapers is shrinking faster than we thought. As well, revenue from its web sites has so far failed to make up the difference. Strong competition and unfavourable foreign exchange rates are also hurting profits at Harlequin. As a result, Torstar’s earnings fell 44.0% in the three months ended September 30, 2012, to $14.1 million, or $0.18 a share, from $25.2 million, or $0.32 a share, a year earlier.

The company continues to cut costs by laying off workers and selling surplus real estate. These moves should save it $5.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2012 and an additional $9.5 million in 2013. If you exclude severance costs and other one-time items, Torstar’s earnings per share would have fallen 21.6%, to $0.29 from $0.37.

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